9M 2020 Group Results Presentation
5 November 2020
DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM"); for the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed following the distribution of this document.
The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law or regulation. Accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of, and observe, these restrictions. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Banco BPM and its subsidiaries disclaim any responsibility or liability for the violation of such restrictions by any person.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Banco BPM or any member of its group or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in Banco BPM or any member of its group, or investment decision or any commitment whatsoever. This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute an offer of securities in the United States or to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act"), as amended), Canada, Australia, Japan or any other jurisdiction where such offer is unlawful.
The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating without notice. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements about Banco BPM. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and are based on information available to Banco BPM as of the date hereof, relying on scenarios, assumptions, expectations and projections regarding future events which are subject to uncertainties because dependent on factors most of which are beyond Banco BPM's control. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends", "estimates" and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Banco BPM does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. All subsequent written and oral forward- looking statements attributable to Banco BPM or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by this disclaimer.
None of Banco BPM, its subsidiaries or any of their respective representatives, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
By participating to the presentation of the Group results and accepting a copy of this presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations regarding the information disclosed in this presentation.
***
This presentation includes both accounting data (based on financial accounts) and internal management data (which are also based on estimates).
Mr. Gianpietro Val, as the manager responsible for preparing the Bank's accounts, hereby states pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of the Financial Consolidated Act that the accounting data contained in this presentation correspond to the documentary evidence, corporate books and accounting records.
9M 2020 Group Results Presentation 2
METHODOLOGICAL NOTES
- Before 30/09/2020, the impact from the change in own credit risk on certificates classified as financial liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss was accounted under the item "Net Financial Results" of the Reclassified P&L scheme. Starting from 30/09/2020, this impact net of tax has been reclassified in one new single P&L item: "FV on Own Liabilities net of Tax"; the previous quarters of 2019 and 2020 have been reclassified accordingly.
- Before 31/03/2020, the impact of the PPA (Purchase Price Allocation) of the business combinations of the former Banca Popolare di Milano Group and of the former Banca Popolare Italiana and Banca Italease Groups, was split and registered under the following items: "Net interest income", "Other net operating income" and "Tax on income from continuing operations". Starting from Q1 2020, the aggregated impact net of tax of this PPA has been regrouped and reclassified in one new single P&L item: "PPA after tax"; the previous quarters of 2019 have been reclassified accordingly.
- Due to the change of the valuation criteria applied to the Group's properties and artworks, starting from 31/12/2019, a new item called «Profit & Loss on Fair Value measurement of tangible assets» has been introduced in the reclassified P&L scheme as at 31/12/2019. In this item, also the depreciations of properties previously accounted in the item "Amortisation & Depreciation" within the "Operating Costs" have been reclassified, restating accordingly all the previous quarters of 2019 for coherence. Furthermore, considering that the new accounting principle does not foresee for the amortisation of investment properties, the amortisation on such assets in the first three quarters of 2019 has been cancelled; as a consequence, the Item "Amortization and Depreciation" as well as the net result of the first three quarters of 2019 have been re-determined.
- It is reminded that, in Q2 2019, the assets and liabilities (mainly composed by customer loans for an amount of €1,352m) referred to the non-captive business of the subsidiary Profamily were classified as discontinued operations according to IFRS5 standard, but then, in Q4 2019, they have been re-classifiedline-by-line under the relevant Balance Sheet items. While the official Balance Sheet Scheme as at 30/09/2019 still maintains Profamily non-captive volumes classified as discontinued operations, in this presentation, in order to allow a proper comparison, the data of Customer Loans as at 30/09/2019 have been restated re-including Profamily non-captive volumes.
- It is also reminded that, on 16 April 2019, Banco BPM accepted the binding offer submitted by Illimity Bank S.p.A. and regarding the sale of a portfolio of Leasing Bad Loans. More in detail, the disposal concerns a portfolio for a nominal value of about €650 million at the cut-off date of 30th June 2018, mainly composed of receivables deriving from the active and passive legal relationships related to leasing contracts classified as bad loans, together with the related agreements, legal relationships, immovable or movable assets and the underlying contracts. The closure of the operation is subject to precedent conditions that are customary for transactions of this kind, including the notarial certification for the transferability of the assets, and shall be executed in various phases. Starting from Q2 2019, the loans subject to this transaction (€607m GBV and €156m NBV as at 30/06/2019) have been reclassified as non-current asset held for sale according to the IFRS5 standard. As at 30/09/2020, the residual amount of these loans stood at €114 m GBV and at €38 m NBV.
- In the area of companies consolidated with the equity method, the second quarter of 2020 has seen the entry of Anima Holding S.p.A., in which Banco BPM holds a stake of 19.385%. In the light of the changes brought about in the governance of the company, this stake, which is considered of strategic nature and which is destined to be held on a stable basis, is deemed to represent a situation of significant influence on the side of Banco BPM.
- Please note that, on 4 April 2020, the Annual Shareholders' Meeting of Banco BPM didn't discuss and vote on item 2 of the agenda (Resolutions on the allocation and distribution of profits); this is in order to acknowledge the guidelines provided by the ECB on 27 March 2020, with which, in order to strengthen the capital resources of relevant banks subject to its monitoring, and in order to be able to make use of the more extensive resources in support of households and businesses in the current situation brought about by the ongoing Covid-19 health emergency, it requested the banks, inter alia, not to proceed with the payment of dividends (still not approved) and not to assume any irrevocable commitment for their payment for the years 2019 and 2020 at least until 1 October 2020. It is also noted that on 27 July 2020, the ECB announced the extension of the afore-mentioned dividend ban from 01/10/2020 to 31/12/2020. The capital ratios included in this presentation are calculated coherently with this decision, i.e. including the entire net income as at 31/12/2019. Furthermore, the ratios as at 31/03/2020, 30/06/2020 and 30/09/2020 are here reported including also the net income of the quarters.
9M 2020 Group Results Presentation 3
Agenda
1. | Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 4 | |
2. | 9M 2020 Performance Details: | 22 | |
- | Profitability | 23 | |
- | Balance Sheet | 28 | |
- | Funding and Liquidity | 29 | |
- Customer Loans and Focus on Credit Quality | 37 | ||
- | Capital Position | 43 |
9M 2020 Group Results Presentation 4
9M 2020 PERFORMANCE: RESILIENCE AND RECOVERY
STRONG OPERATING RESULTS
Rebound in «core» revenues (+9.5% q/q)
Further reduction in costs (-5.2% q/q)
Healthy build-up in Pre-Provision Income (€1.27bn in 9M; +6.4% y/y and +44.9% q/q)
SIGNIFICANT ACHIEVEMENTS IN A DIFFICULT ENVIRONMENT STILL IMPACTED BY COVID-19
ADOPTION OF NEW DERISKING STRATEGY
New impulse to NPE reduction via disposals (up to €1.2bn by YE 2020),
for a total derisking of ~€21.4bn vs. YE 20161
Cost of Risk confirmed at ~100bps for FY 2020E
ACTION FOCUS: STRENGTHEN QUALITY OF PERFORMING LOAN PORTFOLIO
Strengthening of internal credit management
Focus on quality of Moratoria and State-guaranteed lending
SOLID CAPITAL POSITION
Further improvement in capital ratios and buffers (CET 1 FL Adj. 13.6%)2
9M 2020 Group Results Presentation
Note: 1. Decrease of Gross NPEs in the period 31/12/2016 - 30/09/2020, adjusted post upcoming portfolio disposals. | 5 |
2. Including headwinds expected in Q4; see slide 13 for details. |
COVID-19: EXPERIENCE OF RECENT MONTHS ENABLING TO FACE THE NEW EMERGENCY
In order to ensure continuity of core banking activities during the first phase of the lockdown, BBPM has implemented Technical and Operational solutions to face the new emergency minimising its impact and preserving commercial effectiveness
New processes for emergency management and
development of customer relationships on a digital basis, empowering the omnichannel approach
Improve smart working: substitute desktop with laptop, deploy collaboration software, increase internet bandwidth, deliver mobile phone, introduce BYOD usage
Regulate branch services: services by appointment, increase Contact Center to manage higher volume, review of process to manage online requests
Personal safety devices: distribution of
masks, plexiglass, gloves and sanitizing gel
Enforce controls: collect from intelligence feeds indicator on security threats, create controls to monitor emerging risks, execute assessment to evaluate exposure
Improve security: introduce multi factor authentication, block access to company cloud services from outside Italy, increase the VPN usage both for site-2-site for suppliers and client-2-site for employees, improve training and awareness for employees and customers
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 6 |
STRONG REBOUND OF COMMERCIAL ACTIVITIES
Well prepared to face the second wave
DIGITAL
BANKING1
9M 2020 | Y/Y | ||
MOBILE TRANSACTIONS2 | |||
#11m | +61.8% | ||
APP USERS | |||
#736k | +35.3% | ||
ONLINE TRANSACTIONS | |||
#24m | +23.6% | ||
DIGITAL SALES | #40k | +21.5% | |
EXECUTED ORDERS (WEB) | #2.3m | +22.0% | |
BOOST IN DIGITAL BANKING TO SUPPORT COMMERCIAL ACTIVITY IN CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT
Share of digital transactions - Households
84%
77%
Dec-19Sept-20
COMMERCIAL
VOLUMES
Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | |||||
INV. PRODUCT PLACEMENTS3 | |||||||
€3.7bn | €2.4bn | €3.2bn | STRONG REBOUND | ||||
NEW LENDING4 | ACHIEVED IN COMMERCIAL | ||||||
€5.5bn | €6.9bn | €7.9bn | CAPACITY | ||||
o/w: Covid-19 Measures | |||||||
€0bn | €1.9bn | €5.2bn | |||||
guaranteed by the State | |||||||
Note: 1. Data refer to Households. 2. Transactions on mobile and tablet devices. 3. Include Funds & Sicav, Bancassurance, Certificates and Managed Accounts & Funds of Funds. 4. Include M/L-termMortgages (Secured and Unsecured), Personal Loans, Pool and
Structured Finance. | 1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 7 |
COVID-19: KEY MEASURES AT A GLANCE
Lending measures assisted by public guarantees
at €12.0bn as at 30/09/20
Up at €13.0bn end-October, o/w €8.6bn already provided
€ bn | 12.0 | 1.4 | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
9.5 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In progress | Includes: | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
7.5 | €3.5bn already approved | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds already | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7.1 | €1.4bn under approval | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
provided | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30/06/2020 | 30/09/20 | o/w: 100% | o/w: 70%-90% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Avg. level of | guaranteed | guaranteed |
guarantees at 86% | (include also renegotiations) |
Moratoria measures: Total underlying loan exposure at €15.6bn as at 30/09/20
€ bn | 15.7 | 15.6 | |||||||||||
Substantially stable | |||||||||||||
ABI Moratoria | 3.1 | 3.4 | |||||||||||
in October | |||||||||||||
12.6 | |||||||||||||
Government Moratoria | 12.2 | ||||||||||||
GBV as at 30/06/20 | GBV as at 30/09/20 | ||||||||||||
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 8 |
COVID-19: MEASURES FOSTERING PORTFOLIO QUALITY & SAFETY
- Lower share of moratoria and higher customer propensity for new State-guaranteed lending
- Sound risk profile by rating classes of customers subject to moratoria measures
- Further improvement of the liquidity position of Non-Financial Corporate customers
Moratoria Measures: | Lending measures assisted by | ||||||||||||||||||||
System data1 | public guarantees: System data1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
BBPM share | BBPM share | ||||||||||||||||||||
5% | |||||||||||||||||||||
>€300 | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||
BBPM branch | >€105 | ||||||||||||||||||||
bn | bn | ||||||||||||||||||||
market share: | |||||||||||||||||||||
7% | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distribution on loans | |||||||||||||||||||||
under Moratoria by | 77% | 13% | 10% | ||||||||||||||||||
rating classes as at | |||||||||||||||||||||
30/09/2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low-Medium risk | Mid-High risk | High risk | |||||||||||||||||||
o/w: Exposure to selected | €0.4bn | €0.3bn | |||||||||||||||||||
sectors2 with "High-potential | |||||||||||||||||||||
impact" from Covid-19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
+28.6% | |||||||||||||||||||||
Deposits of | o/w: From | 25.6 | 32.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-Financial | Customers | 4.1 | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Corporates | under Moratoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
31/03/2020 | 31/10/2020 |
Note: 1. ABI Press Release of 14/10/20. 2. Transport & Storage services; Accomodation, Restaurants & Travel Agencies; Textile fibers & Leather; Automotive trade; Means of Transport; Construction.
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 9 |
COVID-19: PROACTIVE CREDIT MANAGEMENT
NEW AND TAILOR-MADE CREDIT MONITORING & MANAGEMENT PROCESS
STRATEGY FOR LOANS UNDER MORATORIA:
Specific additional monitoring programs, fed by clusters based on economic sectors and Key Risk Indicators
- Targeted action plan identified for each cluster
- Tailor-madecontact campaigns with first focus on customers belonging to the sectors most impacted and/or to the highest risk classes, with a view to analyze the customer's condition and to activate a proactive response
Tailor made campaigns: first results
(exposure in € bn)
12.2
Positive feedback1 | |
2.7 | |
received as of today: | |
70% |
Government Priority portfolio Moratoria
STRATEGY FOR
PERFORMING PORTFOLIO:
Workflow-driven Monitoring
Platform
Early Warning System
- More effective and tailor-madecredit management developed
- Timeliness and accuracy of credit monitoring improved
- Wide selection of triggers for early warning detection of positions in watchlist (includes all counterparties with potential future events of default)
Share of positions in watchlist
WITHOUT overdues
70%
Normalisation rate of positions
exiting from watchlist
94%
Note: 1. Contacted customers declaring no need for further | 1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 10 |
intervention from Banco BPM. |
SOUND NEW LENDING PERFORMANCE
€20.3bn new Loans in 9M 20201, o/w €7.1bn Covid-19 measures guaranteed by the State
€ bn | |||
+26.6% | |||
16.0 | 20.3 | 35% | Ordinary business |
65% | Covid-19 Measures |
€7.1bn guaranteed
by the State
9M 2019 9M 2020
9M 2020 new lending by risk categories2
32% | 37% | 34% | 34% | ||||||||||||
23% | 23% | ||||||||||||||
6% | 7% | 2% | 2% | ||||||||||||
Low | Medium-Low | Medium | Medium-High | High | |||||||||||
Ordinary Business | Covid-19 Measures | ||||||||||||||
Enterprise & Corporate | New lending: Monthly trend | ||||||||||||||||||
Households | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
2.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||
1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||
1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||
Jan. 20 | Feb. 20 | Mar. 20 | Apr. 20 | May 20 | Jun. 20 | Jul. 20 | Aug. 20 Sept. 20 |
- New lending to Enterprises and Corporates +36.5% y/y and +13.3% in Q3
- New lending to Households -20.0% y/y, with recovery in Q3 (+21.3%)
- State-guaranteednew lending (with an average spread at ~1.6%) implies:
- Increase of the share of lending assisted by guarantees
(~74% of new lending to Enterprises and Corporates in Q3) - Ordinary new lending more concentrated on the best risk categories
- Increase of the share of lending assisted by guarantees
Notes: 1. Include M/L-term Mortgages (Secured and Unsecured), Personal Loans, Pool and Structured Finance. Internal management data. 2. Based on rated new lending portfolio, representing ~90% of total new lending.
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 11
P&L AT A GLANCE
Resilient performance in a challenging environment
Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | |||
NET INTEREST INCOME | €474m | €480m | €520m | ||
FEES & COMMISSION | €441m | €376m | €418m | ||
NFR1 | €1m | €83m | €157m | ||
OTHER REVENUES | €39m | €63m | €48m | ||
TOT. REVENUES | €954m | €1,001m | €1,143m | ||
OPERATING COSTS | -€635m | -€614m | -€582m | ||
PRE-PROVISION INCOME | €319m | €388m | €562m | ||
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS | -€213m | -€263m | -€324m | ||
NET INCOME4 | €152m | €-46m | €157m | ||
q/q | 9M 2020 |
+8.4% €1,474m
+11.0% €1,235m
€241m
€150m
+14.2% €3,099m
-5.2% -€1,830m
+44.9% €1,269m
-€801m
€263m
- SOUND QUARTERLY GROWTH OF NII
- SOLID RECOVERY IN FEES AND COMMISSIONS VS. Q2
- STRONG NFR IN Q3, MAINLY THANKS TO THE REVALUATION OF THE SIA STAKE2
- FURTHER REDUCTION IN COSTS, THANKS ALSO TO LOWER VARIABLE PART OF REMUNERATION AND ONE-OFF COVID - RELATED SAVINGS3
SOLID PRE-PROVISION INCOME GENERATION ALLOWING TO FUND FURTHER DERISKING
€ m | Pre-Provision Income | 1,269 | ||||||||
562 | ||||||||||
388 | ||||||||||
319 | ||||||||||
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | 9M 20 |
Notes: 1. Exluding FV on own liabilites. 2. Positive valuation effect on the SIA stake (+€147m). 3. See slide 20 for details. 4. Include the result from FV on own liabilities
(after tax): €29.4m in 9M 2020, o/w: €137.9m in Q1; -€110.7m in Q2; €2.2m in Q3.
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 12
CAPITAL POSITION: STRONG CET1 RATIOS
Ratios and buffers further strengthened: well positioned to face the tough scenario1
% | CET 1 Ratios: evolution |
CET1 | 14.6 | 14.7 | 15.4 | Related to | 14.9 |
Operational and | |||||
Phased-in | |||||
Market Risks | |||||
12.8 | 13.3 | +23bps | +56bps | 14.1 | -50bps | 13.6 |
CET1 | ||||||
Fully Loaded | ||||||
31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | FVOCI | Q3 Performance & | 30/09/2020 | Headwinds | 30/09/2020 |
Reserves | Other | Stated | expected in Q4 | Adjusted |
Buffer vs. | +479bps |
Min. Cap. Requirement FL | |
MDA Buffer FL | +335bps |
+558bps |
+475bps |
+508bps |
+414bps |
- Solid CET 1 ratios, with an improvement even on an Adjusted basis (i.e. including regulatory headwinds expected in Q4 2020)
-
Adjusted MDA buffer stands at +414bps on a fully loaded basis, confirming the Group's solid capital position
Note: 1. Buffers are calculated with the application of CRD V rules. 1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 13
NEW ACCELERATED DERISKING STRATEGY
Portfolio disposals up to €1.2bn under way reaffirming Banco BPM's solid derisking
- Two portfolio disposals already at an advanced stage:
- Project 'Django': UTP portfolio sale
- Project 'Titan': Bad Loan securitisation (leasing portfolio)
- IFRS 9 impact at CoR level already booked in Q3 due to change in management strategy (Disposal vs. Workout)
UTP 'Project 'Django':
GBV ~€1bn
- #149 positions
- 56% Real Estate/44% Other industrial sectors
- Average vintage: 4.8 years
Status
On 5 November:
- Offers and structure of the transaction formally approved
Next steps
- Closing expected by YE 2020
BAD LOANS 'Project 'Titan':
GBV ~€0.2bn
- Leasing Portfolio contributed to a multi-originator GACS
Status
- DD completed
Next steps
- Tranching finalisation
- Closing expected by YE 2020
- Potential additional single name disposals are also under review and may come forth in Q4
- New disposal strategy maintaining the expected Cost of Risk guidance of about 100 bps for FY 2020, including also potential additional single name disposals
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 14
STRONG REDUCTION IN NPE: WELL AHEAD OF INTERNAL TARGETS
Improvement in asset quality to continue through further derisking
NPE Stock (GBV)
€ bn | 10.47 | 10.09 | 9.84 | 9.79 | |||
PD | |||||||
0.13 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.10 | ||||
UTP | 6.95 | 6.42 | 6.16 | 6.08 | |||
Bad Loans | 3.39 | 3.56 | 3.53 | 3.61 | |||
30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 |
NPE RATIOS
~8.6
0.1 |
~ 5.1 |
~3.4 |
30/09/20 Adj. post portfolio disposals1
-18% Y/Y
-12% in Q3
9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | ~6.7% including | |||
8.6% | ~7.7% | loans to banks | ||||
Gross | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | (as per EBA | |
Net | definition) | |||||
30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | 30/09/20 Adj. | ||
TEXAS RATIO2 | 58.1% | 52.3% | 49.3% | 45.5% | post portfolio | |
disposals1 | ||||||
Note: 1. Include Project 'Django' and Project 'Titan'. 2. Net NPEs over Tangible Net Equity (Shareholders' Net Equity - Intangible assets). Data as at 30/09/19 are adjusted for the reclassification of the Profamily non-Captive loan portfolio (see Methodological Notes).
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 15
SAFE TREND ACROSS ASSET QUALITY METRICS & PROVISIONS
MIGRATION RATES | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | COVERAGE | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | ||||
(annualised) | (annualised) | ||||||||||
DEFAULT RATE | 56.2% | 56.1% | |||||||||
1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | BAD LOANS | 57.6% | |||||||
(from Performing | |||||||||||
Loans to NPEs) | UTP | 39.1% | 39.3% | 42.7% | |||||||
NPE DANGER RATE | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | PAST DUE | 25.9% | 25.6% | 21.8% | ||||
(from UTP to Bad | |||||||||||
Loans) | TOTAL NPE | 45.0% | 45.1% | 48.0% | |||||||
CURE RATE | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | ||||||||
(from UTP to | |||||||||||
Performing Loans) | % of Secured NPE | 61% | 60% | 61% | |||||||
on Total NPE (GBV) | |||||||||||
64.1%
incl.
write-offs
Post Django and Titan disposals, coverage levels are expected to return broadly in line with previous quarters
51.2%
incl.
write-offs
LLPs: quarterly evolution | Annualised Cost of Risk (in bps) |
- m
Covid 19 related top-up in generic provisions
263.0 | 324.3 | Includes IFRS 9 impact on | 69 | 73 | 98 | Includes Covid 19-related top- | |
213.2 | selected portfolio | ||||||
~70 | up in generic provisions (H1) | ||||||
~70 | disposals (Django & Titan) | ||||||
and IFRS 9 impact on selected | |||||||
143.2 | 193.0 | portfolio disposals (Q3) |
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | 9M 19 | FY 19 | 9M 20 |
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 16
SOLID BALANCE SHEET POSITION CONFIRMED
CUSTOMER
VOLUMES
CORE NET PERF. LOANS
C.A. & DEPOSITS
AUM
30/09/20 | DELTA Y/Y | DELTA Q/Q |
€96.5bn | +4.9% | +1.6% |
€96.5bn | +10.8% | +3.7% |
€58.0bn | +0.7% | +0.3% |
Volume growth confirmed also in Oct. vs. Sept.1:
- Loans +0.6%
- Core Funding +3%
LIQUIDITY &
FUNDING2
LCRNSFR
198% >100%
UNENCUMBERED
ELIGIBLE SECURITIES
€25.8bn
Successful issuance activity in 2020:
AT1 in Jan. (€400m), Senior NP in Feb. (€750m)
and T2 in Sept. (€500m)
DEBT SECURITY
PORTFOLIO
PERFORMANCE
RESERVES OF DEBT SECURITIES AT FVOCI
UNREALISED GAINS ON
DEBT SECURITIES AT AC3
30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | DELTA Q/Q | ||
Corresponding to | ||||
€32m | €166m | +€134m | ||
+23bps on CET 1 ratio | ||||
in Q3 2020 | ||||
€545m | €756m | +€211m | ||
Note: 1. Internal Management data of the Commercial Network as at 31/10/2020. 2. Monthly LCR (September 2020) and Quarterly NSFR (Q3 2020); unencumbered eligible securities as at 31/10/2020. 3. Included neither in the P&L results, nor in the Capital Position.
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 17
NET INTEREST INCOME: HIGHLIGHTS
Net Interest Income | NII: Evolution Breakdown | |
€ m | +8.4% | |||||
474.1 | 479.5 | 519.9 |
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 |
NPE contribution: 29.1m | 29.9m | 25.9m |
Commercial spreads
€ m | +47.4 | 519.9 | |
479.5 | +3.9 | ||
-7.0 | |||
-4.0 | |||
Including -€15m from | |||
TLTRO III extra liquidity | |||
reinvestment |
Q2 20 Comm. | NPE | TLTRO | Non | Q3 20 |
banking | contrib. | Interest | Comm. | |
Income | banking1 |
1.90 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.47 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-0.43 | -0.44 | -0.51 | -0.52 | -0.51 | -0.41 | -0.57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 19 | Q2 19 | Q3 19 | Q4 19 | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset spread | Customer spread | Liability spread | EURIBOR 3M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-0.31 | -0.32 | -0.39 | -0.41 | -0.41 | -0.30 | -0.48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QUAR. AVG. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notes: 1. Includes: ALM, financial activities, Hedging, interest | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
on Bonds (Retail and Institutional) and other elements. |
Key asset spread drivers:
- Segment mix: volume growth mostly concentrated in Corporate Segment, in particular in MLT lending
- Rating mix: stronger lending with lower-risk borrowers and with State guarantees to preserve the overall quality of the loan portfolio
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 18
NET FEES: ROBUST QUARTERLY REBOUND
Q/Q trend | Q3 monthly trend | ||||||||||||||||||||
€ m | +11.0% | € m | |||||||||||||||||||
440.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
376.4 | 417.7 | 143.7 | 142.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
131.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
220.2 | 197.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
169.8 | 66.8 | 63.4 | 67.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
220.4 | 206.6 | 220.3 | 76.9 | 67.6 | 75.8 | ||||||||||||||||
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | July -20 | Aug-20 | Sept-20 | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial Banking Fees | Management & Advisory | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Net fees and commissions come in at €417.7m in Q3 (+11.0% q/q), with healthy progress both in Commercial fees (+6.6% q/q) and Management & Advisory fees (+16.2% q/q)
- Monthly trend of Investment product placements in Q3 shows a sound recovery in September, confirmed also in October
Investment product placements: monthly trend1
€ bn | Lockdown | ||||||||||||||||||||
impact | |||||||||||||||||||||
1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
0.9 | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
0.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Note: 1. Management data of the commercial network.
Include Funds & Sicav, Bancassurance, Certificates and 1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 19 Managed Accounts & Funds of Funds.
OPERATING COSTS: QUARTERLY COMPARISON
Total Operating Costs | Quarterly average recurring costs in 2017-20203 |
€ m | -8.4% | -5.2% | € m | 735.1 | 676.6 | 649.9 | 619.8 | |||||||||||||
635.0 | 613.8 | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
581.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
FY 17 | FY 18 | FY 19 | 9M 20 | |||||||||||||||||
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | ||||||||||||||||||
Avg. Q | Avg. Q | Avg. Q | Avg. Q |
Includes benefit
from lower
variable
remuneration
o/w: Staff costs | o/w: Other admin. costs | o/w: D&A | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
€ m | -14.8% | € m | +3.4% | € m | +5.6% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-10.3% | +3.7% | +5.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
419.0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
397.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
357.0 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
154.6 | 154.1 | 159.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
64.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
61.4 | 61.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 |
Note: 1. Mainly due to lower variable remuneration (ca. €20m). 2. Includes contribution from lower variable remuneration and one-off Covid 19-related savings, for a total of ca. €60m. 3. Net of non-recurring items and, for 2017 and 2018, net also of PPA to ensure a homogeneous comparison. See slide 25 for 9M 2020 non-recurring items.
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 20
FINAL REMARKS & 2020 OUTLOOK
9M 2020 Performance: Net income at €263m
- Strong Pre-ProvisionIncome: at €1.27bn, with solid quarterly progression
- New derisking strategy aimed at ensuring a further improvement in asset quality: Gross NPE ratio Adj. down at 7.7%
- Solid capital position & wide capital buffers, even after factoring in headwinds expected in Q4: Adjusted CET 1 FL at 13.6%
- Quality of loan portfolio supportedby significant acquisition of State guarantees
FY 2020 Outlook
Uncertain environment: new Government measures introduced to protect health while minimizing impact on economic activities Building on the recent experience, Banco BPM is equipped to confirm an overall positive performance for FY 2020
Core Revenues:
Operating Costs:
Asset Quality:
Capital:
- NII to be supported by a healthy trend in lending as well as by the positive TLTRO III effect
- Fees expected to confirm their recovery, subject to the evolution of the Covid-19 situation
- Strict cost control to continue, in response to the external environment
- Execution of announced derisking transactions and exploration of additional opportunities
- Cost of risk expectation confirmed at around 100bps
- Solid MDA buffer confirmed, well above the minimum strategic target of +250 bps
1. Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus 21
Agenda
1. | Highlights: Key Achievements & Action Focus | 4 | |
2. | 9M 2020 Performance Details: | 22 | |
- | Profitability | 23 | |
- | Balance Sheet | 28 | |
- | Funding and Liquidity | 29 | |
- Customer Loans and Focus on Credit Quality | 37 | ||
- | Capital Position | 43 |
9M 2020 Group Results Presentation 22
9M 2020 QUARTERLY P&L RESULTS
€ m | P&L STATED | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | Chg. q/q | ||||
NII | 474.1 | 479.5 | 519.9 | 8.4% | |||||
FEES & COMMISSIONS | 440.6 | 376.4 | 417.7 | 11.0% | |||||
NET FINANCIAL RESULT | 0.8 | 82.7 | 157.3 | 90.2% | |||||
TOTAL INCOME | 954.4 | 1,001.5 | 1,143.3 | 14.2% | |||||
STAFF COSTS | -419.0 | -398.0 | -357.0 | -10.3% | |||||
OTHER ADMIN .COSTS | -154.6 | -154.1 | -159.8 | 3.7% | |||||
D&A | -61.4 | -61.7 | -64.8 | 5.0% | |||||
OPERATING COSTS | -635.0 | -613.8 | -581.5 | -5.2% | |||||
PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS | 319.5 | 387.7 | 561.8 | 44.9% | |||||
LLPs | -213.2 | -263.0 | -324.3 | 23.3% | |||||
OTHER 2 | -2.7 | -18.5 | 2.0 | n.m. | |||||
PRE-TAX PROFIT | 103.5 | 106.2 | 239.5 | n.m. | |||||
TAX | -25.7 | -13.3 | -22.5 | 69.0% | |||||
SYSTEMIC CHARGES (net of taxes) | -57.5 | -18.2 | -53.0 | n.m. | |||||
NET INCOME BEFORE PPA | 20.3 | 76.3 | 166.5 | 118.3% | |||||
€ m | P&L ADJUSTED1 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | Chg. q/q | ||||
NII | 474.1 | 479.5 | 519.9 | 8.4% | |||||
FEES & COMMISSIONS | 440.6 | 376.4 | 417.7 | 11.0% | |||||
NET FINANCIAL RESULT | 0.8 | 82.7 | 157.3 | 90.2% | |||||
TOTAL INCOME | 954.4 | 1,001.5 | 1,143.3 | 14.2% | |||||
STAFF COSTS | -419.0 | -398.0 | -388.5 | -2.4% | |||||
OTHER ADMIN .COSTS | -154.6 | -154.0 | -159.8 | 3.8% | |||||
D&A | -59.8 | -61.1 | -64.5 | 5.5% | |||||
OPERATING COSTS | -633.4 | -613.2 | -612.8 | -0.1% | |||||
PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS | 321.0 | 388.3 | 530.5 | 36.6% | |||||
LLPs | -213.2 | -263.0 | -324.3 | 23.3% | |||||
OTHER 2 | -2.5 | -13.5 | 1.0 | n.m. | |||||
PRE-TAX PROFIT | 105.3 | 111.8 | 207.2 | 85.4% | |||||
TAX | -26.3 | -14.8 | -12.0 | -18.7% | |||||
SYSTEMIC CHARGES (net of taxes) | -57.5 | - | -53.0 | n.m. | |||||
NET INCOME BEFORE PPA | 21.5 | 98.3 | 144.7 | 47.2% | |||||
PPA AFTER TAX | -6.6 | -12.0 | -11.4 | -4.5% | PPA AFTER TAX | -6.6 | -12.0 | -11.4 | - | |
FV ON OWN LIABILITIES AFTER TAX | 137.9 | -110.7 | 2.2 | n.m. | FV ON OWN LIABILITIES AFTER TAX | 137.9 | -110.7 | 2.2 | n.m. | |
NET INCOME | 151.6 | -46.4 | 157.3 | n.m. | NET INCOME | 152.8 | -24.4 | 135.5 | n.m. | |
Notes: 1. Adjusted for non-recurring items shown in slide 25. 2. Other includes: Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tang. assets, Net adj . on other financial assets, Net provisions for risks & charges, Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments.
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 23
P&L: ANNUAL AND QUARTERLY COMPARISON
Reclassified income statement (in euro million)
Net interest income
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity
Net interest, dividend and similar income
Net fee and commission income
Other net operating income
Net financial result
Other operating income
Total income
Personnel expenses
Other administrative expenses
Amortization and depreciation
Operating costs
Profit (loss) from operations
Net adjustments on loans to customers
Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tangible assets
Net adjustments on other financial assets
Net provisions for risks and charges
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations
Tax on income from continuing operations
Systemic charges after tax
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests
Net income (loss) gross of PPA and net of valuation effect on own liabilities
Purchase Price Allocation after tax
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes
Net income (loss) for the period
9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | Chg. Y/Y | Chg. Y/Y | ||
% | |||||
1,507.1 | 1,473.5 | -33.6 | -2.2% | ||
97.3 | 107.1 | 9.7 | 10.0% | ||
1,604.4 | 1,580.6 | -23.8 | -1.5% | ||
1,332.3 | 1,234.6 | -97.7 | -7.3% | ||
59.9 | 43.3 | -16.6 | -27.8% | ||
143.8 | 240.8 | 97.0 | 67.4% | ||
1,536.0 | 1,518.7 | -17.3 | -1.1% | ||
3,140.4 | 3,099.3 | -41.1 | -1.3% | ||
-1,259.5 | -1,173.9 | 85.6 | -6.8% | ||
-488.8 | -468.5 | 20.3 | -4.2% | ||
-199.7 | -187.9 | 11.8 | -5.9% | ||
-1,947.9 | -1,830.3 | 117.6 | -6.0% | ||
1,192.5 | 1,269.0 | 76.5 | 6.4% | ||
-558.0 | -800.6 | -242.6 | 43.5% | ||
-27.5 | -5.7 | 21.8 | -79.2% | ||
4.2 | -8.3 | -12.4 | n.m. | ||
-8.4 | -6.7 | 1.7 | -20.1% | ||
336.8 | 1.5 | -335.2 | -99.5% | ||
939.5 | 449.2 | -490.3 | -52.2% | ||
-132.4 | -61.5 | 70.9 | -53.6% | ||
-88.4 | -128.7 | -40.3 | 45.6% | ||
6.3 | 4.0 | -2.3 | -36.2% | ||
725.0 | 263.1 | -461.9 | -63.7% | ||
-11.0 | -29.9 | -18.9 | n.m. | ||
-12.8 | 29.4 | 42.2 | n.m. | ||
701.2 | 262.5 | -438.7 | -62.6% |
Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 |
474.1 | 479.5 | 519.9 |
22.3 | 48.0 | 36.8 |
496.4 | 527.5 | 556.7 |
440.6 | 376.4 | 417.7 |
16.7 | 14.9 | 11.7 |
0.8 | 82.7 | 157.3 |
458.1 | 473.9 | 586.7 |
954.4 | 1,001.5 | 1,143.3 |
-419.0 | -398.0 | -357.0 |
-154.6 | -154.1 | -159.8 |
-61.4 | -61.7 | -64.8 |
-635.0 | -613.8 | -581.5 |
319.5 | 387.7 | 561.8 |
-213.2 | -263.0 | -324.3 |
-0.3 | -5.0 | -0.3 |
-4.7 | -3.7 | 0.1 |
2.2 | -9.8 | 0.9 |
0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
103.5 | 106.3 | 239.5 |
-25.7 | -13.3 | -22.5 |
-57.5 | -18.2 | -53.0 |
0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
20.3 | 76.3 | 166.5 |
-6.6 | -12.0 | -11.4 |
137.9 | -110.7 | 2.2 |
151.6 | -46.4 | 157.3 |
Chg. Q/Q Chg. Q/Q
%
40.4 8.4%
-11.3-23.5%
29.1 5.5%
41.3 11.0%
-3.2-21.4%
74.6 90.2%
112.7 23.8%
141.9 14.2%
41.0 -10.3%
-5.7 | 3.7% |
-3.1 | 5.0% |
32.2 -5.2%
174.1 44.9%
-61.3 23.3%
4.7 -93.8%
- n.m.
- n.m.
- n.m.
133.2 n.m
-9.2 69.0%
-34.8 191.7%
1.0 64.0%
90.2 n.m
- -4.5%
- n.m.
- n.m
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 24
ADJUSTED P&L: DETAILS ON NON-RECURRING ITEMS
Reclassified income statement | 9M 2020 | 9M 2020 | One-off | Non-recurring items and | ||||
adjusted | ||||||||
(in euro million) | extraordinary systemic charges | |||||||
Net interest income | 1,473.5 | 1,473.5 | 0.0 | |||||
Income (loss) from investments in associates | 107.1 | 107.1 | 0.0 | |||||
carried at equity | ||||||||
Net interest, dividend and similar income | 1,580.6 | 1,580.6 | 0.0 | |||||
Net fee and commission income | 1,234.6 | 1,234.6 | 0.0 | |||||
Other net operating income | 43.3 | 43.3 | 0.0 | |||||
Net financial result | 240.8 | 240.8 | 0.0 | |||||
Other operating income | 1,518.7 | 1,518.7 | 0.0 | |||||
Total income | 3,099.3 | 3,099.3 | 0.0 | |||||
Personnel expenses | -1,173.9 | -1,205.5 | 31.6 | Covid- related savings | ||||
Other administrative expenses | -468.5 | -468.5 | 0.0 | |||||
Amortization and depreciation | -187.9 | -185.5 | -2.4 | Adjustments on intangible assets | ||||
Operating costs | -1,830.3 | -1,859.4 | 29.1 | |||||
Profit (loss) from operations | 1,269.0 | 1,239.8 | 29.2 | |||||
Net adjustments on loans to customers | -800.6 | -800.6 | 0.0 | |||||
Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tangible assets | -5.7 | 0.0 | -5.7 | Application of the new valuation model on properties and | ||||
artworks |
Net adjustments on other financial assets
Net provisions for risks and charges
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations
Tax on income from continuing operations
Systemic charges after tax
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests
Net income (loss) gross of PPA and net of valuation effect on own liabilities
Purchase Price Allocation after tax
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes
Net income (loss) for the period
-8.3 | -8.3 | 0.0 | ||||
-6.7 | -6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | Real Estate gains | |||
449.2 | 424.3 | 24.9 | ||||
-61.5 | -53.1 | -8.4 | Extraordinary fiscal items | |||
-128.7 | -110.5 | -18.2 | Additional contribution to Italian resolution fund | |||
4.0 | 3.8 | 0.2 | Other | |||
263.1 | 264.4 | -1.3 | ||||
-29.9 | -29.9 | 0.0 | ||||
29.4 | 29.4 | 0.0 | ||||
262.5 | 263.9 | -1.4 | ||||
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 25
ADJUSTED P&L: ANNUAL COMPARISON
Reclassified income statement (in euro million)
Net interest income
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity
Net interest, dividend and similar income
Net fee and commission income
Other net operating income
Net financial result
Other operating income
Total income
Personnel expenses
Other administrative expenses
Amortization and depreciation
Operating costs
Profit (loss) from operations
Net adjustments on loans to customers
Net adjustments on other financial assets
Net provisions for risks and charges
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations
Tax on income from continuing operations
Systemic charges after tax
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests
Net income (loss) gross of PPA and net of valuation effect on own liabilities
Purchase Price Allocation after tax
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes
Net income (loss) for the period
9M 2019 adjusted
1,507.1
97.3
1,604.4
1,332.3
59.9
143.8
1,536.0
3,140.4
-1,259.5
-488.8
-197.0
-1,945.3
1,195.1
-558.0
4.2
-2.2
639.1
-153.3
-73.1
5.8
418.4
-11.0
-12.8
394.6
9M 2020 adjusted
1,473.5
107.1
1,580.6
1,234.6
43.3
240.8
1,518.7
3,099.3
-1,205.5
-468.5
-185.5
-1,859.4
1,239.8
-800.6
-8.3
-6.7
424.3
-53.1
-110.5
3.8
264.4
-29.9
29.4
263.9
Chg. Y/Y
-33.6
9.7
-23.8 |
-97.7 |
-16.6 |
97.0 |
-17.3
-41.1
54.0
20.3
11.5
85.8
44.7
-242.6
-12.4
-4.5
-214.8
100.2
-37.4
-2.0
-154.0
-18.9
42.2
-130.7
Chg. Y/Y
%
-2.2%
10.0%
-1.5%
-7.3%
-27.8%
67.4%
-1.1%
-1.3%
-4.3%
-4.2%
-5.9%
-4.4%
3.7%
43.5%
n.m.
n.m.
-33.6%
-65.4%
51.1%
-34.7%
-36.8%
n.m.
n.m.
-33.1%
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 26
COMPREHENSIVE PROFITABILITY
- m
- P&L NET INCOME
-
OTHER NET INCOME DIRECTLY ACCOUNTED TO EQUITY
o/w Reserves of Debt Securities at FVOCI (net of tax)
o/w Reserves of Equity Securities at FVOCI (net of tax)
Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | 9M 2019 | 9M 2020 | |
155.4 | 447.6 | 98.2 | 151.6 | -46.4 | 157.3 | 701.2 | 262.5 | |
110.5 | 13.5 | 159.2 | -289.7 | 151.1 | 76.7 | 283.2 | -61.9 | |
91.5 | 64.3 | 126.0 | -180.1 | 154.3 | 89.5 | 281.8 | 63.8 | |
19.5 | -31.9 | 26.3 | -114.9 | -5.4 | -17.2 | 14.0 | -137.5 | |
A.+B. | COMPREHENSIVE NET INCOME | 265.9 461.1 257.4 | -138.1 104.7 234.0 | 984.5 | 200.6 | ||
OF THE GROUP |
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 27
RECLASSIFIED BALANCE SHEET AS AT 30/09/2020
Reclassified assets (€ m) | Chg. y/y | Chg. YTD | Chg. in Q3 | ||||||||||
30/09/2019 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | Value | % | Value | % | Value | % | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents | 808 | 913 | 838 | 806 | -2 | -0.2% | -107 | -11.7% | -32 | -3.8% | |||
Loans and advances measured at AC | 114,967 | 115,890 | 121,213 | 125,680 | 10,712 | 9.3% | 9,790 | 8.4% | 4,466 | 3.7% | |||
- Loans and advances to banks | 9,305 | 10,044 | 12,825 | 16,962 | 7,657 | 82.3% | 6,917 | 68.9% | 4,137 | 32.3% | |||
- Loans and advances to customers (*) | 105,662 | 105,845 | 108,389 | 108,718 | 3,055 | 2.9% | 2,872 | 2.7% | 329 | 0.3% | |||
Other financial assets | 39,548 | 37,069 | 43,885 | 46,954 | 7,406 | 18.7% | 9,885 | 26.7% | 3,069 | 7.0% | |||
- Assets measured at FV through PL | 8,428 | 7,285 | 9,075 | 10,548 | 2,120 | 25.2% | 3,263 | 44.8% | 1,473 | 16.2% | |||
- Assets measured at FV through OCI | 13,112 | 12,527 | 13,112 | 13,853 | 741 | 5.7% | 1,326 | 10.6% | 741 | 5.6% | |||
- Assets measured at AC | 18,008 | 17,257 | 21,698 | 22,553 | 4,545 | 25.2% | 5,296 | 30.7% | 855 | 3.9% | |||
Equity investments | 1,354 | 1,386 | 1,577 | 1,638 | 284 | 21.0% | 252 | 18.2% | 61 | 3.9% | |||
Property and equipment | 3,450 | 3,624 | 3,522 | 3,497 | 47 | 1.4% | -127 | -3.5% | -25 | -0.7% | |||
Intangible assets | 1,262 | 1,269 | 1,261 | 1,248 | -14 | -1.1% | -21 | -1.7% | -12 | -1.0% | |||
Tax assets | 4,827 | 4,620 | 4,628 | 4,618 | -209 | -4.3% | -1 | 0.0% | -10 | -0.2% | |||
Non-current assets held for sale and discont. operations | 1,562 | 131 | 105 | 111 | -1,451 | -92.9% | -20 | -15.4% | 6 | 5.3% | |||
Other assets | 2,616 | 2,136 | 2,385 | 2,101 | -515 | -19.7% | -35 | -1.6% | -284 | -11.9% | |||
Total | 170,395 | 167,038 | 179,415 | 186,654 | 16,259 | 9.5% | 19,616 | 11.7% | 7,239 | 4.0% | |||
Reclassified liabilities (€ m) | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | Value | % | Value | % | Value | % | |||
Due to banks | 29,613 | 28,516 | 32,930 | 31,888 | 2,275 | 7.7% | 3,372 | 11.8% | -1,042 | -3.2% | |||
Direct Funding | 111,312 | 109,506 | 115,234 | 115,417 | 4,105 | 3.7% | 5,910 | 5.4% | 183 | 0.2% | |||
- Due from customers | 96,880 | 93,375 | 98,769 | 99,424 | 2,544 | 2.6% | 6,049 | 6.5% | 654 | 0.7% | |||
- Debt securities and financial liabilities desig. at FV | 14,432 | 16,131 | 16,464 | 15,993 | 1,561 | 10.8% | -138 | -0.9% | -471 | -2.9% | |||
Debts for Leasing | 753 | 733 | 682 | 672 | -81 | -10.7% | -60 | -8.2% | -10 | -1.4% | |||
Other financial liabilities designated at FV | 8,087 | 10,919 | 11,499 | 19,588 | 11,501 | 142.2% | 8,669 | 79.4% | 8,089 | 70.3% | |||
Liability provisions | 1,475 | 1,487 | 1,278 | 1,187 | -288 | -19.5% | -300 | -20.2% | -91 | -7.1% | |||
Tax liabilities | 543 | 619 | 612 | 638 | 94 | 17.3% | 18 | 2.9% | 26 | 4.2% | |||
Liabilities associated with assets held for sale | 50 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -47 | -94.9% | -3 | -50.4% | -2 | -40.0% | |||
Other liabilities | 6,997 | 3,366 | 4,942 | 4,804 | -2,193 | -31.3% | 1,438 | 42.7% | -138 | -2.8% | |||
Minority interests | 37 | 26 | 25 | 22 | -15 | -39.9% | -4 | -15.5% | -3 | -10.3% | |||
Shareholders' equity | 11,528 | 11,861 | 12,211 | 12,436 | 908 | 7.9% | 575 | 4.8% | 225 | 1.8% | |||
Total | 170,395 | 167,038 | 179,415 | 186,654 | 16,259 | 9.5% | 19,616 | 11.7% | 7,239 | 4.0% | |||
Note: * "Customer loans" include the Senior Notes of the two GACS transactions and, as at 30/09/19, excludeProfamily non-captive portfolio classified
as discontinued operations (see Methoodological Notes).
30/09/2019 data are restated for the incorporation of the effects due to the change of the valuation criteria applied to the Group's properties and artworks starting from 31/12/2019.
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 28
DIRECT FUNDING
Solid position confirmed in Core funding, with a strong further increase in core deposits Direct customer funding1 (withoutRepos)
€ bn | +10.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7.8% | 117.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Capital-protected Certificates | 106.5 | 108.9 | 114.4 | 3.1 | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | 3.1 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 15.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
14.4 | 1.9 | 16.11.6 | 16.4 1.7 | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bonds | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Time deposits | 85.2 | 86.2 | 91.4 | 94.8 | +€8.7bn YTD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
C/A & Sight deposits | (80.0%) | (79.1%) | (79.9%) | (80.8%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(%) Share on total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CHANGE | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | In % Y/Y | In % YTD | In % Q3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
C/A & Sight deposits | 85.2 | 86.2 | 91.4 | 94.8 | 11.3% | 10.1% | 3.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Time deposits | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -10.8% | 0.0% | -2.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Bonds | 14.4 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 15.9 | 11.1% | -0.7% | -2.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -11.8% | -5.7% | -7.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Capital-protected Certificates | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 5.5% | 2.3% | 5.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Funding (excl. Repos) | 106.5 | 108.9 | 114.4 | 117.4 | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Note: | |
1. Direct funding restated according to a management logic: it includes capital-protected certificates, recognized essentially under 'Held-for- | |
trading liabilities', while it does not include Repos (€1.31bn at September 2020 vs. €7.98bn at September 2019), mainly transactions with Cassa di | |
Compensazione e Garanzia. | 29 |
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details |
BONDS OUTSTANDING: WELL DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
Bonds Outstanding as at 30/09/2020
Nominal | 17.3% Cap.-Protected | ||
amounts | Covered | Certificates | |
Bonds1 | 25.3% Senior | ||
32.4% | €19.9bn | ||
Preferred | |||
€4.2bn, o/w: ~€1.8bn | 3.8% Senior | ||
not included in Own | 21.3% | Non-preferred | |
Funds Phased-in, but | |||
Subordinated | |||
representing MREL- | |||
eligible funding | (T1, AT1 and T2) |
Wholesale bond issues since 2017
- Total bonds outstanding at €19.9bn
- Successful issuance activity in 2020, 68% of FY 2020 Wholesale bond maturities: AT1 in Jan. (€400m), Senior Non-Preferredin Feb. (€750m) and T2 in Sep. (€500m)
- Very manageable amount of wholesale bond maturities in Q4 2020 (€1.4bn) and FY 2021 (€2.4bn), considering the strong liquidity position (with unencumbered eligible assets at €22.1bn, highly exceeding total bonds outstanding)
Wholesale bond maturities
€ bn | Focus on Wholesale bonds issued in 9M 2020: | € bn | 2.4 |
2.40
1.751.65
0.50
FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 9M 20
68% of FY 2020 maturities | 1.4 | 0.5 | ||||
€1bn Senior | ||||||
0.75 | 0.8 | |||||
0.50 | maturities | |||||
0.40 | 0.7 | |||||
registered in 9M | ||||||
1.2 | ||||||
0.7 | ||||||
Jan-20 | Feb-20 | Sep-20 | Q4 2020 | FY 2021 | ||
Senior Non Pref. | AT1 | Tier 2 | Senior Pref. | Subordinated | Covered Bonds | |
Managerial data based on nominal amounts. | 2. 9M 2020 Performance Details | 30 |
Notes: 1. | Include also Repos with underlying retained Covered Bonds. | |
BOND MATURITIES: LIMITED AND MANAGEABLE AMOUNTS
Institutional bond maturities | Retail bond maturities | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
€ bn | 3.75 | € bn | 0.50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2.43 | 2.50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.77 | 0.12 | 0.50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.71 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.21 | 1.25 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q4 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | Q4 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Senior Pref. | Subordinated 1 | Covered Bonds 2 | Senior Pref. | Subordinated 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Aggregate senior & | Aggregate senior & | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
subordinated in the period | subordinated in the period | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020-2022: €4.6bn | 2020-2022: €0.6bn |
Managerial data based on nominal amounts, including calls.
Note: 1. With negligible impact on T2 Capital. See slide 43 for details. 2. Include also the maturities of Repos with underlying retained Covered Bonds: €0.45bn in 2021 and €0.50bn in 2022.
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 31
SECURITIES: INCREASED WEIGHT OF THE AC PORTFOLIO
€ bn | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | Chg. y/y | Chg. YTD | Chg. in Q3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities | 34.2 | 31.2 | 38.3 | 39.9 | 16.5% | 27.7% | 4.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities, Open-end funds & Private equity | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | -14.5% | -26.2% | 19.5% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL SECURITIES | 36.4 | 33.8 | 39.9 | 41.8 | 14.6% | 23.6% | 4.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Focus on Debt Securities: Evolution & Composition | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
€ bn | 32.9 | 34.2 | 31.2 | 38.3 | 39.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31.6 | 30.2 | o/w: €3.0bn | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
at FVTPL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
o/w: Italian | 26.7 | 20.7 | 21.7 | 23.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17.7 | 19.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Govies | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31/12/16 | 31/12/17 | 31/12/18 | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Classification
of Debt
Securities
30/09/2019 | 30/09/2020 | |||||||
FVOCI | FVOCI | |||||||
36.8% | ||||||||
33.8% | ||||||||
€12.6bn | AC | AC | Italian Govies mainly | |||||
€34.2bn | €13.5bn | €39.9bn | ||||||
52.6% | 56.5% | concentrated in the AC | ||||||
€18.0bn | €22.6bn | portfolio (see next slide) | ||||||
FVTPL | €3.6bn | FVTPL | €3.8bn | 2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 32 | ||||
10.6% | 9.7% |
FOCUS ON GOVIES PORTFOLIO
Italian Govies at AC | Italian Govies at FVOCI |
48% maturing by next year
Italian Govies at FVTPL
€ bn | +7.0% in Q3 |
10.9 10.0 13.8 14.8
- bn
+24.3% in Q3
5.9 4.6 5.0 6.2
- bn
+0.4% in Q3
2.5 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
0.9 |
30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 |
Duration in years1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | Duration in years1 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Non-ITGovies at AC | Non-ITGovies at FVOCI | |||||||||||
€ bn | -1.6% in Q3 | € bn | ||||||||||
-8.9% in Q3 | ||||||||||||
5.6 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.4 | |||||
30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | |||||
Duration in years1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | Duration in years1 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
Notes: 1. Management data, including hedging strategies (Swap & Options).
30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 |
Non-ITGovies at FVTPL
- bn
-3.0% in Q3
0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4
30/09/19 31/12/19 30/06/20 30/09/20
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 33
FINANCIAL PORTFOLIO: NET FINANCIAL RESULT AND
RESERVES/UNREALISED GAINS
Net Financial Result
(excl. FV on Own Liabilities1)
€ m | 157.3 |
82.7
0.8
Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 |
- NFR at €157.3m in Q3 (against €82.7m in Q2 and €0.8m in Q1), strongly impacted by the positive valuation effect on the SIA stake (+€147m)
Reserves of Debt Securities at FVOCI | Unrealised gains on Debt Securities at AC2 | |||||||||||||||
Pre-tax, in € m | 166 | ~€210m as at | Pre-tax, in € m | ~€827m as at | ||||||||||||
31/10/20203 | 756 | |||||||||||||||
71 | 31/10/20203 | |||||||||||||||
520 | 545 | |||||||||||||||
32 | Not included in the P&L | 300 | ||||||||||||||
-198 | results, but included in | Included neither in | ||||||||||||||
31/12/19 | 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | the Capital Position | the P&L results, nor in | |||||||||||
31/12/19 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 30/09/20 | |||||||||||||||
the Capital Position | ||||||||||||||||
Notes: 1. Impact from the change in FV on Own Liabilities (before tax) at +€206.0m in Q1 2020, -€165.4m in Q2 2020 and +€3.3m in Q3 2020. These amounts have been reclassified into a separate item after tax. 2. Debt Securities accounted at Amortised Costs are subject to a specific policy which sets dedicated limits to the amount of disposals allowed throughout the year. 3. Internal management data.
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 34
SOLID LIQUIDITY POSITION: LCR AT 198% & NSFR >100%1
Eligible Assets2
- bn
Unencumbered
Encumbered with Repos & other
Other encumbered with ECB
TLTRO III
TLTRO II
TLTRO II completely reimbursed between March and June 2020
63.4 | 64.0 | |||||||||
54.0 | ||||||||||
22.1 | ||||||||||
19.9 | 24.2 | |||||||||
13.3 | 13.2 | 15.3 | ||||||||
4.0 | 0.5 | |||||||||
1.5 | ||||||||||
26.5 | ||||||||||
25.5 | ||||||||||
15.3 | ||||||||||
31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 |
- TLTRO III drawings:
- €1.5bn in Dec. 2019
- €2.0bn in March 2020
- €22.0bn in June 2020
- €1.0bn in September 2020
Up at €25.8bn
as at 31 Oct. 2020
OTHER UNENCUMBERED LIQUID ASSETS
- ~€5.4bn average Excess ECB deposits in 9M 20
- €2.2bn HQLA lent3
- €2.4bn Marketable securities (unencumb. non-eligible)
- Sizeable funding contribution also from long-term bilateral refinancing operations at €3.4bn euro (net of haircuts), with an average maturity of 1.5 years
- Still large potential room for TLTRO III, with maximum take-up of €35.7bn (+€9.2bn vs. current exposure)
Internal management data, net of haircuts.
Notes: 1. Monthly LCR (September 2020) and Quarterly NSFR (Q3 2020). 2. Includes assets received as collateral. 3. Refers to securities lending (uncollateralized high quality liquid assets).
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 35
INDIRECT CUSTOMER FUNDING AT €88.4BN
Assets under Management | Assets under Custody1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
€ bn | 58.3 | +0.7% | +0.3% | € bn | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57.6 | 57.8 4.0 | 58.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4.0 | 3.9 | 4.0 | -3.7% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15.2 | 15.4 | 15.1 | 14.8 | -0.5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
38.5 | 39.0 | 38.8 | 39.2 | 31.5 | 31.4 | 30.5 | 30.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds & Sicav | Bancassurance | Managed Accounts and Funds of Funds | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- Total Indirect Customer Funding at €88.4bn, basically unchanged vs. 30/06/2020.
- Marginal increase in AUM (+0.3% q/q), mainly thanks to Funds e Sicav, which has compensated the slight decrease in Bancassurance.
- AUC almost stable in Q3; resilience in volume effect on a yearly-basis, being penalized by the price effect (-€1.8bn)
Management data of the commercial network. AUC historic data restated for managerial adjustments.
Note: 1. AuC data are net of capital-protected certificates, as they have been regrouped under Direct Funding (see slide 29).
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 36
ANALYSIS OF PERFORMING LOAN PORTFOLIO
Customer loan (GBV) breakdown as at 30/09/20201
Staging evolution: | ||||||||||||||||
Other (Public Sector, | GACS Senior Notes | |||||||||||||||
Performing Loans in 9M 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
No-Profit, etc.) | 2.2% | |||||||||||||||
4.9% | GBV in € bn | |||||||||||||||
Households | 100.6 | 103.4 | 104.1 | |||||||||||||
26.1% | €104.1bn | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | ||||||||||||
Non-Financial | ||||||||||||||||
Financials | Corporates | |||||||||||||||
10.7% | 56.2% | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | ||||||||||||
Performing portfolio: EAD by risk categories2 | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | ||||||||||||||
31/03/2020 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | ||||||||||||
28.7% 26.3% 26.9% | 35.8% 35.6% 36.3% | 23.3% 24.2% 23.3% | ||||||||||||
7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | |||||||||
Low | Medium-Low | Medium | Medium-High | High |
September: 86.5%
June: 86.1%
March: 87.8%
Moderate impact of the Covid -
related crisis on the Performing Loan
portfolio in 9M 2020, thanks to a
range of external support measures
and bank-specific actions
Note: 1. GBV of on balance-sheet performing exposures. Financials include REPOs with CC&G. Internal management data. 2. Includes all performing customer loans subject to the internal rating process (AIRB). Based on 11 rating classes for rated performing loans.
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 37
NET CUSTOMER LOANS
Satisfactory increase in Performing Loans, with new loans granted at €20.3bn in 9M 20201
Net Customer Loans2
€ bn | 107,0 | 105.8 | 108.4 | 108.7 | |||||||||||||
NPE | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.1 | -8.2% YTD | ||||||||||||
101.1 | 100.3 | 103.0 | 103.6 | +3.3% YTD | |||||||||||||
Performing Loans | |||||||||||||||||
30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | ||||||||||||||
CHANGE | |||||||||||||||||
NET PERFORMING LOANS | 30/09/19 | 31/12/19 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | In % y/y | In % YTD | In % q/q | ||||||||||
Core customer loans | 92.0 | 91.1 | 95.0 | 96.5 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | Net Performing loans in Stage 2 | |||||||||
- Medium/Long-Term loans | 62.0 | 62.5 | 67.1 | 71.3 | 15.1% | 14.1% | 6.3% | ||||||||||
- Current Accounts | 11.2 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 8.5 | -23.5% | -18.7% | -9.7% | at €6.6bn as at 30/09/20, | |||||||||
- Other loans | 17.0 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 14.8 | -12.6% | -8.1% | -10.9% | stable vs. 30/06/20 | |||||||||
- Cards & Personal Loans | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -3.7% | -6.6% | 1.2% | (€5.7bn as at 31/12/19), with a | |||||||||
Leasing | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -9.9% | -6.5% | -1.5% | coverage stable at 3.8% | |||||||||
Repos | 5.5 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 3.9 | -28.4% | -31.7% | -17.3% | (3.5% as at 31/12/19) | |||||||||
GACS Senior Notes | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | -12.3% | -9.0% | -2.7% | ||||||||||
Total Net Performing Loans | 101.1 | 100.3 | 103.0 | 103.6 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Notes: 1. Management data. See slide 11 for details. 2. Loans and advances to customers at Amortized Cost, including also the GACS senior notes (Exodus since June 2018 and, moreover, ACE since March 2019).
Data as at 30/09/19 are adjusted for the reclassification of the Profamily non-Captive loan portfolio (see Methodological Notes).
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 38
ASSET QUALITY DETAILS
GROSS EXPOSURES | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | Chg. y/y | Chg. YTD | Chg. in Q3 | |||||||
€/m and % | Incl. Profamily | Value | % | Value | % | Value | % | |||||||
Bad Loans | 3,395 | 3,565 | 3,530 | 3,615 | 220 | 6.5% | 50 | 1.4% | 84 | 2.4% | ||||
UTP | 6,949 | 6,424 | 6,159 | 6,076 | -872 | -12.6% | -347 | -5.4% | -82 | -1.3% | ||||
Past Due | 131 | 98 | 150 | 100 | -31 | -23.4% | 2 | 1.8% | -50 | -33.1% | ||||
NPE | 10,474 | 10,087 | 9,839 | 9,791 | -683 | -6.5% | -296 | -2.9% | -48 | -0.5% | ||||
Performing Loans | 101,438 | 100,631 | 103,431 | 104,064 | 2,626 | 2.6% | 3,433 | 3.4% | 633 | 0.6% | ||||
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS | 111,912 | 110,718 | 113,269 | 113,855 | 1,942 | 1.7% | 3,137 | 2.8% | 585 | 0.5% | ||||
NET EXPOSURES | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | Chg. y/y | Chg. YTD | Chg. in Q3 | |||||||
€/m and % | Incl. Profamily | Value | % | Value | % | Value | % | |||||||
Bad Loans | 1,488 | 1,560 | 1,549 | 1,532 | 44 | 3.0% | -28 | -1.8% | -17 | -1.1% | ||||
UTP | 4,373 | 3,912 | 3,739 | 3,480 | -893 | -20.4% | -432 | -11.0% | -258 | -6.9% | ||||
Past Due | 107 | 73 | 111 | 78 | -29 | -26.7% | 5 | 7.4% | -33 | -29.6% | ||||
NPE | 5,968 | 5,544 | 5,399 | 5,091 | -877 | -14.7% | -454 | -8.2% | -309 | -5.7% | ||||
Performing Loans | 101,072 | 100,301 | 102,989 | 103,627 | 2,555 | 2.5% | 3,326 | 3.3% | 638 | 0.6% | ||||
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS | 107,040 | 105,845 | 108,389 | 108,718 | 1,678 | 1.6% | 2,872 | 2.7% | 329 | 0.3% | ||||
Data refer to Loans and advances to customers | ||||||||||||||
COVERAGE | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 | ||||||||||
measured at Amortized Cost, including also the GACS | ||||||||||||||
% | Incl. Profamily | |||||||||||||
Senior Notes. | ||||||||||||||
Bad Loans | 56.2% | 56.2% | 56.1% | 57.6% | ||||||||||
UTP | 37.1% | 39.1% | 39.3% | 42.7% | Data as at 30/09/19 are adjusted for the reclassification | |||||||||
Past Due | 18.2% | 25.9% | 25.6% | 21.8% | ||||||||||
of the | Profamily | non-Captive loan | portfolio | (see | ||||||||||
NPE | 43.0% | 45.0% | 45.1% | 48.0% | ||||||||||
Methodological Notes). | ||||||||||||||
Performing Loans | 0.36% | 0.33% | 0.43% | 0.42% | ||||||||||
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | ||||||||||
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details | 39 |
NPE FLOWS
Inflows to NPEs
'Default'
€ m
934 | 722 |
261 | 308 | 153 | ||||||||||
9M 19 | 9M 20 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | ||||||||
20 | 20 | 20 |
Outflows to Perf. Loans
'Cure'
€ m
265 | ||||||||||||
179 | 81 | 43 | 55 | |||||||||
9M 19 | 9M 20 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | ||||||||
20 | 20 | 20 |
Flows from UTP to Bad Loans
'Danger'
- m
676
372
178 | 111 | ||||||||||||
83 | |||||||||||||
9M 19 | 9M 20 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | |||||||||
20 | 20 | 20 |
- 9M 2020 shows an improvement in inflows to NPEs as well as in flows from UTP to Bad Loans vs. 9M 2019
- The challenging macroeconomic scenario has impacted mainly the outflows to performing loans
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 40
IMPROVING TREND IN ASSET QUALITY
Gross NPEs: -€20.2bn vs. YE 2016, o/w: -€1.7bn in 2019 and an additional -€0.3bn in 9M 2020
- bn
30.0
Down to ~€8.6bn
post Django & Titan
disposals
11.8 | -0.6 | +1.2 | -2.3 | +0.7 | -1.0 | |
10.1 | 9.8 |
31/12/16 | 31/12/18 | Bad Loan | Inflows from | Cancellations, 31/12/19 | Inflows from | Cancellations, 30/09/20 | |
IAS 39 | 1 | portfolio | Performing | Write-offs, | Performing | Write-offs, | |
disposals | Recoveries, | Recoveries, | |||||
Cure & Other | Cure & Other |
Note: 1. Includes a restatement for managerial purposes (inclusion of a portion of write-offs, in coherence with the restatement done in 2017).
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 41
UTP LOANS: HIGH SHARE OF RESTRUCTURED & SECURED POSITIONS
UTP analysis
Breakdown of Net UTPs
€ bn | Down to ~€5.1bn | Unsecured | |||
-5.4% YTD | post Django | Secured | |||
disposal | (%) | Composition | |||
6.4 | 6.1 | ||||
2.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 | |
(39%) | (38%) | ||||
3.9 | (25%) | 2.6 | |||
3.8 | |||||
(61%) | |||||
(62%) | (75%) | ||||
GBV | GBV | Adjustments | NBV | Unsec. | Sec. |
31/12/19 | 30/09/20 | ||||
Coverage ratio: | 42.7% | 62.1% | 30.9% |
€ bn | 31/12/19 | 30/09/20 | |
Restructured | 1.7 | 1.6 | |
- Secured | 0.9 | 1.0 | |
- Unsecured | 0.8 | 0.6 | |
Other UTP | 2.2 | 1.9 | |
- Secured | 1.9 | 1.6 | |
- Unsecured | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
3.9 | 3.5 | ||
o/w: | |||
- North | 72.6% | 72.5% | |
- Centre | 20.9% | 20.5% | |
- South, Islands | 6.5% | 7.0% | |
& not resident | |||
% Chg. |
-5.8% |
8.9% |
-22.2% |
-14.4% |
-14.1% |
-16.4% |
-11.0% |
UTP Coverage: +7.7p.p. since YE 2018
Post Django | |||||
37.1% | 39.1% | 39.3% | 42.7% | disposal, expected | |
35.0% | to return broadly in | ||||
line with previous | |||||
quarters | |||||
31/12/2018 | 30/09/2019 | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | 30/09/2020 |
- Solid level of coverage for unsecured UTP: 62.1%
- Net unsecured UTP other than Restructured loans are limited to €0.3bn
- 93% of Net UTPs are located in the northern & central parts of Italy
2. 9M 2020 Performance Details 42
CAPITAL POSITION: STRONG RATIOS & BUFFERS
Further strengthening in ratios and buffers: well positioned to face the tough scenario
Fully Loaded Capital Ratios: evolution | Phase-In Ratios |
% | |||||||||
TOTAL | 15.6% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | ||
TIER 1 | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.1% | ||
13.3 | +23bps | +56bps | 14.1 | 13.6 | 15.4 | 14.9 | |||
12.8 | 12.9 | ||||||||
CET 1 | |||||||||
31/12/2019 | 31/03/2020 | 30/06/2020 | FVOCI | Q3 Performance | 30/09/2020 | 30/09/2020 | 30/09/2020 | 30/09/2020 | |
Reserves | & AT1 coupon | Stated | Adjusted 2 | Stated | Adjusted 2 |
Capital Buffers as at 30/09/20201 | Solid CET 1 ratios, with an improvement even | |||||
On Stated ratios | On Adjusted ratios | |||||
on an Adjusted basis (i.e. including regulatory | ||||||
MIN. REQ. on CET1 | MDA BUFFER | MIN. REQ. on CET1 | MDA BUFFER | headwinds expected in Q4 2020): at 13.6% FL | ||
and 14.9% Phased-in | ||||||
Phased-in | +704bps | +639bps | +648bps | +572bps | | Adjusted MDA buffers stand at +414 bps FL |
and +572 bps Phase-in, confirming the | ||||||
Group's solid capital position | ||||||
Fully Loaded | +558bps | +475bps | +508bps | +414bps | Leverage ratio as at 30/09/2020 at 5.4% on a | |
phase-in and at 5.0% on a fully loaded basis |
Note: 1. Buffers calculated with the application of the CRD V rules. 2. Adjusted ratios include the regulatory headwinds | |
expected in Q4 2020 in relation to Operational and Market risks (for a total of -50bps), while the MDA buffer on the Adjusted | 43 |
Total Capital Ratios includes also the maturity, in November 2020, of a T2 instrument, with a very limited residual recognizable |
amount of €14m.
CAPITAL POSITION IN DETAIL
PHASED IN CAPITAL | 31/12/19 | 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | |||||||||
POSITION (€/m and %) | |||||||||||||
CET 1 Capital | 9,586 | 9,449 | 9,585 | 9,785 | |||||||||
T1 Capital | 10,017 | 10,253 | 10,388 | 10,589 | |||||||||
Total Capital | 11,542 | 11,636 | 11,676 | 12,253 | |||||||||
RWA | 65,841 | 65,435 | 65,090 | 63,381 | |||||||||
CET 1 Ratio | 14.56% | 14.44% | 14.73% | 15.44% | |||||||||
AT1 | 0.66% | 1.23% | 1.23% | 1.27% | |||||||||
T1 Ratio | 15.21% | 15.67% | 15.96% | 16.71% | |||||||||
Tier 2 | 2.32% | 2.11% | 1.98% | 2.63% | |||||||||
Total Capital Ratio | 17.53% | 17.78% | 17.94% | 19.33% | |||||||||
FULLY PHASED CAPITAL | 31/12/19 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | ||||||||||
POSITION (€/m and %) | |||||||||||||
CET 1 Capital | 8,453 | 8,423 | 8,692 | 9,006 | |||||||||
T1 Capital | 8,754 | 9,122 | 9,390 | 9,704 | |||||||||
Total Capital | 10,280 | 10,506 | 10,679 | 11,369 | |||||||||
RWA | 65,856 | 65,353 | 65,317 | 63,869 | |||||||||
CET 1 Ratio | 12.84% | 12.89% | 13.31% | 14.10% | |||||||||
AT1 | 0.46% | 1.07% | 1.07% | 1.09% | |||||||||
T1 Ratio | 13.29% | 13.96% | 14.38% | 15.19% | |||||||||
Tier 2 | 2.32% | 2.12% | 1.97% | 2.61% | |||||||||
Total Capital Ratio | 15.61% | 16.08% | 16.35% | 17.80% |
RWA COMPOSITION | 31/12/19 | 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | ||||
(€/bn) | ||||||||
CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY | 57.7 | 56.9 | 56.9 | 55.0 | ||||
RISK | ||||||||
of which: Standard | 29.3 | 29.1 | 29.1 | 29.0 | ||||
MARKET RISK | 1.9 | |||||||
2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | ||||||
OPERATIONAL RISK | 6.0 | |||||||
6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||||
CVA | 0.2 | |||||||
0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||
TOTAL | 65.8 | 65.4 | 65.1 | 63.4 | ||||
RWA COMPOSITION | 31/12/19 | 31/03/20 | 30/06/20 | 30/09/20 | ||||
(€/bn) | ||||||||
CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY | 57.7 | 56.9 | 57.1 | 55.5 | ||||
RISK | ||||||||
of which: Standard | 29.3 | 29.1 | 29.3 | 29.5 | ||||
MARKET RISK | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | ||||
OPERATIONAL RISK | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||
CVA | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||
TOTAL | 65.8 | 65.4 | 65.3 | 63.9 | ||||
Note: 2020 data include also the Net Income of the pertinent quarters. | 2. 9M 2020 Performance Details | 44 |
CONTACTS FOR INVESTORS AND FINANCIAL ANALYSTS
I N V E S T O R R E L A T I O N S
Roberto Peronaglio | +39-02-9477.2090 |
Tom Lucassen | +39-045-867.5537 |
Arne Riscassi | +39-02-9477.2091 |
Silvia Leoni | +39-045-867.5613 |
Carmine Padulese | +39-02-9477.2092 |
Registered Offices: Piazza Meda 4, I-20121 Milan, Italy
Corporate Offices: Piazza Nogara 2, I-37121 Verona, Italy
investor.relations@bancobpm.itwww.bancobpm.it(IR Section)
45
Attachments
- Original document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
Banco BPM S.p.A. published this content on 05 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 05 November 2020 17:26:04 UTC