"Through our projection period ahead, whilst we do not forecast at all a recession ... we do forecast low GDP growth, below (the) potential growth rate," Orr told a media briefing after the RBNZ hiked interest rates by 50 basis points.

The RBNZ signalled in its policy review it would continue its aggressive tightening, which has seen the cash rate rise by 275 basis points to 3% in less than a year.

"We are adamant that we are in a very strong position to be on top of inflation," Orr added. "As you can see from our projections, we have inflation down back within the target range over the 18-month period, and it's all slowing inflation from here."

(Reporting by Lucy Craymer; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)