GREEN PLAINS INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 21.4 USD | +1.13% |
|
-3.73% | -15.15% |
| Apr. 25 | Truist Securities Cuts Green Plains' Price Target to $30 From $35, Buy Rating Maintained | MT |
| Apr. 10 | BofA Securities Trims Price Target on Green Plains to $29 From $30, Maintains Buy Rating | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 556 | 469.6 | 1,863 | 1,809 | 1,501 | 1,383 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 874.4 | 761.9 | 2,035 | 2,075 | 1,776 | 1,718 | 1,713 | 1,470 |
| P/E ratio | -3.52 x | -4.19 x | -24.7 x | -13.3 x | -15.9 x | 42.5 x | 9.68 x | 6.78 x |
| Yield | 1.56% | 1.82% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.23 x | 0.24 x | 0.66 x | 0.49 x | 0.46 x | 0.48 x | 0.45 x | 0.36 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.36 x | 0.4 x | 0.72 x | 0.57 x | 0.54 x | 0.6 x | 0.56 x | 0.38 x |
| EV / EBITDA | -24.9 x | 20.7 x | 23.3 x | -2,524 x | 39 x | 10.6 x | 5.67 x | 3.74 x |
| EV / FCF | -10.3 x | -65.2 x | -11.1 x | -14.5 x | -34.3 x | 59.4 x | 15.5 x | 7.64 x |
| FCF Yield | -9.72% | -1.53% | -8.99% | -6.88% | -2.91% | 1.68% | 6.45% | 13.1% |
| Price to Book | 0.78 x | 0.73 x | 1.96 x | 1.99 x | 1.78 x | 1.57 x | 1.57 x | 1.13 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 36,032 | 35,658 | 53,596 | 59,295 | 59,513 | 64,644 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 15.43 | 13.17 | 34.76 | 30.50 | 25.22 | 21.40 | 21.40 | 21.40 |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/20 | 2/9/21 | 2/11/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,417 | 1,924 | 2,827 | 3,663 | 3,296 | 2,861 | 3,060 | 3,888 |
| EBITDA 1 | -35.14 | 36.75 | 87.38 | -0.822 | 45.51 | 162.5 | 302 | 393.3 |
| EBIT 1 | -142.6 | -122.7 | 25.51 | -98.95 | -61.58 | 66.62 | 196.8 | 270.6 |
| Operating Margin | -5.9% | -6.38% | 0.9% | -2.7% | -1.87% | 2.33% | 6.43% | 6.96% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -172.9 | -161.1 | -43 | -98.7 | -82.35 | 45.91 | 179.9 | 300.1 |
| Net income 1 | -166.9 | -108.8 | -65.99 | -127.2 | -93.38 | 34.71 | 144.3 | 224.2 |
| Net margin | -6.9% | -5.65% | -2.33% | -3.47% | -2.83% | 1.21% | 4.71% | 5.77% |
| EPS 2 | -4.380 | -3.140 | -1.410 | -2.290 | -1.590 | 0.5036 | 2.210 | 3.156 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -85.01 | -11.68 | -182.9 | -142.7 | -51.75 | 28.92 | 110.4 | 192.4 |
| FCF margin | -3.52% | -0.61% | -6.47% | -3.89% | -1.57% | 1.01% | 3.61% | 4.95% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | 17.79% | 36.55% | 48.91% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | 83.32% | 76.52% | 85.79% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.2400 | 0.2400 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/20 | 2/9/21 | 2/11/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 746.8 | 802.3 | 781.4 | 1,012 | 955 | 914 | 832.9 | 857.6 | 892.8 | 712.4 | 654.4 | 690.7 | 702.4 | 692.8 | 775 |
| EBITDA 1 | -14.77 | 31.95 | -27.78 | 56.72 | -35.52 | 5.761 | -27.65 | -14.93 | 42.93 | 45.15 | 7.983 | 39.93 | 55.37 | 57.01 | 63.47 |
| EBIT 1 | -44.68 | 7.803 | -47.9 | 33.84 | -61.88 | -23.01 | -56.54 | -42.48 | 21.17 | 16.27 | -16.9 | 15.92 | 30.12 | 29.35 | 42.77 |
| Operating Margin | -5.98% | 0.97% | -6.13% | 3.34% | -6.48% | -2.52% | -6.79% | -4.95% | 2.37% | 2.28% | -2.58% | 2.31% | 4.29% | 4.24% | 5.52% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -54.58 | 0.703 | -56.23 | 55.01 | -69.88 | -27.61 | -62.92 | -49.61 | 18.37 | 11.81 | -22.1 | 10.62 | 25.43 | 25.88 | 32.35 |
| Net income 1 | -59.62 | -9.568 | -61.47 | 46.4 | -73.53 | -38.62 | -70.32 | -52.6 | 22.31 | 7.233 | -20.85 | 5.773 | 20.52 | 23.3 | 24.5 |
| Net margin | -7.98% | -1.19% | -7.87% | 4.58% | -7.7% | -4.22% | -8.44% | -6.13% | 2.5% | 1.02% | -3.19% | 0.84% | 2.92% | 3.36% | 3.16% |
| EPS 2 | -1.180 | -0.1800 | -1.160 | 0.7300 | -1.270 | -0.6600 | -1.200 | -0.8900 | 0.3500 | 0.1200 | -0.3003 | 0.1037 | 0.2813 | 0.2763 | 0.4119 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/4/21 | 2/11/22 | 5/2/22 | 8/2/22 | 11/3/22 | 2/8/23 | 5/4/23 | 8/4/23 | 10/31/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 318 | 292 | 172 | 266 | 275 | 335 | 329 | 86.5 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | -9.06 x | 7.954 x | 1.964 x | -324 x | 6.04 x | 2.061 x | 1.09 x | 0.2199 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -85 | -11.7 | -183 | -143 | -51.7 | 28.9 | 110 | 192 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | - | -8.26% | -13.7% | -10.6% | 0.08% | 18.2% | 16% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 19.70 | 18.10 | 17.70 | 15.30 | 14.20 | 13.60 | 13.60 | 19.00 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.8700 | 4.040 | 1.480 | 0.3500 | 0.9600 | 1.530 | 2.860 | - |
| Capex 1 | 75.5 | 111 | 187 | 212 | 108 | 134 | 125 | 72.5 |
| Capex / Sales | 3.12% | 5.75% | 6.62% | 5.8% | 3.28% | 4.69% | 4.08% | 1.86% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/20 | 2/9/21 | 2/11/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
21.4
USD
Average target price
33.84
USD
Spread / Average Target
+58.13%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -15.15% | 1.38B | |
| 0.00% | 1.09B | |
| +20.59% | 998M | |
| +2.83% | 292M | |
| -24.81% | 168M | |
| -2.56% | 153M | |
| -2.86% | 104M | |
| +1.47% | 82.01M |
- Stock Market
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- Financials Green Plains Inc.
