Financials Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited

Equities

3868

VGG9833A1049

Independent Power Producers

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:09:05 2024-06-07 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
1.16 HKD +7.41% Intraday chart for Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited +4.50% -18.88%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 13,775 37,399 30,360 19,271 11,807 8,917 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 14,097 38,469 34,135 23,130 17,432 15,503 16,621 15,897
P/E ratio 13.6 x 39.1 x 24.6 x 19.4 x 11.4 x 7.41 x 6.52 x 5.86 x
Yield 6.62% 2.76% 4.07% 5.83% 4.2% 6.49% 7.54% 8.58%
Capitalization / Revenue 8.65 x 21.7 x 13.2 x 8.32 x 4.69 x 3.09 x 2.7 x 2.48 x
EV / Revenue 8.85 x 22.3 x 14.9 x 9.99 x 6.92 x 5.38 x 5.02 x 4.43 x
EV / EBITDA 9.38 x 23.5 x 15.6 x 10.8 x 7.49 x 5.97 x 5.59 x 4.84 x
EV / FCF 14.8 x 63.8 x 85.5 x 17.1 x -9.29 x -9.04 x -13.2 x 6.23 x
FCF Yield 6.77% 1.57% 1.17% 5.85% -10.8% -11.1% -7.55% 16%
Price to Book 1.19 x 3.12 x 2.42 x 1.61 x 0.89 x 0.65 x 0.62 x 0.58 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,752,478 7,109,998 7,109,998 7,440,400 8,256,589 8,256,589 - -
Reference price 2 2.040 5.260 4.270 2.590 1.430 1.080 1.080 1.080
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,593 1,722 2,297 2,315 2,517 2,883 3,309 3,589
EBITDA 1 1,502 1,640 2,185 2,140 2,327 2,598 2,974 3,288
EBIT 1 1,171 1,213 1,626 1,571 1,653 1,881 2,177 2,330
Operating Margin 73.49% 70.45% 70.79% 67.87% 65.67% 65.25% 65.81% 64.93%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,022 1,089 1,456 1,272 1,298 1,517 1,776 1,950
Net income 1 891 922 1,232 971.5 993 1,169 1,365 1,504
Net margin 55.93% 53.54% 53.66% 41.96% 39.45% 40.54% 41.27% 41.92%
EPS 2 0.1503 0.1344 0.1733 0.1333 0.1256 0.1458 0.1657 0.1843
Free Cash Flow 1 954 603.4 399.2 1,353 -1,877 -1,714 -1,256 2,551
FCF margin 59.88% 35.04% 17.38% 58.43% -74.57% -59.45% -37.95% 71.08%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 63.5% 36.8% 18.27% 63.21% - - - 77.6%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 107.07% 65.44% 32.4% 139.27% - - - 169.57%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1350 0.1450 0.1740 0.1510 0.0600 0.0701 0.0814 0.0927
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 S1 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1
Net sales 1 - 1,113 1,184 1,258 1,058 1,289
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - 804.2 821 888.1 682.6 886
Operating Margin - 72.28% 69.34% 70.61% 64.55% 68.76%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - -
Net income 1 437.6 - 611.5 - - 566.9
Net margin - - 51.65% - - 43.99%
EPS 2 - - - - - 0.0749
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 8/3/20 9/30/22 2/28/22 8/1/22 2/27/23 7/31/23
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 322 1,070 3,775 3,859 5,625 6,585 7,704 6,980
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.2142 x 0.6528 x 1.728 x 1.803 x 2.417 x 2.535 x 2.59 x 2.123 x
Free Cash Flow 1 954 603 399 1,353 -1,877 -1,714 -1,256 2,551
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 10.8% 8.31% 10% 7.99% 7.93% 8.52% 9.58% 10%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 7.54% 5.73% 6.41% 4.72% 4.84% 5.41% 5.65% 5.82%
Assets 1 11,811 16,099 19,218 20,571 20,537 21,588 24,177 25,849
Book Value Per Share 2 1.720 1.690 1.770 1.610 1.610 1.670 1.750 1.870
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.1900 0.1600 0.1700 0.4000 0.1000 0.1900 0.2300 0.2000
Capex 1 167 468 826 1,547 2,630 2,318 2,321 2,256
Capex / Sales 10.45% 27.15% 35.96% 66.8% 104.48% 80.39% 70.14% 62.86%
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
1.08 HKD
Average target price
1.351 HKD
Spread / Average Target
+25.06%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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