Financials Origin Energy Limited

Equities

ORG

AU000000ORG5

Electric Utilities

Market Closed - Australian S.E. 02:10:11 2024-05-03 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
9.64 AUD +0.21% Intraday chart for Origin Energy Limited -0.72% +13.81%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 12,870 10,285 7,942 9,869 14,477 16,606 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 18,920 15,897 12,581 12,707 17,354 19,686 19,225 18,726
P/E ratio 10.6 x 124 x -3.46 x -7.03 x 13.7 x 11.7 x 10.6 x 13.3 x
Yield 3.42% 4.28% 4.43% 5.06% 4.34% 5.6% 5.88% 5.11%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.87 x 0.78 x 0.66 x 0.68 x 0.88 x 1.03 x 1.01 x 1.03 x
EV / Revenue 1.28 x 1.21 x 1.04 x 0.88 x 1.05 x 1.22 x 1.17 x 1.16 x
EV / EBITDA 5.85 x 5.06 x 6.14 x 6.01 x 5.59 x 5.34 x 5.17 x 5.82 x
EV / FCF 16.7 x 24 x 15 x 34.4 x -13.2 x 19.8 x 9.48 x 11 x
FCF Yield 6% 4.16% 6.68% 2.9% -7.57% 5.04% 10.6% 9.05%
Price to Book 0.98 x 0.81 x 0.81 x 0.98 x 1.63 x 1.74 x 1.68 x 1.61 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,760,668 1,761,128 1,760,921 1,722,303 1,721,367 1,722,603 - -
Reference price 2 7.310 5.840 4.510 5.730 8.410 9.640 9.640 9.640
Announcement Date 8/21/19 8/19/20 8/18/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 14,727 13,157 12,097 14,461 16,481 16,126 16,395 16,131
EBITDA 1 3,232 3,141 2,048 2,114 3,107 3,686 3,717 3,216
EBIT 1 1,308 1,329 540 527 1,417 2,085 2,088 1,649
Operating Margin 8.88% 10.1% 4.46% 3.64% 8.6% 12.93% 12.74% 10.22%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,278 179 -1,846 -874 1,478 1,856 1,816 1,322
Net income 1 1,211 83 -2,291 -1,429 1,055 1,475 1,604 1,331
Net margin 8.22% 0.63% -18.94% -9.88% 6.4% 9.15% 9.78% 8.25%
EPS 2 0.6870 0.0470 -1.302 -0.8150 0.6130 0.8274 0.9135 0.7265
Free Cash Flow 1 1,135 661 840 369 -1,313 992.2 2,029 1,696
FCF margin 7.71% 5.02% 6.94% 2.55% -7.97% 6.15% 12.38% 10.51%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 35.12% 21.04% 41.02% 17.46% - 26.92% 54.59% 52.73%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 93.72% 796.39% - - - 67.26% 126.5% 127.42%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2500 0.2500 0.2000 0.2900 0.3650 0.5394 0.5664 0.4926
Announcement Date 8/21/19 8/19/20 8/18/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2020 S1 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1
Net sales 6,728 6,068 6,029 - 7,950 - 7,721 -
EBITDA 1 1,590 1,154 - 1,099 1,015 1,059 2,048 1,995
EBIT 1 665 - 142 - 239 243 1,174 1,231
Operating Margin 9.88% - 2.36% - 3.01% - 15.21% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 697 - - - - - - -
Net income 1 599 13 - -131 -1,298 399 - 995
Net margin 8.9% 0.21% - - -16.33% - - -
EPS 2 0.3400 0.007000 - - - - - 0.5750
Dividend per Share 2 0.1500 0.1250 - 0.1250 - 0.1650 0.2000 0.2750
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/17/21 8/18/21 2/16/22 8/17/22 2/15/23 8/16/23 2/14/24
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 6,050 5,612 4,639 2,838 2,877 3,080 2,619 2,120
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.872 x 1.787 x 2.265 x 1.342 x 0.926 x 0.8357 x 0.7047 x 0.6593 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,135 661 840 369 -1,313 992 2,029 1,696
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.25% 7.93% 2.83% 4.18% 7.91% 13.5% 15.8% 11.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.11% 4.02% 1.38% 1.8% 3.48% 6.5% 8.5% 6.4%
Assets 1 29,450 2,062 -166,135 -79,575 30,342 22,694 18,870 20,791
Book Value Per Share 2 7.460 7.210 5.550 5.820 5.170 5.530 5.750 6.000
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.7500 0.5400 0.5500 0.3000 -0.3700 0.6400 0.9300 0.8800
Capex 1 405 665 500 728 680 672 708 507
Capex / Sales 2.75% 5.05% 4.13% 5.03% 4.13% 4.16% 4.32% 3.14%
Announcement Date 8/21/19 8/19/20 8/18/21 8/17/22 8/16/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
9.64 AUD
Average target price
9.646 AUD
Spread / Average Target
+0.06%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ORG Stock
  4. Financials Origin Energy Limited