Financials Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

Equities

AESI

US6420451089

Construction Materials

End-of-day quote Nyse Other stock markets 06:00:00 2024-05-09 pm EDT			5-day change	1st Jan Change
22.72 ^USD	-1.17%		+3.56%	+31.94%

May. 06	Sector Update: Energy Stocks Advance Late Monday Afternoon	MT
May. 06	Sector Update: Energy Stocks Rise in Monday Afternoon Trading	MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December	2023	2024	2025	2026
Capitalization ¹	1,722	2,525	-	-
Enterprise Value (EV) ¹	1,685	2,693	2,528	2,144
P/E ratio	11.6 x	12.2 x	6.03 x	5.75 x
Yield	3.19%	3.47%	6.37%	7.79%
Capitalization / Revenue	2.81 x	2.17 x	1.75 x	1.72 x
EV / Revenue	2.74 x	2.31 x	1.76 x	1.46 x
EV / EBITDA	5.11 x	6.76 x	3.99 x	3.41 x
EV / FCF	-25.4 x	-445 x	5.54 x	5.84 x
FCF Yield	-3.94%	-0.22%	18.1%	17.1%
Price to Book	-	-	-	-
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	100,026	109,850	-	-
Reference price ²	17.22	22.72	22.72	22.72
Announcement Date	2/27/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million²USD

Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net sales ¹	-	614	1,166	1,440	1,464
EBITDA ¹	-	329.7	398.3	633.6	628.6
EBIT ¹	-	270.4	296.3	523.9	544.5
Operating Margin	-	44.05%	25.41%	36.38%	37.18%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	218.9	257.9	277.7	546.7	556
Net income ¹	217	226.5	207.1	413.9	429
Net margin	-	36.89%	17.76%	28.74%	29.3%
EPS ²	-	1.484	1.868	3.766	3.950
Free Cash Flow ¹	-	-66.46	-6.05	456.4	367.1
FCF margin	-	-10.82%	-0.52%	31.7%	25.07%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA)	-	-	-	72.04%	58.4%
FCF Conversion (Net income)	-	-	-	110.29%	85.57%
Dividend per Share ²	-	0.5500	0.7881	1.447	1.770
Announcement Date	2/16/23	2/27/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million²USD

Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December	2023 Q1	2023 Q2	2023 Q3	2023 Q4	2024 Q1	2024 Q2	2024 Q3	2024 Q4	2025 Q1
Net sales ¹	153.4	161.8	157.6	141.1	192.7	289.3	342.2	341.8	357.6
EBITDA ¹	84.03	92.85	84.08	68.7	75.54	81.65	109.3	132.3	156.5
EBIT ¹	73.84	77.78	68.6	50.19	39.68	52.51	83.82	110.9	136.9
Operating Margin	48.13%	48.08%	43.53%	35.56%	20.59%	18.15%	24.5%	32.44%	38.28%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	70.58	76.26	63.96	47.06	34.72	46.72	80.49	117.1	132.9
Net income ¹	56.3	38.52	56.33	36.05	26.79	36.42	61.06	83.84	104.5
Net margin	36.69%	23.81%	35.74%	25.54%	13.9%	12.59%	17.85%	24.53%	29.22%
EPS ²	0.9800	0.6700	0.9724	0.3565	0.2600	0.3350	0.5525	0.7225	0.9500
Dividend per Share ²	-	-	-	0.2100	0.2200	0.1600	0.1600	0.1600	-
Announcement Date	5/8/23	7/31/23	10/30/23	2/27/24	5/6/24	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million²USD

Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net Debt ¹	-	-	168	2.19	-
Net Cash position ¹	-	37.4	-	-	382
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	-	-	0.4217 x	0.003464 x	-
Free Cash Flow ¹	-	-66.5	-6.05	456	367
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity)	-	32.8%	22.6%	27.8%	22.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets)	-	-	-	-	-
Assets ¹	-	-	-	-	-
Book Value Per Share	-	-	-	-	-
Cash Flow per Share ²	-	4.210	2.990	4.580	4.490
Capex ¹	-	365	354	94	65.3
Capex / Sales	-	59.53%	30.38%	6.53%	4.46%
Announcement Date	2/16/23	2/27/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million²USD

Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

Trading Rating

Investor Rating

ESG Refinitiv

More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell

Buy

Mean consensus

BUY

Number of Analysts

Last Close Price

22.99 USD

Average target price

26 USD

Spread / Average Target

+13.09%

Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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