Financials Toll Brothers, Inc.

Equities

TOL

US8894781033

Homebuilding

Market Closed - Nyse 04:00:01 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
120.2 USD +2.44% Intraday chart for Toll Brothers, Inc. +7.14% +16.96%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: October 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 5,585 5,335 7,324 4,882 7,600 12,523 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 8,070 7,774 9,248 6,716 9,060 13,517 13,237 13,298
P/E ratio 9.87 x 12.4 x 9.08 x 3.95 x 5.72 x 8.71 x 8.79 x 8.47 x
Yield 1.11% 1.04% 1.03% 1.79% 1.17% 0.72% 0.76% 0.8%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.77 x 0.75 x 0.83 x 0.48 x 0.76 x 1.24 x 1.18 x 1.15 x
EV / Revenue 1.12 x 1.1 x 1.05 x 0.65 x 0.91 x 1.34 x 1.25 x 1.22 x
EV / EBITDA 7.41 x 8.7 x 6.63 x 3.39 x 4.31 x 6.59 x 6.61 x 6.36 x
EV / FCF 23 x 8.65 x 7.48 x 7.34 x 7.59 x 10.4 x 15.1 x 18.9 x
FCF Yield 4.35% 11.6% 13.4% 13.6% 13.2% 9.59% 6.64% 5.28%
Price to Book 1.11 x 1.1 x 1.37 x 0.79 x 1.08 x 1.61 x 1.4 x 1.26 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 140,429 126,183 121,717 113,330 107,479 104,170 - -
Reference price 2 39.77 42.28 60.17 43.08 70.71 120.2 120.2 120.2
Announcement Date 12/9/19 12/7/20 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: October 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 7,224 7,078 8,790 10,276 9,995 10,092 10,617 10,886
EBITDA 1 1,089 893.9 1,395 1,984 2,100 2,051 2,001 2,091
EBIT 1 680.8 550.3 1,021 1,509 1,725 1,783 1,818 1,991
Operating Margin 9.42% 7.77% 11.61% 14.68% 17.26% 17.67% 17.12% 18.29%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 787.2 586.9 1,100 1,704 1,842 1,944 1,870 1,843
Net income 1 590 446.6 833.6 1,286 1,372 1,445 1,382 1,363
Net margin 8.17% 6.31% 9.48% 12.52% 13.73% 14.32% 13.02% 12.52%
EPS 2 4.030 3.400 6.630 10.90 12.36 13.81 13.68 14.20
Free Cash Flow 1 350.7 898.6 1,236 915.1 1,193 1,296 879.4 702
FCF margin 4.85% 12.7% 14.06% 8.91% 11.94% 12.84% 8.28% 6.45%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 32.22% 100.52% 88.64% 46.13% 56.84% 63.19% 43.94% 33.57%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 59.44% 201.19% 148.3% 71.13% 86.98% 89.69% 63.62% 51.52%
Dividend per Share 2 0.4400 0.4400 0.6200 0.7700 0.8300 0.8700 0.9133 0.9640
Announcement Date 12/9/19 12/7/20 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: October 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 3,041 1,791 2,278 2,495 3,712 1,780 2,507 2,688 3,020 1,948 2,654 2,586 2,965 1,962 2,486
EBITDA 1 593.3 253.6 357.9 430.5 942 302.4 499.2 614.8 679.9 352.2 590.4 524.9 611.8 342.5 456
EBIT 1 440.7 175.1 281.7 361.7 690.2 225.3 425.7 515.1 558.6 308.4 480.2 451.9 523 285.7 424.5
Operating Margin 14.49% 9.77% 12.37% 14.5% 18.59% 12.66% 16.98% 19.17% 18.5% 15.83% 18.09% 17.48% 17.64% 14.56% 17.08%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 499.7 200.8 295.8 366 841.1 253.8 430.6 553 605 311.2 589.1 477.3 553.4 293 427.8
Net income 1 374.3 151.9 220.6 273.5 640.5 191.5 320.2 414.8 445.5 239.6 434.9 353.1 409.2 217.9 317.1
Net margin 12.31% 8.48% 9.69% 10.96% 17.26% 10.76% 12.77% 15.43% 14.75% 12.3% 16.38% 13.65% 13.8% 11.1% 12.75%
EPS 2 3.020 1.240 1.850 2.350 5.630 1.700 2.850 3.730 4.110 2.250 4.125 3.401 3.994 2.172 3.128
Dividend per Share 2 0.1700 0.1700 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2100 0.2100 0.2100 - 0.2167 0.2233 0.2233 0.2300 0.2300
Announcement Date 12/7/21 2/22/22 5/24/22 8/23/22 12/6/22 2/21/23 5/23/23 8/22/23 12/5/23 2/20/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: October 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,485 2,439 1,925 1,834 1,460 993 713 774
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.283 x 2.728 x 1.38 x 0.9243 x 0.6955 x 0.4843 x 0.3565 x 0.3702 x
Free Cash Flow 1 351 899 1,236 915 1,193 1,296 879 702
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12% 8.98% 16.4% 22.8% 21.4% 19.9% 17.5% 17%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 5.6% 4.08% 7.38% 10.8% 11.1% 11.2% 10.4% 9.8%
Assets 1 10,536 10,947 11,302 11,913 12,408 12,879 13,302 13,904
Book Value Per Share 2 36.00 38.50 44.10 54.80 65.50 74.80 86.10 95.50
Cash Flow per Share 2 2.990 7.680 10.40 8.360 11.40 18.60 3.130 -
Capex 1 87 110 66.9 71.7 73 71.7 74 80.4
Capex / Sales 1.2% 1.55% 0.76% 0.7% 0.73% 0.71% 0.7% 0.74%
Announcement Date 12/9/19 12/7/20 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
120.2 USD
Average target price
128.2 USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.65%
Consensus
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  4. Financials Toll Brothers, Inc.