Financials Lucky Cement Limited

Equities

LUCK

PK0071501016

Construction Materials

End-of-day quote Pakistan S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
863.8 PKR +1.92% Intraday chart for Lucky Cement Limited +9.54% +9.76%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: Juni 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 123,034 149,263 279,215 148,442 163,610 253,082 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 123,034 232,372 376,904 148,442 163,610 253,082 253,082 253,082
P/E ratio 10.9 x 24.3 x 12.2 x 5.03 x 3.41 x 3.85 x 3.97 x 3.41 x
Yield 1.71% - - - 3.45% 2.15% 2.63% 1.27%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.14 x 1.21 x 1.35 x 0.45 x 0.36 x 2.03 x - -
EV / Revenue 1.14 x 1.21 x 1.35 x 0.45 x 0.36 x 2.03 x - -
EV / EBITDA 5,553,409 x 9,855,630 x 6,823,936 x - - - - -
EV / FCF - -3,076,635 x 39,973,653 x -10,978,134 x 4,879,808 x - - -
FCF Yield - -0% 0% -0% 0% - - -
Price to Book 1.13 x 1.31 x 2.06 x 0.87 x 0.73 x 1.33 x 1.15 x 1.57 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 323,375 323,375 323,375 323,375 313,375 293,000 - -
Reference price 2 380.5 461.6 863.4 459.0 522.1 863.8 863.8 863.8
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: Juni 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 108,296 123,768 207,159 331,462 459,459 124,584 - -
EBITDA 22,155 15,145 40,917 - - - - -
EBIT - 7,087 32,014 - 77,295 - - -
Operating Margin - 5.73% 15.45% - 16.82% - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 8,931 33,002 - 62,328 - - -
Net income - 6,132 22,858 29,497 48,758 - - -
Net margin - 4.95% 11.03% 8.9% 10.61% - - -
EPS 2 35.03 18.96 70.69 91.22 153.0 224.3 217.5 253.4
Free Cash Flow - -48,515 6,985 -13,522 33,528 - - -
FCF margin - -39.2% 3.37% -4.08% 7.3% - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - 17.07% - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 30.56% - 68.76% - - -
Dividend per Share 2 6.500 - - - 18.00 18.60 22.75 11.00
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2021 S1 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3
Net sales 1 - 54,982 68,398 123,380 - - 90,633 94,957 185,590 - - - - 28,224
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT - 7,819 8,962 16,781 - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin - 14.22% 13.1% 13.6% - - - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 10,595 9,922 20,517 - - 8,917 13,177 22,094 - - - - -
Net income - 6,651 6,496 13,147 7,572 - 5,449 10,464 15,913 - 17,706 17,633 - -
Net margin - 12.1% 9.5% 10.66% - - 6.01% 11.02% 8.57% - - - - -
EPS 2 32.05 20.57 20.09 - 23.41 27.15 16.85 32.51 49.32 66.47 57.80 59.41 117.2 21.00
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/29/21 10/28/21 1/28/22 1/28/22 4/29/22 8/5/22 10/31/22 1/30/23 1/30/23 5/2/23 10/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/24 -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt - 83,109 97,689 - - - - -
Net Cash position - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 5.488 x 2.387 x - - - - -
Free Cash Flow - -48,515 6,985 -13,522 33,528 - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 11% 5.5% 18.3% 19.2% 24.5% 16% 26.4% -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - 8.77% 11.6% 10.7% -
Assets - - - - 556,024 - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 337.0 352.0 419.0 528.0 714.0 652.0 753.0 550.0
Cash Flow per Share - - - - - - - -
Capex - 55,356 28,346 - - - - -
Capex / Sales - 44.73% 13.68% - - - - -
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
863.8 PKR
Average target price
1,070 PKR
Spread / Average Target
+23.86%
Consensus
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