Financials Exxaro Resources Limited

Equities

EXX

ZAE000084992

Coal

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
177.6 ZAR +2.16% Intraday chart for Exxaro Resources Limited -4.94% -13.13%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 32,908 34,855 37,431 52,488 49,389 42,906 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 38,718 45,822 41,149 47,247 38,453 29,872 27,163 24,702
P/E ratio 3.36 x 4.79 x 2.98 x 3.8 x 4.38 x 4.12 x 4.66 x 4.71 x
Yield 10.9% 13.6% 21.3% 12.6% 11.1% 13.9% 12.6% 11.1%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.28 x 1.21 x 1.14 x 1.13 x 1.28 x 1.12 x 1.08 x 1.06 x
EV / Revenue 1.51 x 1.58 x 1.26 x 1.02 x 0.99 x 0.78 x 0.68 x 0.61 x
EV / EBITDA 6.26 x 6.28 x 3.86 x 2.49 x 2.87 x 2.61 x 2.45 x 2.37 x
EV / FCF - - 5.09 x 2.75 x 2.83 x 2.52 x 2.68 x 2.33 x
FCF Yield - - 19.6% 36.4% 35.3% 39.8% 37.3% 43%
Price to Book 0.95 x 1.04 x 1.07 x 1.62 x 1.37 x 0.85 x 0.79 x 0.76 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 250,937 250,937 244,856 241,535 241,535 241,535 - -
Reference price 2 131.1 138.9 152.9 217.3 204.5 177.6 177.6 177.6
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/18/21 3/2/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 25,726 28,924 32,771 46,369 38,700 38,414 39,758 40,395
EBITDA 1 6,181 7,291 10,671 19,002 13,399 11,459 11,080 10,420
EBIT 1 4,269 4,293 7,460 16,220 10,600 8,410 8,146 7,409
Operating Margin 16.59% 14.84% 22.76% 34.98% 27.39% 21.89% 20.49% 18.34%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - 9,876 16,684 22,292 17,934 15,975 14,262 12,506
Net income 1 9,809 7,283 12,667 13,826 11,292 10,422 9,230 9,133
Net margin 38.13% 25.18% 38.65% 29.82% 29.18% 27.13% 23.22% 22.61%
EPS 2 39.08 29.02 51.28 57.13 46.66 43.07 38.14 37.74
Free Cash Flow 1 - - 8,081 17,211 13,585 11,877 10,128 10,618
FCF margin - - 24.66% 37.12% 35.1% 30.92% 25.47% 26.29%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - 75.73% 90.57% 101.39% 103.65% 91.41% 101.9%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 63.8% 124.48% 120.31% 113.96% 109.72% 116.27%
Dividend per Share 2 14.30 18.86 32.52 27.29 22.79 24.76 22.33 19.64
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/18/21 3/2/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2
Net sales 1 - 14,078 14,846 15,144 17,627 22,330 24,039
EBITDA 1 - 3,929 3,362 4,331 6,340 10,603 8,399
EBIT 1 - 4,069 224 3,031 4,429 9,196 7,024
Operating Margin - 28.9% 1.51% 20.01% 25.13% 41.18% 29.22%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - 6,103 3,773 9,283 7,401 13,083 9,209
Net income 1 - 4,334 2,949 8,224 5,863 8,250 5,576
Net margin - 30.79% 19.86% 54.31% 33.26% 36.95% 23.2%
EPS 2 19.39 17.27 11.75 32.90 18.38 34.09 23.04
Dividend per Share 2 - 6.430 12.43 20.77 11.75 15.93 11.36
Announcement Date 3/12/20 8/13/20 3/18/21 8/12/21 3/2/22 7/30/22 3/15/23
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 5,810 10,967 3,718 - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - - - 5,241 10,936 13,034 15,743 18,204
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.94 x 1.504 x 0.3484 x - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - - 8,081 17,211 13,585 11,877 10,128 10,618
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 19.8% 20.2% 25.8% 32% 22.8% 18.7% 16.1% 13.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 139.0 134.0 143.0 134.0 150.0 208.0 224.0 233.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 21.00 31.00 42.70 77.90 46.00 48.50 49.30 36.50
Capex 1 6,076 3,175 2,471 1,652 2,699 3,193 3,026 2,833
Capex / Sales 23.62% 10.98% 7.54% 3.56% 6.97% 8.31% 7.61% 7.01%
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/18/21 3/2/22 3/15/23 3/13/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
177.6 ZAR
Average target price
226.6 ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+27.55%
Consensus
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