ARITZIA INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 38.02 CAD | +6.14% |
|
+7.71% | +38.25% |
| May. 03 | UBS Lifts Aritzia Target to $53, Maintains Buy, on Long-term Outlook | MT |
| May. 03 | Aritzia Upgraded to Outperform at BMO, Shares Down 6% | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 2,346 | 3,495 | 5,075 | 4,608 | 3,911 | 4,235 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,303 | 3,915 | 4,810 | 4,521 | 3,911 | 3,999 | 3,854 | 3,589 |
| P/E ratio | 26.6 x | 187 x | 33.6 x | 25.6 x | 51.1 x | 22.8 x | 16.4 x | 13.4 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.39 x | 4.08 x | 3.4 x | 2.1 x | 1.68 x | 1.65 x | 1.46 x | 1.29 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.35 x | 4.57 x | 3.22 x | 2.06 x | 1.68 x | 1.55 x | 1.32 x | 1.09 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.03 x | 23.5 x | 16.6 x | 9.85 x | 10.8 x | 7.59 x | 6.1 x | - |
| EV / FCF | 13.2 x | 46.8 x | 17.7 x | -89.2 x | - | 14 x | 7.53 x | - |
| FCF Yield | 7.57% | 2.14% | 5.64% | -1.12% | - | 7.15% | 13.3% | - |
| Price to Book | 7.07 x | 9.99 x | - | - | - | 4.45 x | 3.73 x | 3.07 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 109,324 | 109,589 | 110,913 | 110,492 | 110,819 | 111,384 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 21.46 | 31.89 | 45.76 | 41.70 | 35.29 | 38.02 | 38.02 | 38.02 |
| Announcement Date | 5/28/20 | 5/11/21 | 5/5/22 | 5/2/23 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 980.6 | 857.3 | 1,495 | 2,196 | 2,332 | 2,572 | 2,909 | 3,280 |
| EBITDA 1 | 255.1 | 166.8 | 289.4 | 459 | 362.7 | 526.7 | 631.9 | - |
| EBIT 1 | 152.3 | 51.09 | 236 | 287.2 | 158.4 | 320.8 | 429.4 | 504.7 |
| Operating Margin | 15.53% | 5.96% | 15.79% | 13.08% | 6.79% | 12.47% | 14.76% | 15.39% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 126.1 | 26.2 | 219.6 | 263.8 | 114.6 | 264.2 | 356.9 | - |
| Net income 1 | 90.59 | 19.23 | 156.9 | 187.6 | 78.78 | 192.7 | 261.3 | - |
| Net margin | 9.24% | 2.24% | 10.5% | 8.54% | 3.38% | 7.49% | 8.98% | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.8080 | 0.1704 | 1.360 | 1.630 | 0.6900 | 1.671 | 2.316 | 2.848 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 174.3 | 83.69 | 271.3 | -50.68 | - | 286 | 512 | - |
| FCF margin | 17.77% | 9.76% | 18.15% | -2.31% | - | 11.12% | 17.6% | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 68.32% | 50.19% | 93.76% | - | - | 54.31% | 81.03% | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 192.38% | 435.28% | 172.91% | - | - | 148.42% | 195.92% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 5/28/20 | 5/11/21 | 5/5/22 | 5/2/23 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: März | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 | 2026 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 453.3 | 444.3 | 407.9 | 525.5 | 624.6 | 637.6 | 462.7 | 534.2 | 653.5 | 682 | 486.4 | 585.8 | 733.5 | 767.9 | 586.7 |
| EBITDA 1 | 109.3 | 66.3 | 92.69 | 107.2 | 147.9 | 111.2 | 66.48 | 56.15 | 128.2 | 111.9 | 85.32 | 98.8 | 178 | 164.6 | - |
| EBIT 1 | 90.95 | 53.56 | 59.94 | 64.14 | 95.37 | 67.7 | 21.56 | 13.68 | 74.12 | 49.06 | 34.5 | 47 | 125.2 | 110 | 63.99 |
| Operating Margin | 20.06% | 12.05% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 15.27% | 10.62% | 4.66% | 2.56% | 11.34% | 7.19% | 7.09% | 8.02% | 17.07% | 14.32% | 10.91% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 91.01 | 46.73 | 47.37 | 63.98 | 98.31 | 54.15 | 20.7 | -5.402 | 62.2 | 37.1 | 22.42 | 32.73 | 113.6 | 95.46 | - |
| Net income 1 | 64.94 | 34.22 | 33.26 | 46.26 | 70.73 | 37.34 | 17.47 | -5.99 | 43.09 | 24.21 | 17.09 | 24.99 | 81.88 | 68.77 | - |
| Net margin | 14.33% | 7.7% | 8.15% | 8.8% | 11.32% | 5.86% | 3.78% | -1.12% | 6.59% | 3.55% | 3.51% | 4.27% | 11.16% | 8.96% | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.5592 | 0.2900 | 0.2900 | 0.4042 | 0.6100 | 0.3200 | 0.1500 | -0.0500 | 0.3800 | 0.2100 | 0.1454 | 0.2274 | 0.7111 | 0.5882 | 0.3377 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 1/12/22 | 5/5/22 | 7/7/22 | 10/12/22 | 1/11/23 | 5/2/23 | 7/11/23 | 9/28/23 | 1/10/24 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: März | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | 421 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | 43 | - | 265 | 86.5 | - | 236 | 381 | 646 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 2.522 x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 174 | 83.7 | 271 | -50.7 | - | 286 | 512 | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 27.6% | 7.52% | 35.2% | 30.8% | - | 22.1% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 11.7% | 2.39% | 12.2% | 11.5% | - | 9.25% | 12% | - |
| Assets 1 | 774.9 | 804.2 | 1,283 | 1,631 | - | 2,083 | 2,178 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.040 | 3.190 | - | - | - | 8.540 | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.980 | 1.190 | 2.920 | 0.6500 | - | 3.790 | 4.680 | - |
| Capex 1 | 47.8 | 50.8 | 67 | 126 | - | 230 | 113 | 236 |
| Capex / Sales | 4.87% | 5.93% | 4.48% | 5.72% | - | 8.96% | 3.88% | 7.2% |
| Announcement Date | 5/28/20 | 5/11/21 | 5/5/22 | 5/2/23 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
38.02
CAD
Average target price
44
CAD
Spread / Average Target
+15.73%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +38.25% | 3.1B | |
| -1.45% | 3.7B | |
| -32.22% | 1.41B | |
| -11.71% | 1.11B | |
| -22.18% | 647M | |
| -10.23% | 540M | |
| -11.56% | 409M | |
| -31.02% | 335M | |
| -0.23% | 311M | |
| +8.30% | 300M |
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