Fitch Ratings has affirmed SpareBank 1 Nord-Norge's (SNN) Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'A' with a Stable Outlook.

Fitch has also affirmed SNN's Viability Rating (VR) at 'a'. A full list of rating actions is below.

Key Rating Drivers

Low-Risk Regional Bank: The ratings of SNN reflect its stable and low-risk business model, strong profitability, resilient asset quality, robust capital adequacy and well-managed wholesale funding reliance. The ratings also factor in SNN's regional and overall moderate franchise in Norway, which leads to a geographically concentrated loan portfolio.

SNN's Short-Term IDR of 'F1' is the lower of two options mapping to a Long-Term IDR of 'A'. This reflects our assessment of the bank's funding and liquidity at 'a-', compared with the minimum level of 'aa-' for a Short-Term IDR of 'F1+'.

Regional Market Leader: SNN is the market leader in northern Norway with a well-established regional franchise and a strong relationship with the local community. The bank's membership of the SpareBank 1 Alliance provides greater product breadth, economies of scale and access to cheap covered bond funding. The SpareBank 1 Alliance is the second-largest lender in Norway, with about a 20% market share in lending.

Conservative Risk Profile: SNN has a strong risk-management culture, with a conservative attitude to credit risk, underpinned by prudent domestic regulations. SNN's credit risk mainly resides in its loan book (75% of assets at end-September 2022), which is mainly secured with prudent loan-to value ratios. SNN's investment guidelines are conservative and its debt portfolio comprises highly rated and liquid bonds. The bank's credit expansion has been restrained and balanced between retail and corporate segments.

Robust Asset Quality: SNN's low levels of impaired assets and limited credit losses over economic cycles, conservative underwriting standards and a loan book dominated by resilient residential mortgage loans offset SNN's regional concentration risk. SNN's asset quality metrics compare well with Nordic and international peers', due to historically limited high-risk lending to the oil-related industry.

Nonetheless we believe that SNN's regional concentration makes the bank more vulnerable to credit losses compared with large diversified Nordic peers. We expect asset quality to remain strong and to be only modestly affected by the economic downturn, growing interest rates and inflation. Fitch expects the bank's impaired loans (Stage 3) ratio to remain low at 0.9% at end-2023.

Strong Profitability: SNN's stable revenue benefits from its close relationships with the local community, healthy margins, low funding cost and diversified fee and commission income, which to a large extent is sourced from non-banking activities. Cost efficiency is superior compared with international standards, despite the bank's small size, and is underpinned by strong automation and digitalisation.

SNN's profitability is also supported by low loan impairment charges (LICs). Fitch expects SNN's operating profit return to remain strong at about 3% of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) in 2023, as further growth in net interest income should mitigate an increase in LICs and expenses and subdued contribution from associated companies.

Robust Capital Adequacy: SNN's high risk-weighted capital and leverage ratios are underpinned by its low risk profile, stable asset quality and healthy internal capital generation. We also consider the only moderate size of the bank's capital base compared with highly rated Nordic peers'. At end-September 2022, SNN's common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 18.8% was above its internal long-term target of 16.5%.

Low Refinancing Risk: SNN's solid funding profile benefits from a stable deposit base and prudently managed refinancing risk. Like most Nordic banks, SNN relies on wholesale funding, in particular covered bonds issued through SpareBank 1 Boligkreditt (S1B), a joint covered-bond funding vehicle for member banks of the SpareBank 1 Alliance. The bank maintains strong coverage of short-term liabilities with good-quality, unencumbered liquid assets.

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:

SNN's ratings have sufficient headroom to absorb significant deterioration in the bank's financial profile. We could downgrade SNN's ratings if a severe economic stress durably reduces its return on RWAs close to or below 1.5% and the impaired loans ratio rises sustainably above 3%.

SNN's structural reliance on wholesale funding means an unmitigated weakening of access to the capital markets would also be negative for its ratings.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:

An upgrade is unlikely in medium term unless SNN sees significant nationwide strengthening of its franchise while maintaining a low risk profile and strong financial metrics.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS

SNN's long-term senior preferred debt and deposit ratings are one notch above the bank's Long-Term IDR, and its long-term senior non-preferred debt rating is aligned with its Long-Term IDR. This reflects the protection that could accrue to preferred creditors from the bank's more junior bank resolution debt and equity buffers. We expect SNN's resolution debt buffer to remain comfortably above 10% of resolution-relevant RWAs, adjusted for S1B, which is excluded from SNN's resolution strategy. At end-September 2022, we estimate that this buffer equaled 11.4% of SNN's resolution-relevant RWAs.

SNN's short-term senior preferred debt and deposit ratings are mapped to their respective long-term ratings and also reflect our assessment of the bank's funding and liquidity at 'a-'.

SNN's Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'No Support' reflects Fitch's view that senior creditors cannot rely on receiving full extraordinary support from the sovereign if the bank becomes non-viable, given Norway's adoption of the EU's Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive. This legislation provides a framework for resolving banks that requires senior creditors to participate in losses, if necessary, instead of or ahead of a bank receiving sovereign support.

Fitch believes that being a member of the Sparebank 1 Alliance may result in SNN being supported by other Alliance members, but this is not an obligation, and is therefore not factored into the ratings.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES

The senior preferred and non-preferred debt ratings and deposit ratings are sensitive to changes in the bank's IDRs. They are also sensitive to SNN maintaining a buffer of subordinated and senior non-preferred debt of at least 10% of resolution-relevant RWAs, or could be downgraded otherwise.

An upgrade of the GSR would be contingent on a positive change in Norway's propensity to support domestic banks. While not impossible, this is highly unlikely in Fitch's view.

VR ADJUSTMENTS

The business profile score of 'a-' is above the 'bbb' implied score due to the following adjustment reason: business model (positive).

The asset quality score of 'a' is below the 'aa' implied score due to the following adjustment reason: concentrations (negative).

The capitalisation & leverage score of 'a' is below the 'aa' implied score due to the following adjustment reason: size of capital base (negative).

Best/Worst Case Rating Scenario

International scale credit ratings of Financial Institutions and Covered Bond issuers have a best-case rating upgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a positive direction) of three notches over a three-year rating horizon; and a worst-case rating downgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a negative direction) of four notches over three years. The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories ranges from 'AAA' to 'D'. Best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings are based on historical performance. For more information about the methodology used to determine sector-specific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, visit https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10111579

REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING

The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.

ESG Considerations

Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on SNN, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the bank. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores, visitwww.fitchratings.com/esg.

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