Financials Alcoa Corporation

Equities

AA

US0138721065

Aluminum

Market Closed - Nyse 04:00:02 2024-05-22 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
42.15 USD -4.40% Intraday chart for Alcoa Corporation +5.27% +23.97%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 3,992 4,286 11,148 8,045 6,068 7,568 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,913 5,221 11,136 8,489 6,991 8,681 8,525 7,994
P/E ratio -3.54 x -25.3 x 26.4 x - -9.32 x -86.8 x 17.2 x 16.3 x
Yield - - 0.17% 0.88% - 0.95% 0.83% 0.95%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.38 x 0.46 x 0.92 x - 0.58 x 0.7 x 0.68 x 0.65 x
EV / Revenue 0.47 x 0.56 x 0.92 x - 0.66 x 0.8 x 0.77 x 0.69 x
EV / EBITDA 2.97 x 4.54 x 4.03 x - 13 x 8.25 x 5.61 x 4.35 x
EV / FCF 16 x 127 x 21 x 24.8 x -15.9 x -59.1 x 34.5 x 37.7 x
FCF Yield 6.25% 0.79% 4.76% 4.03% -6.29% -1.69% 2.9% 2.65%
Price to Book 0.98 x 1.3 x 2.39 x 1.59 x - 1.86 x 1.73 x 1.47 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 185,573 185,930 187,103 176,937 178,472 179,560 - -
Reference price 2 21.51 23.05 59.58 45.47 34.00 42.15 42.15 42.15
Announcement Date 1/15/20 1/20/21 1/19/22 1/18/23 1/17/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 10,433 9,286 12,152 - 10,551 10,878 11,131 11,559
EBITDA 1 1,656 1,151 2,763 - 536 1,052 1,519 1,839
EBIT 1 943 498 2,099 - -96 448.6 914.7 1,205
Operating Margin 9.04% 5.36% 17.27% - -0.91% 4.12% 8.22% 10.43%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -438 173 1,199 - -584 106.1 902.6 977.7
Net income 1 -1,125 -170 429 - -651 -187.8 374 468
Net margin -10.78% -1.83% 3.53% - -6.17% -1.73% 3.36% 4.05%
EPS 2 -6.070 -0.9100 2.260 - -3.650 -0.4857 2.446 2.582
Free Cash Flow 1 307 41 530 342 -440 -146.8 246.9 212.2
FCF margin 2.94% 0.44% 4.36% - -4.17% -1.35% 2.22% 1.84%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 18.54% 3.56% 19.18% - - - 16.26% 11.54%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 123.54% - - - 66% 45.34%
Dividend per Share 2 - - 0.1000 0.4000 - 0.3994 0.3500 0.4020
Announcement Date 1/15/20 1/20/21 1/19/22 1/18/23 1/17/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 3,340 3,293 3,644 2,851 - 2,670 2,684 2,602 2,595 2,599 2,681 2,766 2,813 2,616 2,691
EBITDA 1 896 1,072 913 210 - 240 137 70 89 132 265.2 308.1 334.3 386.4 379.9
EBIT 1 731 912 752 61 - 87 -16 -93 -74 -29 121.1 166.8 251.4 306.6 305.6
Operating Margin 21.89% 27.7% 20.64% 2.14% - 3.26% -0.6% -3.57% -2.85% -1.12% 4.52% 6.03% 8.94% 11.72% 11.36%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -71 763 908 -729 - -180 -99 -228 -77 -325 34.62 176.7 195.1 179.5 -
Net income 1 -392 469 549 -746 - -231 -102 -168 -150 -252 -29 68 81 - -
Net margin -11.74% 14.24% 15.07% -26.17% - -8.65% -3.8% -6.46% -5.78% -9.7% -1.08% 2.46% 2.88% - -
EPS 2 -2.110 2.490 2.950 -4.170 - -1.300 -0.5700 -0.9400 -0.8400 -1.410 -0.0712 0.3050 0.4620 0.4150 0.5350
Dividend per Share 2 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 - 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000
Announcement Date 1/19/22 4/20/22 7/20/22 10/19/22 1/18/23 4/19/23 7/19/23 10/18/23 1/17/24 4/17/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 921 935 - 444 923 1,113 956 426
Net Cash position 1 - - 12 - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.5562 x 0.8123 x - - 1.722 x 1.058 x 0.6297 x 0.2314 x
Free Cash Flow 1 307 41 530 342 -440 -147 247 212
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -3.79% -5.81% 32.6% 18.3% -8.68% 2.02% 7.57% 7.98%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) -7.31% -1.15% 8.69% - -4.5% -1.49% 3.3% -
Assets 1 15,386 14,747 4,939 - 14,457 12,638 11,320 -
Book Value Per Share 2 22.00 17.70 24.90 28.60 - 22.60 24.40 28.60
Cash Flow per Share 2 3.700 2.120 4.840 4.550 0.5100 3.460 5.690 6.820
Capex 1 379 353 390 480 531 555 595 581
Capex / Sales 3.63% 3.8% 3.21% - 5.03% 5.11% 5.35% 5.02%
Announcement Date 1/15/20 1/20/21 1/19/22 1/18/23 1/17/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
42.15 USD
Average target price
37.89 USD
Spread / Average Target
-10.11%
Consensus
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  4. Financials Alcoa Corporation