Financials The Hub Power Company Limited

Equities

HUBC

PK0065001015

Independent Power Producers

End-of-day quote Pakistan S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
137.5 PKR +2.38% Intraday chart for The Hub Power Company Limited +3.88% +17.44%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 91,126 94,044 103,344 88,427 90,256 178,372 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 118,422 181,340 103,344 209,853 90,256 178,372 178,372 178,372
P/E ratio 8.4 x 3.75 x 3.07 x 3.11 x 1.57 x 2.57 x 2.26 x 2.12 x
Yield - - 15.1% 9.53% 34.5% 14.8% 19.6% 24.6%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.57 x 1.95 x 1.89 x 0.91 x 0.79 x 1.38 x 1.18 x 0.99 x
EV / Revenue 1.57 x 1.95 x 1.89 x 0.91 x 0.79 x 1.38 x 1.18 x 0.99 x
EV / EBITDA 3,642,275 x 2,813,830 x - 2,298,430 x - - - -
EV / FCF 60 x -321 x 8.23 x -5.28 x 2.81 x 3.84 x 4.78 x 4.45 x
FCF Yield 1.67% -0.31% 12.2% -18.9% 35.5% 26% 20.9% 22.5%
Price to Book 2 x 1.23 x 1.02 x 0.77 x 0.64 x 0.88 x 0.71 x 0.58 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,157,154 1,297,154 1,297,154 1,297,154 1,297,154 1,297,154 - -
Reference price 2 78.75 72.50 79.67 68.17 69.58 137.5 137.5 137.5
Announcement Date 9/12/19 8/19/20 8/30/21 9/14/22 9/26/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 58,129 48,321 54,639 97,158 114,263 129,515 151,078 179,486
EBITDA 25,019 33,422 - 38,473 - - - -
EBIT 1 20,282 29,220 31,779 33,800 51,410 65,278 68,749 67,725
Operating Margin 34.89% 60.47% 58.16% 34.79% 44.99% 50.4% 45.51% 37.73%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 12,447 30,006 39,939 35,105 70,418 86,356 71,975 50,793
Net income 1 11,241 25,044 33,688 28,472 57,554 65,564 78,727 73,402
Net margin 19.34% 51.83% 61.66% 29.3% 50.37% 50.62% 52.11% 40.9%
EPS 2 9.370 19.31 25.97 21.95 44.37 53.43 60.72 64.90
Free Cash Flow 1 1,519 -292.9 12,557 -16,749 32,077 46,394 37,282 40,101
FCF margin 2.61% -0.61% 22.98% -17.24% 28.07% 35.82% 24.68% 22.34%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 6.07% - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 13.51% - 37.27% - 55.73% 70.76% 47.36% 54.63%
Dividend per Share 2 - - 12.00 6.500 24.00 20.36 26.92 33.80
Announcement Date 9/12/19 8/19/20 8/30/21 9/14/22 9/26/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2020 S1 2021 S1 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3
Net sales 1 24,654 26,791 26,340 19,928 46,267 18,785 32,106 29,590 25,097 54,687 27,231 32,345 33,730 29,913 63,643 30,540
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - 8,337 9,551 12,913 - - 12,791 16,667 16,390 - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - 44.38% 29.75% 43.64% - - 46.97% 51.53% 48.59% - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 11,511 18,921 8,401 - - 10,631 - - - - - - - - - -
Net income 1 11,052 16,342 7,417 - - 9,241 7,019 9,100 13,299 22,398 11,249 23,907 17,082 15,278 32,360 17,032
Net margin 44.83% 61% 28.16% - - 49.19% 21.86% 30.75% 52.99% 40.96% 41.31% 73.91% 50.64% 51.08% 50.85% 55.77%
EPS 2 8.520 12.60 5.720 - - 7.120 5.410 7.010 10.25 17.27 8.670 18.43 13.17 11.78 24.95 12.58
Dividend per Share 2 - 3.000 - - - - - - 5.750 21.25 - - - 4.000 9.000 4.000
Announcement Date 2/25/20 2/26/21 10/29/21 2/18/22 2/18/22 4/28/22 9/14/22 10/28/22 2/27/23 2/27/23 4/28/23 9/26/23 10/30/23 2/14/24 2/14/24 -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 27,296 87,296 - 121,426 - - - -
Net Cash position - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.091 x 2.612 x - 3.156 x - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 1,519 -293 12,557 -16,749 32,077 46,394 37,282 40,101
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 26% 39.4% 38% 26.4% 44.8% 36.8% 32.4% 28.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - 16.6% 17% 18.3%
Assets 1 - - - - - 394,964 463,100 401,104
Book Value Per Share 2 39.30 58.80 77.70 88.50 110.0 156.0 193.0 238.0
Cash Flow per Share - - - - - - - -
Capex 4,935 3,876 - 50,570 - - - -
Capex / Sales 8.49% 8.02% - 52.05% - - - -
Announcement Date 9/12/19 8/19/20 8/30/21 9/14/22 9/26/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
137.5 PKR
Average target price
153.5 PKR
Spread / Average Target
+11.64%
Consensus
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