Banco Central de Chile : Economic Expectations Survey October 2019

MONTHLY SURVEY ON EXPECTATIONS October 2019

Sent on: 3 October 2019

Deadline for responses: 9 October 2019

	Variable	Median	Decile 1	Decile 9	Answers	Graph
	1.Inflation (% change)
	Current month (monthly change)	0,50	0,20	0,60	50	Graph1
	Next month (monthly change)	0,20	0,00	0,30	50	Graph2
	In eleven months (12-month change)	2,90	2,70	3,30	50	Graph3
	In twenty three months (12-month change)	3,00	2,80	3,00	49	Graph4
	December 2019 (12-month change)	2,70	2,60	2,90	47	Graph5
	December 2020 (12-month change)	2,90	2,60	3,10	50	Graph6
	2.Monetary Policy rate target (%) (*)
	Following meeting	1,75	1,75	2,00	50	Graph7
	Second following meeting	1,75	1,50	2,00	50	Graph8
	In five months	1,75	1,50	2,00	50	Graph9
	December 2019	1,75	1,50	2,00	50	Graph10
	In eleven months	1,75	1,50	2,00	50	Graph11
	In seventeen months	2,00	1,50	2,50	50	Graph12
	In twenty three months	2,25	1,50	2,50	49	Graph13
	3.5-Year BCU (%) (*)
	In two months	-0,30	-0,70	0,10	45	Graph14
	In eleven months	0,10	-0,50	0,50	44	Graph15
	In twenty three months forward	0,40	0,00	0,70	43	Graph16
	4.5-Year BCP (%) (*)
	In two months	2,40	2,10	2,90	45	Graph17
	In eleven months	2,80	2,30	3,20	44	Graph18
	In twenty three months forward	3,20	2,70	3,50	43	Graph19
	5.Exchange Rate (CH $ per US$ 1) (*)
	In two months	710	695	720	49	Graph20
	In eleven months	700	680	725	49	Graph21
	In twenty three months forward	680	650	725	48	Graph22
	6.IMACEC (Monthly Activity Index)
	One month ago	3,60	3,00	4,00	49	Graph23
	7.IMACEC No Mining (monthly activity index)
	One month ago	3,60	3,20	4,30	42	Graph24
	8.GDP (12-month change)
	Within calendar quarter of the survey	3,00	2,50	3,50	48	Graph25
	Year 2019	2,50	2,40	2,70	50	Graph26
	Year 2020	3,00	2,70	3,30	50	Graph27
	Year 2021	3,30	3,00	3,50	47	Graph28
	9.GDP No Mining (12-month change)
	Within calendar quarter of the survey	3,00	2,70	3,70	42	Graph29
	Year 2019	2,80	2,50	3,00	41	Graph30
	Year 2020	3,20	2,70	3,40	40	Graph31
	Year 2021	3,40	3,00	3,80	38	Graph32

(*) End of the month.

Monthly survey of selected academics, consultants, and executives or advisors of financial institutions and corporations. It is completed the day after the publication of the CPI and it is published the day after its reception, at 8:30 hrs. approximately(www.bcentral.cl, Statistics section, Economic Surveys, Website: http://www.bcentral.cl/en/web/central-bank-of-chile/economic-expectations)

The survey period comprises the week prior to publication

Monthly Survey On Expectations October 2019

Inflation current month (monthly change)

Answers: 50 Median: 0,5%

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Monthly Survey On Expectations October 2019

Inflation next month (monthly change)

Answers: 50 Median: 0,2%

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Monthly Survey On Expectations October 2019 Inflation in eleven months (12-month change)

Answers: 50 Median: 2,9%

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Monthly Survey On Expectations October 2019 Inflation in twenty three months (12-month change) Answers: 49 Median: 3%

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