MARKET SNAPSHOT: U.S. Stocks Shape Up To Rebound, As Focus Turns To Retail Sales

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03/14/2018 | 10:08 am

By Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch

After soft inflation reading, traders look to retail data for a steer on Fed's path for rates

Wall Street was poised for an upbeat trading day on Wednesday, as investors looked ahead to data on U.S. retail sales, which could either strengthen or weaken the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates four times this year.

The gains for U.S. stock futures also indicated a rebound from the prior day's losses when traders used the departure of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson as an excuse to book some profits.

What are stock-market futures doing?

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 99 points, or 0.4%, to 25,149, while those for the S&P 500 index climbed 7.70 points, or 0.3%, to 2,780.75. Futures for the Nasdaq-100 index added 23 points, or 0.3%, to 7,106.

The gains come after all three benchmarks ended lower on Tuesday, with the Dow industrials closing down 0.7% after being up nearly 200 points earlier in the day. The S&P fell 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ended a seven-session winning streak with a 1% drop.

What is driving the markets?

The upbeat mood on Wednesday came as traders picked up stocks after the selloff in the previous session, which came as investors took profits after a period of strong gains last week. The profit taking was sparked by President Donald Trump's move to sack Tillerson and to replace him with Central Intelligence Agency Director Mike Pompeo, analysts said.

Investors were looking ahead to the retail sales data for February, which are forecast to show a rise of 0.4%, according to economists polled by MarketWatch. After the soft inflation reading on Tuesday, analysts see the retail report as the next big test of the strength of the U.S. economy ahead of the Fed meeting next week.

What are strategists saying?

"It's fair to say that with Friday's weak wage growth, core inflation remaining constant at 1.8%, market fears over a more aggressive path to monetary policy tightening by the Fed have eased considerably," said Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group, in a note.

"However, a solid surprise to the upside [from the retail data] today could go some way to allowing nerves to creep back into the market. In this scenario we would expect bond yields to move higher, boosting the dollar whilst weighing on U.S. equity indices," he added.

What's on the economic docket?

The retail sales report is scheduled to be out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. At the same time, the producer price index for February is due, followed by data on business inventories for January at 10 a.m. Eastern.

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