SINGTEL INVESTOR DAY
24 AUGUST 2023
MOHAMAD RAMZY - DERRICK HENG
CFRO - CMO TELKOMSEL
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Disclaimer
This document may contain forward-looking statements which actual results could differ materially from projections, estimations or expectations. These may involve risks and uncertainties and may cause actual results and development to differ substantially from those expressed or implied in the statements. The company does not guarantee that any action, which may have been taken in reliance of this document will bring specific results as expected.
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Resilience of the national economy and Indonesian cellular industry
Economic recovery projected to grow at around 5.0% YoY with inflation rate remain under control as of June 23 at 3.5% YoY. The declined of poverty rate demonstrated the resilience of the national economy
GDP - INFLATION RATE - POVERTY RATE
9.66% | 9.22% | 10.19% | 9.71% | 9.57% | 9.36% | ||||
5.17% | 5.02% | 3.69% | 5.31% | 5.20% | |||||
5.51% | |||||||||
1.68% | |||||||||
3.13% | Fuel | 3.70% | |||||||
2.72% | adjustment | ||||||||
1.87% | impact | ||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023F | ||||
GDP | Inflation | Poverty Rate -2.07% | |||||||
Source: BPS.co.id, Analyst Report of Ciptadana, IndoPremier, Mandiri Sekuritas
2023 Economy Projection
Optimistic Indonesia economic outlook to grow around 5.0 - 5.2%
Under control inflation rate at around 3.2 -
3.7%
Decline of poverty rate of the period of pre pandemic levels at 9.36%
Align with better economic condition, TSEL continue to implement healthy conduct and improve customer productivity resulting strong ARPU growth and traffic improvement with yield stabilization. However, naturally decline in Legacy suppressed overall growth
YOY | INDUSTRY | |||||
REVENUE | (BIG 3) | |||||
+4.9% | ||||||
77.2 | 81.0 | |||||
9.0 | ||||||
+1.0% | 11.5 | |||||
CELLULAR | -21.9% | |||||
+7.4% | (80.5%) | 44.0 | ||||
43.6 | ||||||
-25.7% | 8.5 | 6.3 | +9.5% | 65.7 | 72.0 | |
(88.9%) | ||||||
(85.1%) | ||||||
35.1 | 37.7 | |||||
(85.6%) | ||||||
Internal | 1H22 | 1H23 | 1H22 | 1H23 | ||
QoQ | INDUSTRY | ||||
(BIG 3) | |||||
+6.0% | |||||
Revenue by | 39.3 | 41.6 | |||
4.3 | |||||
Service | +4.7% | 4.7 | |||
Non-Data | |||||
21.5 | 22.5 | -7.3% | |||
37.3 | |||||
-11.4% | 3.3 | 3.0 | +7.7% | 34.6 | |
(89.6%) | |||||
(88.2%) | |||||
Data | 19.5 | ||||
18.2 | |||||
+7.7% | |||||
(86.8%) | |||||
(84.4%) | |||||
*) TSEL Data includes Digital Service | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 |
H1 23 positive momentum of growth underpinned by Digital Business revenue as a result of healthy conduct initiative with pricing rationalization
Digital Business Revenue (Rp Bn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ARPU (Rp 000) | YIELD (RPMB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7.4% | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
37,693 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35,082 | +9.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7.7% | +13.1% | Data Payload (PB) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
49.7 | 47.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
45.3 | +9.4% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
42.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19,543 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18,150 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7.0% | 8,524 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
7,794 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4,406 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4,119 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q23 | 2Q23 | 1H22 | 1H23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q23 | 2Q23 | 1H22 | 1H23 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 1H22 | 1H23 | |||||||||||||||||||
- ARPU uplift opportunity from cellular - FWA - FBB - FMC and potency of improvement in data consumption per customers compare with region
- Traffic improvement with stabilization of data yield as we applying right pricing initiative and stimulate customer productivity
- As we consistently applying cost efficiency initiative, we able to secure profitability and sustainable margin
EBITDA Margin Trend
54.0% | 58.7% | 57.2% | 56.7% | 56.0% | TSEL able to consistently | ||||||
maintain sustainable margin | |||||||||||
AVG. INDUSTRY | |||||||||||
43.8% | 49.9% | 50.2% | 49.1% | 50.2% | (BIG 3) | higher than industry for the | |||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 1H23 | last 4 years |
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Strategic actions to seize opportunities and ensure business sustainability
Healthy | Fixed Mobile | Digital Business | Securing | |||
Conduct & CVM | Convergence | portfolio | profitability | |||
➢ Right Pricing & Right | ➢ | Maintain business | ➢ | Improve | ➢ | Managing top-line | |
Offering | continuity | Productivity | ➢ | Cost optimization | |||
➢ | Market share | ➢ | Leverage existing | ➢ | Capture growth | measures | |
recovery | asset, scale, and | opportunities | ➢ | Network | |||
➢ | Personalization, | maximize data | ➢ | Secure long-term | improvement & | ||
Segmentation & | analytics | growth | optimization |
Differentiation
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SingTel - Singapore Telecommunications Limited published this content on 23 August 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 23 August 2023 10:14:09 UTC.