Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Banco BBVA Peru
Update
Ratings
Foreign Currency
Long-Term IDR | BBB |
Short-Term IDR | F2 |
Key Rating Drivers
Shareholder Support Rating Drives IDRs: Banco BBVA Peru's (BBVA Peru) Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) are driven by the support it would receive from its parent, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA S.A.; BBB+/Stable), should it be required. Fitch Ratings believes the parent's propensity to support BBVA Peru is high, given the strategic role this subsidiary plays in its regional goals. Latin America (LatAm) is a strategically important market for BBVA; hence, if required, support would be forthcoming for BBVA Peru, underpinning its Shareholder Support Rating (SSR) of 'bbb'.
Standalone Strength Drives VR: BBVA Peru's 'bbb' Viability Rating (VR) reflects its strong franchise and sizable market share, as it remains the second largest bank in Peru. The VR also considers its adequate asset quality and profitability metrics, stable deposit base and reasonable capital metric that could be enhanced by the parent, if needed.
Asset Quality Remains a Challenge: As of June 2023 (2Q23), BBVA Peru's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio (90+ days past due) increased to 4.03% from 3.70% in 2022. This continued an upward trend in place since the bank implemented its strategy of increasing participation in retail loans, which has improved profitability. This deterioration is also partially attributable to Reactiva loans that do not pose a risk of loss. Delinquent SME and commercial loans, and the heightened importance of consumer lending also contributed to this trend.
The bank's loan portfolio slightly decreased in 2022 and 2Q23, attributable to a strategy of reducing corporate loan exposure and due to maturing Reactiva loans. Fitch expects the NPL ratio to remain at about 3.5%.
Enhanced Profitability: The bank's profitability continued to improve due to its focus on profitable, although riskier, loan segments. In 6M23, its operating profit to risk-weighted assets (RWA) ratio improved to 3.12% (annualized) from 2.88% in 2022. Higher interest income on loans and investments, along with non-interest income from fees and commissions, has contributed to the enhancement. Profits could be challenged by higher loan impairment charges, given the focus on riskier loan types, although the bank's risk management is sound.
Sufficient Capitalization: The bank's capital metrics are reasonable and benefit from the reduction in the loan portfolio. As of 2Q23, BBVA Peru's Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio was 12.15%, which is relatively weak compared to that of other similarly rated banks in 'bbb' operating environments (OEs). When assessing BBVA Peru's capital metrics, Fitch considers the ordinary support it would receive from its parent, if needed. Fitch anticipates BBVA Peru's capital will maintain a similar pattern, with regulatory levels sufficiently above minimum requirements.
Local Currency
Long-Term IDR | BBB |
Short-Term IDR | F2 |
Viability Rating | bbb |
Shareholder Support Rating | bbb |
Sovereign Risk (Peru)
Long-Term,Foreign-Currency | BBB |
IDR | |
Long-Term,Local-Currency IDR | BBB |
Country Ceiling | BBB+ |
Outlooks
Long-Term,Foreign-Currency | Stable |
IDR | |
Long-Term,Local-Currency | Stable |
IDR | |
Sovereign Long-Term, Foreign- | Negative |
Currency IDR | |
Sovereign Long-Term, Local- | Negative |
Currency IDR |
Applicable Criteria
Bank Rating Criteria (September 2023)
Future Flow Securitization Rating Criteria (April 2023)
Related Research
Banco BBVA Peru (April 2023)
Fitch Affirms BBVA Peru at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable (March 2023)
Large Peruvian Banks - Peer Review (June 2023)
Ample and Diversified Funding Base: Funding continues to be stable and diversified, relying on a wide deposit base and access to capital markets. As of 2Q23, the loan to deposit ratio was 110.35%. Other funding sources include bilateral loans, and local and foreign debt issuance, including subordinated bonds. Liquidity is properly managed and the proportion of liquid assets is satisfactory.
Firmado Digitalmente por:
WILLIAM SCHELLO SANDOVAL CUBA
Fecha: 08/09/2023 04:51:10 p.m.
Analysts
Ricardo Aguilar
+52 81 4161 7086 ricardo.aguilar@fitchratings.com
Andres Marquez
+57 601 241 3254 andres.marquez@fitchratings.com
Update │ September 8, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 1 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade
Issuer Default Ratings
- BBVA Peru's IDRs and Rating Outlook are driven by its SSR. A negative rating action on BBVA S.A. would result in a similar action on the SSR; however, BBVA Peru's IDRs would only be downgraded if its VR is also downgraded, given Fitch's "higher of" approach.
Viability Rating
- Any negative rating action on the sovereign or in Fitch's OE assessment would lead to a similar action on BBVA Peru's VR.
- The VR could be negatively affected if the bank's asset quality deteriorates significantly, leading to a sustained decline in operating performance and capital cushion, particularly a sustained decline in the FCC to adjusted RWA ratio to under 10%, assuming maintenance of excess reserves and noncore loss-absorbing capital.
Shareholder Support Rating
- The SSR would be affected by a negative change in BBVA's ability or willingness to support the bank.
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade
Issuer Default Rating
- The IDRs could benefit from significant improvement in the parent's ability to provide support, evidenced by BBVA's IDR, although subject to sovereign rating and Country Ceiling considerations.
Viability Rating
- There is limited upside potential for the VR, given the sovereign's current rating and Negative Rating Outlook.
- Rating upgrades are possible over the medium term via a confluence of material improvement in the OE and the bank's financial profile, within the context of a sovereign rating upgrade, as Fitch rarely rates bank VRs above the sovereign's IDR.
Shareholder Support Rating
- The SSR would be affected by a positive change in BBVA's ability or willingness to support the bank.
Debt Rating Classes
Rating Level | Rating |
Subordinated: Long Term | BB+ |
Source: Fitch Ratings | |
Subordinated Debt
The subordinated debt is rated 'BB+'. This reflects the baseline notching for loss severity from the bank's support-drivenLong-Term,Foreign-Currency IDR, which Fitch deems the appropriate anchor rating.
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:
Subordinated Debt
- The subordinated notes' rating is sensitive to any change in BBVA Peru's IDR.
Banco BBVA Peru | ||
Update │ September 8, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 2 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:
Subordinated Debt
The subordinated notes' rating is sensitive to any change in BBVA Peru's IDR.
Ratings Navigator
The Key Rating Driver (KRD) weightings used to determine the implied VR are shown as percentages at the top. In cases where the implied VR is adjusted upward or downward to arrive at the VR, the KRD associated with the adjustment reason is highlighted in red. The shaded areas indicate the benchmark-implied scores for each KRD.
VR - Adjustments to Key Rating Drivers
- The Operating Environment score has been assigned above the implied score due to the following adjustment reasons: Sovereign rating (positive) and macroeconomic stability (positive).
- The Capitalization and Leverage score has been assigned above the implied score due to the following adjustment reason: Capital flexibility and ordinary support (positive).
Recent Developments
Profitability Strengthened; Asset Quality Still Challenged.
BBVA Peru continued to gradually shift its loan portfolio mix, by increasing the importance of retail loans, which, as of 2Q23, accounted for about 35% of the total portfolio (2021: 30%). This has partially driven the improvement in profitability, as the operating profit to RWA ratio was 3.12% in 6M23 (four-year average: 2.41%). In contrast, the NPL ratio has gradually deteriorated with a metric of 4.03% as of 2Q23 (four-year average: 3.21%).
The bank's loan portfolio slightly decreased in 2022 and in 2Q23 due to a concerted effort to reduce exposure on corporate loans. Also, most of the Reactiva loans have matured, which has played a part in the portfolio decline; as of 2Q23, these loans accounted for about 4% of gross loans (4Q22: 8%), diminishing significantly from a peak of 20% in 2020. Reactiva loans also contribute to the NPL ratio, but due to the government's guarantee, these loans do not pose a risk of loss.
Banco BBVA Peru | ||
Update │ September 8, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 3 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
June 30, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 | Dec. 31, 2021 | Dec. 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
Six Mos. - Interim | Six Mos. - Interim | Year End | Year End | Year End | Year End | |
USD Mil. | PEN Mil. | PEN Mil. | PEN Mil. | PEN Mil. | PEN Mil. | |
Not Disclosed | Not Disclosed Audited - Unqualified Audited - Unqualified Audited - Unqualified Audited - Unqualified | |||||
Summary Income Statement | ||||||
Net Interest and Dividend Income | 710 | 2.571,6 | 4.613,3 | 3.601,9 | 3.244,2 | 3.421,6 |
Net Fees and Commissions | 145 | 525,8 | 893,4 | 873,4 | 811,5 | 812,8 |
Other Operating Income | 116 | 421,2 | 620,4 | 709,1 | 659,7 | 692,9 |
Total Operating Income | 971 | 3.518,6 | 6.127,1 | 5.184,4 | 4.715,4 | 4.927,3 |
Operating Costs | 379 | 1.374,1 | 2.480,8 | 2.168,7 | 2.056,0 | 1.952,2 |
Pre-Impairment Operating Profit | 592 | 2.144,5 | 3.646,3 | 3.015,7 | 2.659,4 | 2.975,1 |
Loan and Other Impairment Charges | 207 | 749,5 | 984,6 | 752,7 | 1.751,2 | 757,9 |
Operating Profit | 385 | 1.395,0 | 2.661,7 | 2.263,0 | 908,2 | 2.217,2 |
Other Non-Operating Items (Net) | -5 | -19,8 | 14,0 | -10,8 | -20,8 | 22,1 |
Tax | 101 | 367,7 | 753,9 | 691,7 | 239,2 | 630,2 |
Net Income | 278 | 1.007,5 | 1.921,8 | 1.560,5 | 648,2 | 1.609,1 |
Other Comprehensive Income | 36 | 131,3 | -58,4 | -151,9 | 96,3 | 30,8 |
Fitch Comprehensive Income | 314 | 1.138,8 | 1.863,4 | 1.408,6 | 744,5 | 1.639,9 |
Summary Balance Sheet | ||||||
Assets | ||||||
Gross Loans | 20.156 | 73.044,4 | 73.784,9 | 75.091,8 | 71.012,9 | 59.305,3 |
- of which Impaired | 812 | 2.943,7 | 2.730,0 | 2.463,0 | 2.151,5 | 1.666,5 |
Loan Loss Allowances | 1.320 | 4.783,3 | 4.662,5 | 4.658,2 | 4.419,1 | 2.907,0 |
Net Loan | 18.836 | 68.261,1 | 69.122,4 | 70.433,6 | 66.593,8 | 56.398,3 |
Interbank | 743 | 2.694,4 | 3.703,0 | 712,1 | 5.498,9 | 3.782,8 |
Derivatives | 450 | 1.632,5 | 1.353,3 | 1.843,5 | 1.001,9 | 572,3 |
Other Securities and Earning Assets | 2.878 | 10.428,7 | 11.603,9 | 9.773,6 | 11.426,0 | 6.655,5 |
Total Earning Assets | 22.907 | 83.016,7 | 85.782,6 | 82.762,8 | 84.520,6 | 67.408,9 |
Cash and Due from Banks | 3.299 | 11.954,3 | 8.442,0 | 15.582,9 | 19.593,0 | 11.184,0 |
Other Assets | 1.488 | 5.394,2 | 3.820,8 | 3.150,1 | 3.223,7 | 3.186,0 |
Total Assets | 27.695 | 100.365,2 | 98.045,4 | 101.495,8 | 107.337,3 | 81.778,9 |
Liabilities | ||||||
Customer Deposits | 18.266 | 66.195,5 | 65.818,3 | 63.013,2 | 70.737,7 | 54.556,5 |
Interbank and Other Short-Term Funding | 3.304 | 11.974,0 | 11.588,3 | 17.282,1 | 16.948,9 | 5.760,7 |
Other Long-Term Funding | 1.183 | 4.286,5 | 4.036,9 | 6.850,3 | 6.836,1 | 9.216,8 |
Trading Liabilities and Derivatives | 423 | 1.534,3 | 1.349,5 | 1.607,1 | 891,0 | 510,7 |
Total Funding and Derivatives | 23.176 | 83.990,3 | 82.793,0 | 88.752,7 | 95.413,7 | 70.044,7 |
Other Liabilities | 1.363 | 4.938,6 | 3.999,0 | 2.574,4 | 2.561,7 | 2.553,7 |
Preference Shares and Hybrid Capital | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Total Equity | 3.156 | 11.436,3 | 11.253,4 | 10.168,7 | 9.361,9 | 9.180,5 |
Total Liabilities and Equity | 27.695 | 100.365,2 | 98.045,4 | 101.495,8 | 107.337,3 | 81.778,9 |
Exchange Rate | USD1 = PEN3,624 | USD1 = PEN3,809 | USD1 = PEN3,9849 | USD1 = PEN3,62 | USD1 = PEN3,312 | |
PEN - Peruvian Sol. N.A. - Not applicable.
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions, BBVA Peru.
Banco BBVA Peru | ||
Update │ September 8, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 4 |
Banks
Universal Commercial Banks
Peru
Summary Financials and Key Ratios
June 30, 2023 | Dec. 31, 2022 | Dec. 31, 2021 | Dec. 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
Ratios (%, Annualized as Appropriate) | |||||
Profitability | |||||
Operating Profit/Risk-Weighted Assets | 3,1 | 2,9 | 2,7 | 1,2 | 2,9 |
Net Interest Income/Average Earning Assets | 6,1 | 5,3 | 4,3 | 4,3 | 5,4 |
Non-Interest Expense/Gross Revenue | 39,0 | 40,5 | 41,9 | 43,6 | 39,7 |
Net Income/Average Equity | 18,2 | 18,4 | 16,4 | 7,0 | 18,9 |
Asset Quality | |||||
Impaired Loans Ratio | 4,0 | 3,7 | 3,3 | 3,0 | 2,8 |
Growth in Gross Loans | -1,0 | -1,7 | 5,7 | 19,7 | 8,5 |
Loan Loss Allowances/Impaired Loans | 162,5 | 170,8 | 189,1 | 205,4 | 174,4 |
Loan Impairment Charges/Average Gross Loans | 2,1 | 1,3 | 1,0 | 2,7 | 1,3 |
Capitalization | |||||
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio | 12,2 | 12,5 | 10,3 | 10,8 | 10,4 |
Fully Loaded Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Fitch Core Capital Ratio | N.A. | 11,8 | 11,7 | 11,7 | 11,6 |
Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets | 10,4 | 11,1 | 9,7 | 8,5 | 10,9 |
Basel Leverage Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Net Impaired Loans/Common Equity Tier | -16,8 | N.A. | N.A. | -27,1 | N.A. |
Net Impaired Loans/Fitch Core Capital | N.A. | -17,8 | -22,3 | -25,0 | -14,0 |
Funding and Liquidity | |||||
Gross Loans/Customer Deposits | 110,4 | 112,1 | 119,2 | 100,4 | 108,7 |
Liquidity Coverage Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Customer Deposits/Total Non-Equity Funding | 80,3 | 80,8 | 72,3 | 74,8 | 78,5 |
Net Stable Funding Ratio | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. | N.A. |
Gross Loans/Customer Deposits + Covered Bonds | 110,4 | 112,1 | 119,2 | 100,4 | 108,7 |
N.A. - Not applicable
Source: Fitch Ratings, Fitch Solutions, BBVA Peru
Banco BBVA Peru | ||
Update │ September 8, 2023 | fitchratings.com | 5 |
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Banco BBVA Peru SA published this content on 08 September 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 08 September 2023 22:12:05 UTC.