Financials Li Auto Inc. Hong Kong S.E.

Equities

2015

KYG5479M1050

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

Delayed Hong Kong S.E. 10:43:23 2024-05-20 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
81.6 HKD -18.32% Intraday chart for Li Auto Inc. -20.34% -44.49%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 160,010 207,200 137,291 266,240 166,639 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 132,249 185,344 108,435 171,700 61,416 40,495 8,333
P/E ratio -103 x -583 x -68 x 23.9 x 25 x 9.84 x 7.43 x
Yield - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 16.9 x 7.67 x 3.03 x 2.15 x 0.96 x 0.65 x 0.55 x
EV / Revenue 14 x 6.86 x 2.39 x 1.39 x 0.35 x 0.16 x 0.03 x
EV / EBITDA -380 x -434 x -44.4 x 18.6 x 4.42 x 1.91 x 0.32 x
EV / FCF 53.6 x 37.9 x 48.1 x 3.89 x 2.07 x 1.41 x 0.22 x
FCF Yield 1.86% 2.64% 2.08% 25.7% 48.4% 71% 446%
Price to Book - - - 4.37 x 2.2 x 1.78 x 1.46 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 850,594 1,016,174 975,752 1,002,213 1,061,010 - -
Reference price 2 188.1 203.9 140.7 265.7 157.1 157.1 157.1
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 284.4 9,457 27,010 45,287 123,851 173,792 256,513 304,205
EBITDA 1 - -348.3 -426.9 -2,441 9,212 13,896 21,214 25,717
EBIT 1 - -669.3 -1,017 -3,655 7,407 11,550 18,445 23,300
Operating Margin - -7.08% -3.77% -8.07% 5.98% 6.65% 7.19% 7.66%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - -188.9 -152.8 -2,159 10,452 7,991 22,120 28,144
Net income 1 - -792 -321.5 -2,012 11,704 6,648 20,007 25,327
Net margin - -8.37% -1.19% -4.44% 9.45% 3.83% 7.8% 8.33%
EPS 2 -12.74 -1.820 -0.3500 -2.070 11.10 6.287 15.96 21.13
Free Cash Flow 1 - 2,465 4,896 2,252 44,190 29,697 28,751 37,152
FCF margin - 26.07% 18.13% 4.97% 35.68% 17.09% 11.21% 12.21%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - 479.71% 213.71% 135.52% 144.47%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - 377.56% 446.69% 143.7% 146.69%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 7/10/20 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 10,620 9,562 8,733 9,342 17,650 18,787 28,653 34,679 41,732 25,634 35,178 45,628 54,811 53,040 60,699
EBITDA 1 - - -774.9 -1,750 295 763.7 2,040 - - - 2,650 3,633 4,680 6,215 8,388
EBIT 1 24.1 -413.1 -978.5 -2,130 -133.6 405.2 1,626 2,339 3,036 -584.9 1,811 2,651 4,088 4,484 6,504
Operating Margin 0.23% -4.32% -11.2% -22.8% -0.76% 2.16% 5.67% 6.75% 7.28% -2.28% 5.15% 5.81% 7.46% 8.45% 10.72%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 282.8 19.36 -645.3 -1,702 168.5 972.8 2,352 2,951 4,176 675.6 893.2 1,285 1,291 - -
Net income 1 295.5 -10.87 -618 -1,640 256.9 929.7 2,293 2,823 5,658 592.6 759.2 1,092 1,033 - -
Net margin 2.78% -0.11% -7.08% -17.56% 1.46% 4.95% 8% 8.14% 13.56% 2.31% 2.16% 2.39% 1.88% - -
EPS 2 0.2900 -0.0100 -0.6400 -1.680 0.2500 0.8900 2.180 2.670 5.320 - 0.7100 1.020 0.9600 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/25/22 5/10/22 8/15/22 12/9/22 2/27/23 5/10/23 8/8/23 11/9/23 2/26/24 5/20/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - 27,761 21,856 28,856 94,540 105,223 126,144 158,306
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - 2,465 4,896 2,252 44,190 29,697 28,751 37,152
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - -4.61% -0.91% -4.68% 22.3% 20.3% 24.1% 23.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - -3.45% -0.65% -2.71% 10.2% 7.68% 9.16% 9.28%
Assets 1 - 22,943 49,115 74,194 115,002 86,525 218,499 272,832
Book Value Per Share 2 - - - - 60.80 71.40 88.20 108.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 - 3.610 4.500 3.800 47.90 35.50 24.20 32.80
Capex 1 - 675 3,445 5,128 2,656 11,095 10,603 11,446
Capex / Sales - 7.14% 12.75% 11.32% 2.14% 6.38% 4.13% 3.76%
Announcement Date 7/10/20 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
157.1 CNY
Average target price
325.7 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+107.37%
Consensus
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