MANAGEMENT PRESENTATION
DECEMBER, 2020
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of Mechel PAO (Mechel) or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. Any purchase of securities should be made solely on the basis of information Mechel files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Mechel or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.
This presentation may contain projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of Mechel, as defined in the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We wish to caution you that these statements are only predictions and that actual events or results may differ materially. We do not intend to update these statements. We refer you to the documents Mechel files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Form 20-F. These documents contain and identify important factors, including those contained in the section captioned "Risk Factors" and "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" in our Form 20-F, that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements, including, among others, the achievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of our recent acquisitions, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or ADRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
Overview
• Leading vertically integrated Mining & Metals company
• Comprises two major divisions - Mining and Steel
• Main divisions are supported by Power division, Sales & Marketing units and Logistics facilities
• As of December 31, 2019 Company emloyed about 56.2 thousand people
Financial Highlights
Operating Highlights, Sales
9M2020 Revenue
Breakdown (196.2 bln rubles)
9M2020 EBITDA*
Breakdown (31.4 bln rubles)Mining Segment
6.8
9M19
Source: Company data
Steel
Mining
Met CoalSteam CoalIron ore concentratePow er
* Here and further EBITDA is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA in accordance with definition in our earnings Press release Appendix A
9M20
Source: Company data
Steel Segment
2.75
2.65
9М19
9М20
Steel (production)Long ProductsHardware
Capital Structure
Ordinary Shares 416,270,745 - 75%Preferred Shares 138,756,915 - 25%
Corporate Governance
The company adheres to the most rigorous standards of corporate governance. Apart from complying with shareholder law norms, Mechel assumes a series of additional obligations, holding to the highest international requirements, including NYSE corporate governance rules that apply to US-based companies within the NYSE 303A listing standard.
In accordance with the Company's charter members of the Board of Directors are elected by Shareholders' General Meeting, to a total of 9 persons, the majority of whom are independent (independent directors).
In order to execute its functions, the Board of Directors created the following permanent committees:
• Audit Committee
• Committee on Investments and Strategic Planning
• Committee on Appointment and Remuneration
Growth Points
Our major growth and development points are:
Debt restructuring
Successful restructuring will decrease financial expenses and arrange financing to develop our major projects
Growing share of Universal rolling mill and stainless long and flat steel products
Increases steel segment profitability by moving products range towards the higher value added positions
Port Posiet
Gates to our Asian coal offtakers through increase of capacities to 9 mln tonnes
Supported by …
Superior mining assets quality
One of the leading metallurgical coal producers and exporters on the seaborne market
Ability to supply steel producers with a wide range of metallurgical coal
Core assets positioned at the lower bound of the global cost curve
Strong local steel producer position
Most diversified specialty steel producer in Russia
One of the largest long steel producer in Russia
Largest distribution platform in Russia
First newly built rolling mill for beams and high-speed long rails in Russia
Strategic position to supply Asia-Pacific seaborne market
Coal assets uniquely positioned to supply metallurgical coal to attractive Asia-Pacific markets
Access to key Far Eastern ports with low transportation cost
Own infrastructure including ports and rolling stock, secures access to end customers and export markets
Vertically integrated steel business model
Assets Structure
Power Segment
Own Ports
Kuzbass Power Sales Company
Distribution
Mechel Service (Russia)Mechel Service Global (excl. Russia)
Mechel Carbon AG (Swiss)
Vertically Integrated Mining & Steel Business Model
Coking Coal Concentrate, 12m 2019
One of the leading metallurgical coal producer globally with ability to supply steel producers with a wide range of metallurgical coal types, coke and iron ore concentrate.
Own infrastructure helps to establish access to end customers.
Production
Consumption
Sea Port capacity, 12m 2019
Iron Ore Feed, 12m 2019
ProductionConsumption
Cargo turnover, 12m 2019
Coke, 12m 2019
MMt
2,6
1,7
ProductionConsumption
Power, 12m 2019
MMt
14.5
* -Source: Company data
- Volumes shipped through Vanino port
Shipped through own portsShipped overall
MMt
29,6
14,0
Own rolling stock
blnKWh
Overall
Production
Consumption
Market Position
Broad Geographic Footprint
Ability to Supply All Metcoal Markets
Diversification / enhancement of sales channels to the fast- growing Asian and European markets
3.1mlnt(1)
Europe
Major coking coal exporting regions
Major coking coal importing regions
Size of respective seaborne coking coal markets
Mechel's routes
3rd parties routes
Target markets for Mechel's coking coal supplies
Target markets for Mechel's steam coal supplies
Notes: (1) FY2019 metallurgical coal production
Russian Federation
(2) Total seaborne met coal trade (2018), CRU
Extensive range of metcoal grades allows for diversified product portfolio to serve a variety of customer needs
2.7 m ln t (1) Yak utugol
Mechel's own ports on the Sea of Japan and Azov Sea serve as the stable gateways to export markets
CanadaUSAAustralia
Freight rates from port Posiet (Handysize 22 000 t)
to Northern China
to Yangtze River
to Southern China
to Thailand
to Philippines
to Indonesia
India
(West Coast / East Coast)
Freight rates from port Vanino (45 000 t)
$9.25 pmt
to Northern China
$9.75 pmt
to Yangtze River
$12.00 pmt
to Southern China
$14.00 pmt
$10.00 pmt
$10.50 pmt
$11.50 pmt
to Thailand
$14.00 pmt
$12.50 pmt
to Philippines
$15.25 pmt
$12.50 pmt
to Indonesia
$19 / $17 pmt
India
(West Coast / East Coast)
$13.90 pmt
$16.75 pmt /
$15 pmt
to Japan
$7.00 pmt
to Japan
$6.00 pmt
Steel Segment
Mechel Service Global - Map of distribution hubs
Russian Federation
Europe
Kazakhstan
Mechel Serv ice f acilities
Source: Company data
Advantages
84 storage sites and service centers throughout Russia, CIS & Europe | |
Real time market intelligence and pricing feedback | |
Opportunity to address specific customer needs and sell more high margin and value added products |
Product | Production Volum e, 12m 2019 '000 tonnes | Ru s s ian production s har e | Rank |
Rebar | 1,223 | 16.2% | 4 |
Wire rod | 835 | 26.7% | 1 |
Wire products | 379 | 27.5% | 1 |
Rails | 274 | 21.8% | 2 |
Beams | 271 | 27.0% | 2 |
High-tensile wire | 28 | 28.5% | 2 |
Source: Company Filings
Universal Rolling Mill
Key project results
From January 2016 Mechel supplies rails to the Russian Railways.
New types of rails production (for use at European railways) have already been adopted at the plant and passed certification for conformity with European railroad standards.
In 9M2020 Rails sales increased by 37% compared to 9M2019.
Structural shapes sales increased by 28% Q-o-Q.
We continue developing and producing new types of rails and shapes at Universal rolling mill. In the near term we plan to start mastering new rail types for railroads with speed up to 400 km/h.
In July 2020 Chelyabinsk Metallurgical Plant has shipped to the customers the 3rd-million tonne of products from the Universal Rolling Mill since the beginning of production. 40% оf the production volumes were rails.
Key project metrics:
Capacity - up to 1.1 mln tonnes
Universal rolling mill sales (th tonnes)
ProductRailway railsStructural shapes
CAPEX - US$ 900 mln including steel-making facility (Continuous casting machine #5)
Products - High-speed and low-temperature rails of up to 100 meter long
- H-beams, channel bars, angles and grooves
Target consumers - Russian Railways and Construction industry
9M' 20
9M' 19
%
3Q' 20
2Q' 20
%
264
193
+37
50
99 -50
228
213
+7
86
67 +28
Universal Rolling Mill
Source: Company data
Logistics Facilities
Mechel Trans -
Access to Seaborne Market
Access to main customers in Asia-Pacific and Europe is secured through own ports facilities
Port capacity alignes with expected growth in export volumes
Own and Partner Seaport Facilities
Ports Key Characteristics
Own and Partner Seaport Annual Turnover Capacities, MMt
21.0
10.0
2012Posiet
Source: Company data
Temryuk
Notes: * Volumes secured by contractual agreements
2020Vanino
Mechel Infrastructure Allows Secured Access to Final Customers
Posiet Port
• Increase access to Asian coal customers via seaborne m arket
• Existing port capacity - 9 mln tonnes per year
• Target capacity - 15 mln tonnes (Panamaxvessels) after 2nd stage of m odernization
Vanino Port*
* Access to port secured by contractual agreements
• Increases logistics flexibilityto Asian coal customers
• Total turnover up to 10 mln tonnes of cargo per year
• Shorter transportation dis tances - lower rail and vessel freights costs
Temryuk Port
• Logistics flexibilityon the Sea of Azov and Black Sea
• Potential to increase export of coking coal, PCI and anthracite to Europe
• Existing port capacity - 2 mln tonnes
• Target capacity - 4 mln tonnes
Mechel Trans Transportation Company
• Rolling stock of about 11,500 railcars
• Ensures uninterrupted trans portation
• Reduces dependencyon Russian Railways, state- owned and independent freighters
Port Posiet
Debt Restructuring
Debt structure & net debt / EBITDA ratiodynamics
As of November 2020 portion of restructured debt is at a level of 90%; ruble portion of debt amounts to 54%; and Russian state-controlled banks hold 86,7% of our debt portfolio.
Net leverage increased to 8.2 on LTM EBITDA decrease and USD- and euro-denominated debt growth as a result of ruble depreciation.
Average interest rate through the debt portfolio as of November 2020 is 5.5% per annum; average paid interest rate amounts to 5.4% per annum.
In 3Q2020 Group repaid RUB 4.9 bln and received RUB 6.2 bln of debt.
60 00
50 00
40 00
30 00
20 00
10 00
0
FY'15 FY'16 FY'17 FY'18 1Q'19 1H'19 9M'19 FY'19 1Q'20 1H'20 9M'20
Lease and other financial liabilities
Long-term borrowings
Interest payable
Short-term borrowings and current portion of long-term borrowings
Net Debt*/EBITDA
* excluding GPB option on Elga, fines and penalties
Including Elga coal complex.
BondsOther
1.0%0.6%
3 0,0
2 5,0
2 0,0
1 5,0
1 0,0
5,0
0,0
21
MANAGEMENT PRESENTATION / DECEMBER 2020 / DEBT STRUCTURE
KEY FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL RESULTS
3Q 2020 Financial results summary
Consolidated Revenue in 3Q2020 amounted to 64.4 bln RUB, a slight decline compared to 2Q2020. Steel segment Revenue growth on stronger pricing and sales volumes for construction steel products was offset by weaker Revenues in Mining and Power segments on lower coal prices and seasonal decline in power and heat consumption.
RUB mlnRevenueOperating profit / (loss)
3Q2020 EBITDA* went up by 6% compared to 2Q2020 and amounted to 9.3 bln RUB with EBITDA margin increase to 15%. It happened mainly due to Steel segment EBITDA growth with stable EBITDA of Mining segment.
Loss attributable to equity shareholders of Mechel PAO in 3Q2020 amounted to 26.0 bln RUB, compared to profit amounted to 47.1 bln RUB in 2Q2020. Growth of exchange rate losses on ruble weakening was the major factor of negative dynamics.
EBITDA*EBITDA margin, %
(Loss) / profit attributable to equity shareholders of Mechel PAO
*Here and further EBITDA is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA in accordance with definition in Press release Attachment A
3Q' 20
2Q' 20
64,424 64,536
6,353
%
9M' 20
9M' 19
%
-0.2% 196,197 220,113 -11%
(2,260)
- 12,023 30,787 -61%
9,349
8,852 6% 31,362 44,333 -29%
15%
14%
16% 20%
(25,959)
47,074 -155% (15,763)
12,174 -229%
3Q 2020 Production and sales summary
In 3Q2020 coal mining volumes decreased by 7% compared to 2Q2020 on lower production at Yakutugol and almost stable results of Southern Kuzbass Q-on-Q. In 9M2020 coal mining volumes increased by 29% compared to 9M2019.
Pig iron and steel production declined by 5% and 8% respectively Q- on-Q as a result of ongoing repairing works at Chelyabinsk Metallurgical Plant.
Coking coal sales to third parties in 3Q2020 decreased by 12% compared to 2Q2020.
Other met coal (PCI and anthracites) sales were higher by 6% Q-on- Q. Steam coal sales (including middlings) grew in 3Q2020 by 2% Q-on-Q.
Flat and Long products sales were flat Q-on-Q.
Production (th tonnes)
Product
3Q' 20
2Q' 20
%
9M 20
9M 19
%Run-of-mine Coal*
4,274
4,578
-7
13,131
10,195 +29
Pig Iron
862
912
-5
2,646
2,530 +5
Steel
852
926
-8
2,654
2,750 -3
Excluding the volume of the Elga coal complex.
Sales (th tonnes)
Product
3Q' 20
2Q' 20
%
9M 20
9M 19
%Coking Coal*
Steam Coal*
Flat Products
Long Products
1,435 1,000
1,628 975
-12 +2
4,487 2,857
4,277 +5
2,457 +16
109 645
109 647
0 0
342 1,940
337 +1
1,891 +3
Excluding the volume of the Elga coal complex.
Mining segment
Share of domestic sales continued to decline and shrank from 20% to 17% Q-on-Q. Share of Europe increased from 9% to 10%, sales to China comprised 22% after 20% in 2Q2020. Share of sales to Middle East, CIS and Asia (without China) remained unchanged.
Weaker coal prices resulted in 6% Mining segment revenue decline Q-on-Q.
Negative revenue dynamics was compensated by cost of sales decrease that allowed EBITDA to stay unchanged Q-on-Q. EBITDA margin increased from 24% to 25% compared to 2Q2020.
Revenue, EBITDA margin, RUB Bln
Inter-segment revenue
30,0
RevenueEBITDA margin
20,0
10,0
0,0
3Q 19
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
4Q 19
1Q 20
2Q 20
3Q 20
EBITDA, RUB Bln
7,0 6,0 5,0 4,0
3,0 2,0 1,0 0,0
6.4 | 6.4 |
EBITDA 2Q2020
Revenue breakdown by regions (3Q 2020)
Middle East 5%
PricesExternal sales volumesInter-segment salesCost of salesEBITDA 3Q2020
Steel segment
Steel segment Revenue to 3rd parties in 3Q2020 increased by 3% compared to 2Q2020 due to higher construction steel products prices Q- on-Q, as well as increased sale volumes of structural shapes of Universal Rolling Mill, which allowed to offset the decrease of rails sales. Rising prices for structural shapes also had a positive impact.
EBITDA in 3Q2020 went up by 18% compared to 2Q2020 on higher prices for construction steel products and decrease in selling and distribution expenses.
Segment`s EBITDA margin increased Q-on-Q from 6% to 7%.
EBITDA, RUB Bln
4,0
Revenue, EBITDA margin, RUB Bln
Inter-segment revenueRevenueEBITDA margin
3Q 19
4Q 19
1Q 20
2Q 20
3Q 20
Revenue breakdown by regions (3Q 2020)
3,5
1,5
1,0
0,5
3,0
2,5
2,0
0,0
Prices
EBITDA 2Q2020
- 0.1
- 0.2
External sales Inter-segment Cost of sales volumes sales
OtherEBITDA 3Q2020
Cash costs & Average sales prices dynamics
Mining Segment
3Q19
2,381
4Q19
1Q20
Coal SKCC
Steel Segment
Cash costs, RUB/tonne
2Q20
3Q20
3,031
3,390
2,782
2,156
Coal YU
Iron ore
CokeCoking coal Anthracite and Steam coal
PCI
Average sales prices FCA, RUB/tonne
Iron ore
3Q19
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
3Q19
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
Ferrosilicon
BilletsWire rodRebarCarbon flat Railway rails Ferrosilicon
RebarHardwareCarbon flatRailway railsStructural shapes
Consolidated revenue and segment EBITDA dynamics
Mining segment Revenue to 3rd parties in 3Q2020 decreased by 6% compared to 2Q2020. This was a result of lower prices for almost all coal products in the reporting period, compared to 2Q2020.
Steel segment Revenue to 3rd parties in 3Q2020 increased by 3% compared to 2Q2020 due to higher construction steel products prices Q-on-Q, as well as increased sale volumes of structural shapes of Universal Rolling Mill, which allowed to offset the decrease of rails sales. Rising prices for structural shapes also had a positive impact.
Power segment Revenue to 3rd parties declined by 2% in 3Q2020 compared to 2Q2020 due to seasonal factors.
Mining segment EBITDA remained stable in 3Q2020 compared to 2Q2020 and amounted to 6.4 bln RUB as lower Revenue was compensated by cost of sales decrease.
Steel segment EBITDA went up by 18% and amounted to 3.0 bln RUB compared to 2Q2020 on higher prices for construction steel products and decrease in selling and distribution expenses.
Power segment EBITDA declined by 34% in 3Q2020 and amounted to 254 mln RUB on selling and distribution expenses growth.
Revenue, RUB Bln
Power
Steel
-1.1
1.1
6.0 5.9
Revenue 2Q2020
Mining SegmentSteel Segment
Segment EBITDA, RUB Bln
Mining
-0.1
Power SegmentRevenue 3Q2020
Power
Steel
Mining
0.4
9,4
9,4
9,7
6.4
6.4
EBIT DA 2Q2020
Mining SegmentSteel SegmentPower SegmentEBIT DA 3Q2020
Cash flow & trade working capital
Cash flow from operations covers Group's current expenses, including debt service and lease payments.
As of September 30, 2020, trade working capital was negative at -12.3 bln RUB.
Group's capital expenditures in 9M2020 amounted to 6.0 bln RUB, including 1.8 bln RUB of lease payment.
Cash net of overdrafts as of 31.12.2019
Net Operating Net Investing Net Financingactivitiesactivities activitiesEffect ofCash net ofexchange rate overdrafts aschangesof 30.09.2020
Trade working capital management, RUB Bln
FREE CASH FLOW for 9M 2020, RUB Bln
30.09.2019
31.12.2019
Trade current assets
31.03.2020
30.06.2020
Trade current liabilities
30.09.2020
Trade working capital
Cash flow from
OperationsNet interest Capital expenses, incl expenditures overdue interest (excluding lease) and capitalized
Net investing activity
Free Cash Flow Net Settelment of Free Cash Flow loan,lease and to Firm other obligations
Operational Results
Mining Segment
Production:
Steel Segment
Production:
Product
Pig Iron
9M'2020, thousand tonnes
Sale s:
Steel
MANAGEMENT PRESENTATION / DECEMBER 2020 / KEY OPERATIONAL RESULTS
Product
Flat rolls
Long rolls
Hardw are
Forgings
Stam pings
Ferrosilicon
9M'2020, thousand tonnes
2,646 2,654
1,940
342
415
31
30
47
2Q2020, thousand tonnes
912 926
2Q2020, thousand tonnes
%
-5 -8
%
109
0
9
+2
4
-17
18
-13
Mechel is a global mining and metals company
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Mechel PAO published this content on 02 December 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 02 December 2020 13:16:04 UTC