Financials Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

ORBIA *

MX01OR010004

Commodity Chemicals

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
29.72 MXN -7.41% Intraday chart for Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. -7.96% -21.00%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 82,745 4,742 5,079 3,376 4,155 3,301 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 85,610 7,493 7,926 6,525 7,585 6,389 6,415 6,245
P/E ratio 398 x 26.1 x 7.73 x 5.9 x 74 x 8.38 x 10.4 x 7.3 x
Yield 0.22% 4.25% 3.92% - - 4.94% 5.58% 6.86%
Capitalization / Revenue 11.8 x 0.74 x 0.58 x 0.35 x 0.51 x 0.39 x 0.38 x 0.35 x
EV / Revenue 12.3 x 1.17 x 0.9 x 0.68 x 0.92 x 0.76 x 0.73 x 0.66 x
EV / EBITDA 62.7 x 5.69 x 3.87 x 3.42 x 5.2 x 4.47 x 4.07 x 3.54 x
EV / FCF 207 x 8.43 x 8.36 x 7.99 x 10.6 x 12 x 13.6 x -
FCF Yield 0.48% 11.9% 12% 12.5% 9.4% 8.36% 7.34% -
Price to Book 27.1 x 1.9 x 1.82 x 1.27 x 1.72 x 1.2 x 1.12 x 0.99 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,052,217 2,016,796 1,992,155 1,905,973 1,871,729 1,907,202 - -
Reference price 2 40.32 2.351 2.550 1.771 2.220 1.731 1.731 1.731
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 6,987 6,420 8,783 9,648 8,204 8,429 8,766 9,529
EBITDA 1 1,365 1,318 2,047 1,909 1,460 1,429 1,576 1,763
EBIT 1 823 720 1,449 1,328 849 788.2 938.2 1,114
Operating Margin 11.78% 11.21% 16.5% 13.76% 10.35% 9.35% 10.7% 11.69%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 533 479 1,154 1,034 485 415.3 628 772.3
Net income 1 207 195 657 567 65 340.7 312.2 394.4
Net margin 2.96% 3.04% 7.48% 5.88% 0.79% 4.04% 3.56% 4.14%
EPS 2 0.1012 0.0900 0.3300 0.3000 0.0300 0.2065 0.1662 0.2370
Free Cash Flow 1 413 889 948.5 817 713 534 471 -
FCF margin 5.91% 13.85% 10.8% 8.47% 8.69% 6.34% 5.37% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 30.26% 67.45% 46.34% 42.8% 48.84% 37.38% 29.88% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 199.52% 455.88% 144.37% 144.09% 1,096.92% 156.75% 150.88% -
Dividend per Share 2 0.0900 0.1000 0.1000 - - 0.0854 0.0966 0.1188
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 2,287 2,339 2,596 2,662 2,291 2,100 2,280 2,177 1,976 1,772 1,884 2,000 2,082 2,196 -
EBITDA 1 532 504 611 609 381 308 469 444 320 226 287 328.2 382.1 397.7 303
EBIT 1 388.3 345 467 467 234 160 323 297 178 55 122.6 158.4 209 218.3 -
Operating Margin 16.98% 14.75% 17.99% 17.54% 10.21% 7.62% 14.17% 13.64% 9.01% 3.1% 6.51% 7.92% 10.04% 9.94% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 318.9 259 426 396 132 80 223 161 99 - 15.13 50.93 101.5 110.8 -
Net income 1 197.4 126 250 266 86 -36 55 8 72 -71 8.017 26.99 53.8 58.75 -
Net margin 8.63% 5.39% 9.63% 9.99% 3.75% -1.71% 2.41% 0.37% 3.64% -4.01% 0.43% 1.35% 2.58% 2.67% -
EPS 2 0.1100 0.0700 0.1400 0.1400 0.0400 -0.0200 0.0300 0.004200 0.0400 -0.0400 0.005000 0.0170 0.0340 0.0370 0.0160
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.0250 - 0.0500 - - - - 0.0314 - 0.0842 - - - 0.0218
Announcement Date 10/27/21 2/23/22 4/27/22 7/27/22 10/26/22 2/23/23 4/26/23 7/26/23 10/25/23 2/21/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,865 2,751 2,847 3,149 3,430 3,088 3,114 2,944
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.099 x 2.087 x 1.391 x 1.65 x 2.349 x 2.161 x 1.975 x 1.67 x
Free Cash Flow 1 413 889 949 817 713 534 471 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 6.61% 8% 25.1% 21% 1.99% 7.67% 12.1% 14%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 2.06% 1.92% 6.32% 5.11% 0.56% 2.17% 2.8% 2.87%
Assets 1 10,049 10,149 10,397 11,105 11,589 15,728 11,149 13,747
Book Value Per Share 2 1.490 1.240 1.400 1.400 1.290 1.440 1.540 1.740
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.3700 0.5200 0.6100 0.6700 0.4900 0.5100 0.6000 -
Capex 1 261 204 286 470 658 650 700 800
Capex / Sales 3.74% 3.18% 3.26% 4.87% 8.02% 7.71% 7.99% 8.4%
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
1.731 USD
Average target price
3.219 USD
Spread / Average Target
+85.99%
Consensus
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