Monthly Operating Report
October 2023
October highlights
In the month to 10 November 2023, national hydro storage decreased from 116% to 100% of historical average
South Island storage decreased to 99% of average and North Island storage increased to 106% of average by 10 November 2023
Meridian's October 2023 monthly total inflows were 107% of historical average
Waiau catchment inflows in October 2023 were 97% of historical average
Meridian's Waitaki catchment water storage at the end of
October 2023 was 125% of historical average
Snow storage in Meridian's Waitaki catchment was 109% of average in early November
Water storage in Meridian's Waiau catchment was 107% of average at the end of October 2023
National electricity demand in October 2023 was -1.9% lower than the same month last year
October 2023 saw large temperature swings, with the overall national monthly temperature slightly above average. Rainfall was above normal in Northland and South Canterbury and below average for most other parts of the country
New Zealand Aluminium Smelter's average load during October 2023 was 570MW
Meridian's retail sales volumes in October 2023 were -1.7% lower than October 2022
Compared to October 2022, segment sales increased in large business +27.7% and corporate +2.4%, with decreases in residential -5.0%, small medium business -7.8% and agricultural -10.0%
In October 2023, Meridian and NZ Windfarms announced a joint venture to repower and extend the Te Rere Hau wind farm
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 2
Market data
-
National electricity demand in October
2023 was -1.9% lower than the same month last year - October 2023 saw large temperature swings, with the overall national monthly temperature slightly above average. Rainfall was above normal in Northland and South Canterbury and below average for most other parts of the country
- Demand in the last 12 months was 0.2% lower than the preceding 12 months
- New Zealand Aluminium Smelter's average load during October 2023 was 570MW
- 12-monthaverage switching rate of customers changing retailers but not moving ("trader" switch) was 6.1% at the end of September 2023
- 12-monthaverage switching rate of customers moving and changing retailers
("move-in" switch) was 12.5% at the end of
September 2023
NATIONAL DEMAND
GWh
4,200 | ||||||
4,000 | ||||||
3,800 | ||||||
3,600 | ||||||
3,400 | ||||||
3,200 | ||||||
3,000 | ||||||
2,800 | ||||||
2,600 | ||||||
Jan Feb Mar | Apr | May Jun | Jul | Aug Sep | Oct | Nov Dec |
Range (2011-2022) | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Source: Electricity Authority (reconciled demand)
MARKET ICP SWITCHING (ALL RETAILERS)
12 month average
15%
13%
11%
9%
7%
5%
Jun 18 Dec 18 Jun 19 Dec 19 Jun 20 Dec 20 Jun 21 Dec 21 Jun 22 Dec 22 Jun 23
Industry Move-in Switches | Industry Trader Switches | |
Source: Electricity Authority |
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 3
Market data
- Longer dated electricity futures prices reduced slightly during October
- National storage decreased from 116% of average on 5 October 2023 to 100% of average on 10 November 2023
- South Island storage decreased to 99% of historical average by 10 November 2023. North Island storage increased to 106% of average
OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
$/MWh 220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2023 2024 2024 2024 2024 2025 2025 2025 2025 2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2027 2027
30 June 2023 | 31 July 2023 | 31 August 2023 | ||
2 October 2023 | 31 October 2023 | Source: ASX | ||
NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE (10 November 2023)
GWh 5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Jan Feb Mar | Apr May Jun | Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec | |||||
Average storeage (90yr) | 1992 | 2004 | |||||
2008 | 2012 | 2019 | |||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||||
Source: NZX
BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
$/MWh 220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2023 2024 2024 2024 2024 2025 2025 2025 2025 2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2027 2027
30 June 2023 | 31 July 2023 | 31 August 2023 | ||
2 October 2023 | 31 October 2023 | Source: ASX | ||
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 4
Meridian retail
- Meridian's customer connection numbers increased +0.2% during October 2023 and have increased +0.8% since June 2023
- Retail sales volumes in October 2023 were -1.7% lower than October 2022
- Compared to October 2022, segment sales increased in large business +27.7% and corporate +2.4%, with decreases in residential -5.0%, small medium business -7.8% and agricultural -10.0%
- To date this financial year, retail sales volumes are +1.1% higher than the same period last year
- This reflects increased segment sales in, large business +6.1%, agricultural +3.8% and corporate +2.1%, with a decrease in residential -2.3% and small medium business -0.4%
*excludes volumes sold to New Zealand Aluminium Smelters and CFDs
Meridian operating information
MERIDIAN'S CUSTOMER CONNECTIONS
ICPs ('000) | FY24 Meridian NI | FY24 Meridian SI | FY24 Powershop | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | FY23 Meridian NI | FY23 Meridian SI | FY23 Powershop | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
300 | 117 | 117 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 117 | 119 | 117 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 117 | 117 | 117 | ||||||||||||||||||||
200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
126 | 126 | 125 | 126 | 125 | 126 | 126 | 126 | 126 | 125 | 125 | 125 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
125 | 125 | 125 | 125 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
123 | 123 | 123 | 122 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 122 | 122 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
122 | 122 | 122 | 122 | 122 | 122 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | June | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: Meridian | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MERIDIAN'S RETAIL SALES VOLUME* | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GWh | FY24 Residential | FY24 SMB | FY24 Agri | FY24 Large Bus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
900 | FY24 Corporate | FY23 Residential | FY23 SMB | FY23 Agri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FY23 Large Bus | FY23 Corporate | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
337 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
600 | 334 | 320 | 326 | 318 | 325 | 331 | 323 | 319 | 318 | 356 | 327 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
308 | 320 | 355 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
320 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
61 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | 61 | 59 | 54 | 40 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | 51 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | 53 | 76 | 75 | 112 | 134 | 48 | 45 | 51 | 54 | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
300 | 87 | 120 | 150 | 141 | 176 | 146 | 97 | 48 | 68 | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
155 | 161 | 76 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
154 | 152 | 141 | 141 | 134 | 145 | 141 | 148 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
128 | 125 | 121 | 135 | 123 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
119 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
200 | 207 | 201 | 192 | 180 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
155 | 165 | 144 | 152 | 157 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
119 | 119 | 115 | 122 | 130 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
106 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | June | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: Meridian
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 5
Meridian inflows and storage
- October 2023 monthly inflows were 107% of historical average
- Waiau catchment inflows in October 2023 were 97% of historical average, higher than the same time last year
- To date this financial year, inflows are 112% of historical average
- Meridian's Waitaki catchment water storage moved from 1,149GWh to 1,355GWh during October 2023
- Waitaki water storage at the end of October 2023 was 125% of historical average and 19% lower than the same time last year
- Snow storage in Meridian's Waitaki catchment was 109% of average in early November
- Water storage in Meridian's Waiau catchment was 107% of average at the end of October 2023
Meridian operating information
MERIDIAN'S COMBINED CATCHMENT INFLOWS
GWh 6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Financial 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
year | Oct YTD | 90 year average | ||
Source: Meridian
MERIDIAN'S WAITAKI STORAGE
GWh
2,500
2,000 | ||||||
1,500 | ||||||
1,000 | ||||||
500 | ||||||
0 | ||||||
1-Jan | 1-Mar | 1-May | 1-Jul | 1-Sep | 1-Nov | 1-Dec |
Average 1979- | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Source: Meridian
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 6
Meridian generation
▪ Meridian's generation in October 2023 was |
-7.5% lower than the same month last |
year, reflecting lower hydro generation |
and higher wind generation |
▪ To date this financial year, Meridian's |
generation is -3.2% lower than the same |
period last year, reflecting lower hydro |
generation and higher wind generation |
▪ The average price Meridian received for its |
generation in October 2023 was +48.8% |
higher than the same month last year |
▪ |
Meridian operating information
MERIDIAN'S GENERATION
GWh
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Jul Aug Sep | Oct Nov Dec | Jan Feb Mar | Apr May Jun | ||||
FY24 Hydro | FY24 Wind | FY23 Hydro | FY23 Wind | ||||
Source: Meridian
MERIDIAN'S AVERAGE GENERATION PRICE*
$/MWh
The average price Meridian paid to supply |
customers in October 2023 was +48.9% |
higher than the same month last year |
▪ To date this financial year, the average |
price Meridian received for its generation |
is +79.7% higher than the same period last |
year and the average price paid to supply |
customers is +68.5% higher |
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
133
111
95
111 108
72
56
40
33
146
134
117
78
16
74
58
Jul Aug Sep Oct FY24 FY23
Nov
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun
*price received for Meridian's physical generation | Source: Meridian |
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 7
Meridian operating information
Monthly operating information
OCTOBER | OCTOBER | SEPTEMBER | AUGUST | 4 MONTHS TO | 4 MONTHS TO | |
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2023 | OCTOBER | OCTOBER | |
MONTH | MONTH | MONTH | MONTH | 2023 | 2022 | |
New Zealand contracted sales | ||||||
Residential sales volume (GWh) | 144 | 152 | 155 | 201 | 700 | 716 |
Small medium business sales volume (GWh) | 134 | 145 | 141 | 161 | 591 | 593 |
Agricultural sales volume (GWh) | 120 | 134 | 112 | 76 | 361 | 348 |
Large business sales volume (GWh) | 51 | 40 | 54 | 61 | 226 | 213 |
Corporate and industrial sales volume (GWh) | 331 | 323 | 318 | 337 | 1,320 | 1,293 |
Retail contracted sales volume (GWh) | 781 | 795 | 781 | 836 | 3,198 | 3,164 |
Average retail contracted sales price1 ($NZ/MWh) | $131.5 | $124.0 | $148.2 | $151.2 | $145.2 | $131.6 |
NZAS sales volume (GWh) | 426 | 426 | 411 | 426 | 1,688 | 1,687 |
Financial contract sales volumes2 (GWh) | 221 | 257 | 371 | 371 | 1,301 | 904 |
Average wholesale & financial contracts sales price3 ($NZ/MWh) | $56.2 | $56.5 | $76.4 | $78.4 | $73.1 | $58.3 |
Retail customer supply volumes (GWh) | 829 | 847 | 825 | 892 | 3,391 | 3,347 |
Cost to supply retail customers ($NZ/MWh) | $124.3 | $82.8 | $123.3 | $144.9 | $130.6 | $76.8 |
Cost to supply wholesale customers ($NZ/MWh) | $105.1 | $70.7 | $110.7 | $132.9 | $114.5 | $64.7 |
Cost of financial contracts ($NZ/MWh) | $105.8 | $73.7 | $115.5 | $132.6 | $117.2 | $76.8 |
Total New Zealand customer connections4 | 366,320 | 364,700 | 365,453 | 364,631 |
See page 10 for footnotes
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 8
Monthly operating information
Meridian operating information
OCTOBER | ||||||
2023 | ||||||
MONTH | ||||||
New Zealand generation | ||||||
Hydro generation volume (GWh) | 974 | |||||
Wind generation volume (GWh) | 128 | |||||
Total generation volume (GWh) | 1,102 | |||||
Average generation price | 5 | ($NZ/MWh) | $107.8 | |||
New Zealand hedging | ||||||
Hedging volume | 6 | (GWh) | 496 | |||
Hedging cost average price ($NZ/MWh) | $110.9 | |||||
Hedging spot revenue average price ($NZ/MWh) | $123.7 | |||||
Future contract close outs ($NZm) | -$0.7 |
OCTOBER 2022 MONTH
1,066 126 1,192 $72.4
350 $103.3 $77.2 $5.4
SEPTEMBER 2023 MONTH
1,020 138 1,157 $111.4
458 $139.1 $121.2 $1.4
AUGUST 2023 MONTH
1,170 107 1,276 $133.0
539 $132.3 $134.3 $3.2
4 MONTHS TO OCTOBER 2023
4,179 490 4,669 $116.3
1,998 $131.1 $124.0 $17.9
4 MONTHS TO OCTOBER 2022
4,366 456 4,822 $64.7
1,555 $119.2 $73.9 $37.8
See page 10 for footnotes
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 9
Monthly operating information
Meridian operating information
OCTOBER | |
2023 | |
MONTH | |
New Zealand costs | |
Employee and Operating Costs ($m) | 22 |
Stay in Business Capital Expenditure ($m) | 4 |
Investment Capital Expenditure ($m) | 16 |
Total Capital Expenditure ($m) | 20 |
OCTOBER | SEPTEMBER |
2022 | 2023 |
MONTH | MONTH |
21 | |
22 | |
3 | 4 |
11 | 15 |
14 | 19 |
AUGUST | 4 MONTHS TO |
2023 | OCTOBER |
MONTH | 2023 |
24 | |
91 | |
6 | 18 |
20 | 66 |
26 | 84 |
4 MONTHS TO OCTOBER 2022
80
14 41 55
Footnotes
- Contracted sales volumes and volume weighted average price received from contracted customers less distribution costs
- Derivatives sold excluding the sell-side of virtual asset swaps
- Average price of both NZAS sales volume and derivative sales volumes
- Meridian Retail and Powershop New Zealand installation control points (ICPs), excluding vacants
- Volume weighted average price received for Meridian's physical generation
- Over the counter and ASX contract volumes excluding the buy-side of virtual asset swaps
14 NOVEMBER 2023 | MONTHLY OPERATING REPORT FOR OCTOBER 2023 | 10
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Disclaimer
Meridian Energy Limited published this content on 14 November 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 November 2023 16:19:30 UTC.