DRIVEN BRANDS HOLDINGS INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 11.67 USD | -0.17% |
|
-18.99% | -18.02% |
| 01:32pm | JPMorgan Downgrades Driven Brands to Neutral From Overweight With $12.50 Price Target | MT |
| May. 02 | Driven Brands Shares Drop After Q1 Revenue Miss, Resignation of CFO Gary Ferrera | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 5,590 | 4,572 | 2,338 | 1,918 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 7,449 | 6,558 | 2,338 | 5,874 | 5,323 | 6,135 |
| P/E ratio | 557 x | 109 x | -3.17 x | 18 x | 12.4 x | 7.45 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.81 x | 2.25 x | 1.01 x | 0.8 x | 0.74 x | 0.67 x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.08 x | 3.23 x | 1.01 x | 2.43 x | 2.04 x | 2.14 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 20.6 x | 12.8 x | 4.37 x | 10.6 x | 8.52 x | 8.39 x |
| EV / FCF | 60.5 x | -27.4 x | -6.47 x | 59.2 x | 32.7 x | 29.2 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.65% | -3.64% | -15.5% | 1.69% | 3.06% | 3.42% |
| Price to Book | 3.4 x | 2.77 x | - | 1.9 x | 1.56 x | 1.33 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 167,380 | 167,404 | 163,959 | 164,100 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 33.40 | 27.31 | 14.26 | 11.69 | 11.69 | 11.69 |
| Announcement Date | 2/16/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 600.3 | 904.2 | 1,467 | 2,033 | 2,304 | 2,413 | 2,608 | 2,872 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | 205.4 | 361.7 | 513.8 | 535.1 | 552.7 | 625.1 | 731.7 |
| EBIT 1 | - | 143.3 | 248.9 | 366.6 | 359.8 | 388 | 446.3 | 536.9 |
| Operating Margin | - | 15.85% | 16.96% | 18.03% | 15.62% | 16.08% | 17.11% | 18.7% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | - | 34.89 | 68.34 | -847.7 | 174.1 | 258.3 | 348.2 |
| Net income 1 | 7.731 | -4.199 | 9.632 | 43.19 | -745 | 104.6 | 165.1 | 252.5 |
| Net margin | 1.29% | -0.46% | 0.66% | 2.12% | -32.33% | 4.33% | 6.33% | 8.79% |
| EPS 2 | - | -0.0400 | 0.0600 | 0.2500 | -4.500 | 0.6500 | 0.9400 | 1.570 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | 31.54 | 123.1 | -239 | -361.3 | 99.17 | 162.9 | 210 |
| FCF margin | - | 3.49% | 8.39% | -11.76% | -15.68% | 4.11% | 6.25% | 7.31% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | 15.35% | 34.03% | - | - | 17.94% | 26.06% | 28.7% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | 1,277.69% | - | - | 94.85% | 98.66% | 83.17% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/26/20 | 3/10/21 | 2/16/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 371.1 | 391.9 | 468.3 | 508.6 | 516.6 | 539.7 | 562.5 | 606.9 | 581 | 553.7 | 572.2 | 631.3 | 614.7 | 591.1 | 620.1 |
| EBITDA 1 | 97.96 | 84.95 | 118.5 | 135.4 | 129.4 | 130.5 | 127.8 | 151 | 127.2 | 129 | 131 | 148.6 | 139 | 138.4 | 145.2 |
| EBIT 1 | 69.52 | 50.9 | 85.49 | 97.33 | 92.84 | 90.95 | 89.63 | 105.6 | 81.6 | 82.99 | 87.79 | 104.9 | 95.66 | 91.59 | 102 |
| Operating Margin | 18.73% | 12.99% | 18.25% | 19.14% | 17.97% | 16.85% | 15.94% | 17.4% | 14.04% | 14.99% | 15.34% | 16.61% | 15.56% | 15.49% | 16.45% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 44.97 | -37.87 | 47.4 | -75.89 | 52.86 | 43.97 | 40.72 | 58.02 | -951.1 | 4.734 | 10.42 | 53.76 | 45.71 | 45.77 | 64.6 |
| Net income 1 | 33.12 | -38.76 | 34.44 | -57.04 | 38.39 | 27.4 | 29.75 | 37.75 | -799.3 | -13.15 | 4.261 | 40.75 | 29.64 | 27.62 | 42 |
| Net margin | 8.92% | -9.89% | 7.35% | -11.22% | 7.43% | 5.08% | 5.29% | 6.22% | -137.57% | -2.37% | 0.74% | 6.46% | 4.82% | 4.67% | 6.77% |
| EPS 2 | 0.1900 | -0.2300 | 0.2000 | -0.3400 | 0.2300 | 0.1600 | 0.1700 | 0.2300 | -4.820 | -0.0800 | 0.0300 | 0.2200 | 0.1960 | 0.1820 | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 10/27/21 | 2/16/22 | 4/27/22 | 7/27/22 | 10/26/22 | 2/22/23 | 5/3/23 | 8/2/23 | 11/1/23 | 2/22/24 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | 1,953 | 1,858 | 1,986 | - | 3,956 | 3,405 | 4,217 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 9.504 x | 5.137 x | 3.866 x | - | 7.157 x | 5.447 x | 5.764 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | 31.5 | 123 | -239 | -361 | 99.2 | 163 | 210 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | 6.24% | 10.7% | 12.6% | - | 15.9% | 18.6% | 19% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | 1.33% | 2.8% | 3.36% | - | 2.7% | 3.47% | - |
| Assets 1 | - | -316 | 344 | 1,284 | - | 3,872 | 4,758 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | 6.600 | 9.820 | 9.870 | - | 6.150 | 7.520 | 8.760 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | 0.8100 | 1.720 | 1.180 | 1.450 | 2.230 | 2.210 | - |
| Capex 1 | - | 52.5 | 161 | 436 | 596 | 258 | 245 | 260 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 5.8% | 10.96% | 21.45% | 25.89% | 10.7% | 9.41% | 9.05% |
| Announcement Date | 3/26/20 | 3/10/21 | 2/16/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
11.69
USD
Average target price
17.73
USD
Spread / Average Target
+51.64%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -18.02% | 1.92B | |
| +13.20% | 5.52B | |
| -3.96% | 4.19B | |
| +21.53% | 271M | |
| +39.22% | 85.91M | |
| -6.93% | 89.75M | |
| +38.18% | 80.97M | |
| -15.71% | 70.9M |
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- Financials Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
