OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 30.25 EUR | -0.17% |
|
-5.47% | -7.49% |
| Mar. 13 | Transcript : Österreichische Post AG, 2023 Earnings Call, Mar 13, 2024 | |
| Mar. 13 | Österreichische Post AG Reports Earnings Results for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2023 | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 2,297 | 1,939 | 2,553 | 1,986 | 2,209 | 2,043 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,272 | 2,083 | 2,841 | 2,446 | 2,720 | 2,574 | 2,615 | 2,589 |
| P/E ratio | 15.7 x | 16.4 x | 16.8 x | 15.8 x | 16.7 x | 16.6 x | 15.5 x | 15 x |
| Yield | 6.12% | 5.57% | 5.03% | 5.95% | 5.44% | 5.82% | 6.1% | 6.61% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.14 x | 0.89 x | 1.01 x | 0.79 x | 0.81 x | 0.71 x | 0.7 x | 0.7 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.12 x | 0.95 x | 1.13 x | 0.97 x | 0.99 x | 0.9 x | 0.9 x | 0.89 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.13 x | 6.88 x | 7.67 x | 6.56 x | 6.95 x | 6.8 x | 6.57 x | 6.58 x |
| EV / FCF | 67.2 x | 16.6 x | 13 x | -10.6 x | - | 13 x | 11 x | 9.5 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.49% | 6.03% | 7.67% | -9.48% | - | 7.67% | 9.09% | 10.5% |
| Price to Book | 3.33 x | 3.09 x | 3.96 x | 2.8 x | 3.23 x | 2.97 x | 2.88 x | 2.9 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 67,553 | 67,553 | 67,553 | 67,553 | 67,553 | 67,553 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 34.00 | 28.70 | 37.80 | 29.40 | 32.70 | 30.25 | 30.25 | 30.25 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/12/21 | 3/11/22 | 3/15/23 | 3/13/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,022 | 2,189 | 2,520 | 2,522 | 2,741 | 2,860 | 2,911 | 2,920 |
| EBITDA 1 | 318.7 | 302.8 | 370.4 | 372.7 | 391.6 | 378.6 | 397.8 | 393.3 |
| EBIT 1 | 200.6 | 162.9 | 204.7 | 188.4 | 190.2 | 188.3 | 199.2 | 203 |
| Operating Margin | 9.92% | 7.44% | 8.12% | 7.47% | 6.94% | 6.59% | 6.84% | 6.95% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 211.3 | 162.1 | 216.4 | 163.7 | 187.2 | 167.5 | 183.2 | 186.4 |
| Net income 1 | 144.5 | 118.3 | 158.4 | 125.7 | 132.6 | 122.9 | 131.8 | 136.4 |
| Net margin | 7.15% | 5.4% | 6.29% | 4.98% | 4.84% | 4.3% | 4.53% | 4.67% |
| EPS 2 | 2.170 | 1.750 | 2.250 | 1.860 | 1.960 | 1.819 | 1.949 | 2.019 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 33.8 | 125.7 | 217.9 | -231.8 | - | 197.4 | 237.7 | 272.4 |
| FCF margin | 1.67% | 5.74% | 8.65% | -9.19% | - | 6.9% | 8.16% | 9.33% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 10.61% | 41.51% | 58.83% | - | - | 52.14% | 59.76% | 69.25% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 23.39% | 106.26% | 137.56% | - | - | 160.62% | 180.42% | 199.72% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 2.080 | 1.600 | 1.900 | 1.750 | 1.780 | 1.760 | 1.845 | 2.000 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/12/21 | 3/11/22 | 3/15/23 | 3/13/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 S1 | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 981.9 | 570.1 | 685.4 | 601.4 | 610.4 | 604.1 | 706.1 | 664.7 | 620.2 | 684.5 | 771.5 | 709.4 | 656.4 | 708.1 | 772 | 696 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | 81.9 | 104 | 81.2 | 98.2 | 78.6 | 114.7 | 95.1 | 93.9 | 93.4 | 109.1 | 90.1 | 98.5 | 79.77 | 106.6 | 90.98 |
| EBIT 1 | 48.2 | 40.6 | 60.7 | 39.6 | 51.4 | 34.3 | 63.1 | 47 | 48.2 | 35.6 | 59.5 | 43.53 | 45.84 | 33.9 | 55.87 | 43.65 |
| Operating Margin | 4.91% | 7.12% | 8.86% | 6.58% | 8.42% | 5.68% | 8.94% | 7.07% | 7.77% | 5.2% | 7.71% | 6.14% | 6.98% | 4.79% | 7.24% | 6.27% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | 37.6 | 70.8 | 40.7 | 36.8 | 26.7 | 59.5 | 43.6 | 57.3 | 26.3 | 60 | 39.58 | 41.93 | 29.84 | 58.75 | 39.87 |
| Net income 1 | - | 26.2 | 47.9 | 30.5 | 25.4 | 28 | 41.4 | 32 | 46.6 | 12.2 | 44.7 | 29.21 | 29.03 | 21.91 | 42.75 | 29.41 |
| Net margin | - | 4.6% | 6.99% | 5.07% | 4.16% | 4.63% | 5.86% | 4.81% | 7.51% | 1.78% | 5.79% | 4.12% | 4.42% | 3.09% | 5.54% | 4.23% |
| EPS 2 | - | 0.3900 | 0.6900 | 0.4600 | 0.3800 | 0.4100 | 0.6100 | 0.4600 | 0.6700 | 0.1700 | 0.6600 | 0.4324 | 0.4297 | 0.3243 | 0.6328 | 0.4354 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | 1.900 | - | - | - | 1.750 | - | - | - | 1.780 | - | - | - | 1.830 | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/7/20 | 11/11/21 | 3/11/22 | 5/13/22 | 8/11/22 | 11/11/22 | 3/15/23 | 5/12/23 | 8/10/23 | 11/14/23 | 3/13/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | 145 | 287 | 460 | 511 | 531 | 572 | 545 |
| Net Cash position 1 | 24.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.4779 x | 0.7754 x | 1.234 x | 1.306 x | 1.402 x | 1.437 x | 1.386 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 33.8 | 126 | 218 | -232 | - | 197 | 238 | 272 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 20.8% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 19% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 7.76% | 4.41% | 4.24% | 2.47% | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | 1,862 | 2,680 | 3,736 | 5,088 | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 10.20 | 9.290 | 9.540 | 10.50 | 10.10 | 10.20 | 10.50 | 10.40 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 4.810 | 10.80 | 7.300 | -1.180 | 3.770 | 4.630 | 5.120 | - |
| Capex 1 | 153 | 143 | 161 | 152 | 155 | 191 | 167 | 160 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.57% | 6.55% | 6.4% | 6.02% | 5.67% | 6.68% | 5.75% | 5.49% |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/12/21 | 3/11/22 | 3/15/23 | 3/13/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
30.25
EUR
Average target price
29.08
EUR
Spread / Average Target
-3.88%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -7.49% | 2.18B | |
| -10.05% | 24.29B | |
| +1.55% | 17.39B | |
| +14.84% | 16.32B | |
| +28.97% | 7.53B | |
| +14.93% | 2.34B | |
| +18.49% | 1.92B | |
| -4.14% | 1.17B | |
| -6.32% | 735M | |
| +27.94% | 665M |
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- Financials Osterreichische Post AG
