GRAFTON GROUP PLC |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 960.4 GBX | -1.34% |
|
+3.19% | +5.41% |
| May. 10 | StanChart exec sells shares; new Alphawave CFO buys | AN |
| May. 10 | UBS raises Trainline, cuts Kingspan | AN |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 2,062 | 2,205 | 2,954 | 1,766 | 1,872 | 1,949 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,596 | 2,560 | 2,815 | 1,757 | 1,921 | 1,972 | 1,924 | 1,772 |
| P/E ratio | 17.3 x | 20.5 x | 8.66 x | 8.84 x | 13.1 x | 16.8 x | 14.4 x | 12.9 x |
| Yield | 2.19% | 1.57% | 2.47% | 4.18% | 3.95% | 3.64% | 3.8% | 3.96% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.71 x | 0.88 x | 1.4 x | 0.77 x | 0.81 x | 0.86 x | 0.82 x | 0.79 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.89 x | 1.02 x | 1.33 x | 0.76 x | 0.83 x | 0.87 x | 0.81 x | 0.71 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.3 x | 9.11 x | 7.54 x | 4.61 x | 6.16 x | 6.94 x | 6.21 x | 5.29 x |
| EV / FCF | 14.2 x | 7.47 x | 14.4 x | 10.8 x | 8.58 x | 13.6 x | 13.1 x | 9.89 x |
| FCF Yield | 7.05% | 13.4% | 6.94% | 9.22% | 11.7% | 7.38% | 7.66% | 10.1% |
| Price to Book | 1.52 x | 1.51 x | 1.72 x | 1.06 x | 1.18 x | 1.45 x | 1.41 x | 1.47 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 237,805 | 239,036 | 239,572 | 223,950 | 205,481 | 200,255 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 8.670 | 9.225 | 12.33 | 7.886 | 9.111 | 9.734 | 9.734 | 9.734 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/7/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,924 | 2,509 | 2,110 | 2,301 | 2,319 | 2,275 | 2,374 | 2,483 |
| EBITDA 1 | 312.6 | 281 | 373.4 | 381.2 | 311.8 | 284.4 | 310 | 335.1 |
| EBIT 1 | 204.8 | 193.3 | 287.7 | 285.9 | 205.5 | 168.1 | 192.6 | 213.8 |
| Operating Margin | 7% | 7.7% | 13.64% | 12.42% | 8.86% | 7.39% | 8.11% | 8.61% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 172.6 | 132.7 | 249.8 | 251.7 | 183.5 | 150.9 | 174.4 | 192.6 |
| Net income 1 | 119.2 | 107.5 | 341.3 | 208.6 | 148.7 | 118 | 133.7 | 148.5 |
| Net margin | 4.08% | 4.29% | 16.17% | 9.06% | 6.41% | 5.19% | 5.63% | 5.98% |
| EPS 2 | 0.5000 | 0.4510 | 1.423 | 0.8918 | 0.6960 | 0.5802 | 0.6758 | 0.7551 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 183.1 | 342.5 | 195.4 | 162 | 224 | 145.5 | 147.4 | 179.1 |
| FCF margin | 6.26% | 13.65% | 9.26% | 7.04% | 9.66% | 6.4% | 6.21% | 7.22% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 58.57% | 121.89% | 52.33% | 42.5% | 71.84% | 51.18% | 47.56% | 53.46% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 153.56% | 318.49% | 57.26% | 77.67% | 150.62% | 123.28% | 110.26% | 120.66% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.1900 | 0.1450 | 0.3050 | 0.3300 | 0.3600 | 0.3541 | 0.3696 | 0.3855 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/7/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2022 S1 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,058 | - | - | - | 1,130 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | - | - | 100.4 |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | 8.88% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | - | 231.4 | 109.4 | 74.78 | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS | 0.0670 | 0.9660 | 0.4580 | 0.3415 | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/27/20 | 8/25/21 | 8/25/22 | 8/31/23 | 3/7/24 |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 534 | 355 | - | - | 49.3 | 22.9 | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | 139 | 8.92 | - | - | 25.1 | 178 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.708 x | 1.263 x | - | - | 0.158 x | 0.0806 x | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 183 | 343 | 195 | 162 | 224 | 146 | 147 | 179 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 11.2% | 9.56% | 14% | 12% | 8.74% | 7.65% | 8.39% | 9.09% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 5.720 | 6.120 | 7.160 | 7.460 | 7.740 | 6.730 | 6.910 | 6.620 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.9800 | 1.580 | 1.000 | 0.9300 | 1.280 | 0.8000 | 0.8600 | 0.9200 |
| Capex 1 | 50.4 | 35.2 | 43.6 | 55.3 | 48.8 | 65 | 67.8 | 71.2 |
| Capex / Sales | 1.72% | 1.4% | 2.07% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.86% | 2.86% | 2.87% |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/7/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
9.734
GBP
Average target price
11.52
GBP
Spread / Average Target
+18.40%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +22.38% | 11.69B | |
| +6.81% | 5.91B | |
| +3.34% | 5.28B | |
| +75.64% | 2.31B | |
| -9.05% | 893M | |
| +27.64% | 796M | |
| +22.43% | 643M | |
| -9.41% | 479M | |
| -17.22% | 399M |
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