Investor presentation
First quarter 2020
May - June 2020
Investor presentation
First quarter 2020
Contents
Highlights & guidance
1Q20 Highlights - 4
Outlook 2020 - 5
bpost Group at a glance
Investment rationale - 7
Dividend policy - 8
Overview - 9
LT vision & strategic aspirations - 10 Management - 11
Sustainability - 12
Mail & Retail - 13-21
Disclaimer
Parcels & Logistics Eurasia - 22-29 Parcels & Logistics N. America - 30-35
1Q20 results
EBIT bridge - 37
Key financials - 38
Results by segment - 39
Mail & Retail - 40 & 41
Parcels & Logistics Eurasia - 42 & 43 Parcels & Logistics N. America - 44 & 45 Corporate - 46
Cash flow - 47
Balance sheet - 48
Financing Structure & Liquidity - 49
Additional Info
Key financials FY19 - 51 Results by segment FY19 - 52 Relationship with State - 53 USO & SGEI - 54 European mail market - 55 Key contacts - 56
Financial Calendar
13.05.2020
Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders
04.08.2020 (17.45 CET)
Quarterly results 2Q20
03.11.2020 (17:45 CET)
Quarterly results 3Q20
More on corporate.bpost.be/investors
This presentation is based on information published by bpost Group in its First Quarter 2020 Interim Financial Report made available on May, 4th 2020 at 5.45pm CET and in its 2019 Annual Report available on corporate.bpost.be/investors. This information forms regulated information as defined in the Royal Decree of 14 November 2007. The information in this document may include forward-looking statements1, which are based on current expectations and projections of management about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future whether or not outside the control of the Company. Such factors may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements. This material is not intended as and does not constitute an offer to sell any securities or a solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities.
1 as defined among others under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
2 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Highlights 1Q20 Guidance 2020
Highlights of 1Q20
1Q20 above expectations excluding COVID-19
1Q20
Group operating income
€ 934.6m
Group adjusted
EBIT
€ 75.6m
8.1% EBIT margin
Mail & Retail
€ 65.2m
13.0% EBIT margin
- Total operating income at € 500.0m (-5.2%) driven by COVID-19 impact on Advertising Mail & on retail and by deconsolidation of Alvadis
- Underlying mail volume decline at -9.9% driven by cancelled advertising campaigns (COVID-19)
- Adjusted EBIT decline (-29.6%) from COVID-19 mail evolution and additional opex. M&R COVID-19 impact: € -14.4m
Parcels & Logistics Eurasia
€ 16.9m
7.9% EBIT margin
- Total operating income at
- 213.5m (+8.5%), mainly driven by Parcels BeNe (+19.8%). Significant negative impact in Cross- border of COVID-19.
- Parcels BeNe organic volumes +20.5%
- Adjusted EBIT, excl. 1Q19 VAT recovery, YoY negative evolution of terminal dues settlements & COVID-19, up
- +4.5m (+31%) operationally. PaLo EA COVID-19 impact: € -1.8m
Parcels & Logistics N. Am.
€ -7.4m
-2.8% EBIT margin
- Total operating income at
- 261.3m (+14.3%) fully driven by E-commerce logistics, in particular growth at Radial from existing customers and new business signed in 2019
- Adjusted EBIT increase
(€ +0.4m) driven by positive evolution of E-commerce logistics (mainly Radial), to a large extent offset by continued margin pressure in International mail. PaLo NA COVID-19 impact:- -0.3m
1Q20 COVID-
19 impact1 on Group EBIT estimated at € -16.7m
2020 outlook overruled by COVID-19
1 All COVID-19 impacts mentioned in this presentation are best effort estimates based on actuals
4
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
Outlook for 2020 overruled by COVID-19
Outlook FY20
Updated full-year guidance will be issued as soon as the full quantitative impact of COVID-19 can be accurately and reliably estimated. bpost Group is not in position to do so to date.
March and | |
-19 | |
on | COVID |
issued excluding | |
Outlook | by |
overruled | |
as | |
202017, | |
Mail & Retail
Total operating income up to -5%
‐ -9% to -11% underlying Domestic Mail volume decline
‐ Approved mail pricing impact of +5.1%
8-10% adjusted EBIT margin
Parcels & Logistics | Parcels & Logistics | |
Eurasia | N. Am. | |
Low teens % growth in total | Mid-single-digit % growth in | |
operating income | total operating income | |
6-8% adjusted EBIT margin | Adjusted EBIT margin positive up | |
to 2% | ||
Group
Low single-digit % growth in total operating income
Adjusted EBIT between
€ 240-270m
Gross capex up to € 200m
Dividend
Current dividend policy of 85% of BGAAP net result is suspended.
A new dividend policy will be decided by the Board when the longer term
since | Mail volume impact: | Parcels BeNe YoY volume growth | So far, client volumes met | ||||
impacts | lockdown | ‐ | Advertising > -60% | >20% and strongly trending | expectations; limited operational | ||
‐ | Transactional: impacted to | upwards | disruptions | ||||
-19 | lesser extent | Cross-border significantly | Additional costs for health & | ||||
Additional costs (safety & | impacted by reduced air freight | safety currently less than ~€ 1m | |||||
March | |||||||
in | premium): ~€ 5.0m on a monthly | capacity and closure of | on a monthly basis, might go up | ||||
1Q20 observed | basis | international borders | |||||
COVID | startof | bpost Belgium absenteeism | Additional costs (safety, premium, | ||||
doubled at the start of the crisis | absenteeism & transport): | ||||||
in March | ~€ 1.5m on a monthly basis |
We strive to reduce gross capex by at least € 50m to € 150m maximum
impact of the COVID-19 crisis becomes clear.
5 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
bpost Group
at a glance
bpost Group offers a strong investment rationale
at a glance - Group
bpost Group aims at being a responsible company, delivering a sustainable dividend to its shareholders
What?
We continue to transform the mail and proximity business in the home market to sustain solid cashflows
We develop sustainable activities in the high growth e-commerce logistics & parcels business in our Belgium/Netherlands home market and key geographies in Europe and North America
How?
Multiple levers for | Experienced | Growth in | A solid balance | |||
transformation of | management | e-commerce | sheet with single | |||
the legacy | team with | logistics & | 'A' credit rating | |||
business: natural | embedded | parcels: aspired | ||||
attrition, | financial discipline | sizeable share of | ||||
alternating | and a strong | revenues | ||||
distribution | business | |||||
model, stable and | transformation | |||||
predictable | track record | |||||
regulation, | ||||||
network | ||||||
optimization,… | ||||||
7 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
We create value for shareholders
Capital allocation and dividend policy are under review
Dividend Policy
- IPO dividend policy until 2019: Minimum 85% of BGAAP net profit of the mother company bpost SA/NV (unconsolidated). This policy is now suspended
- Dividend on FY19 results limited to interim dividend due to COVID-19 crisis
- Updated dividend policy: A new dividend policy will be decided by the Board when the longer term impact of the COVID-19 crisis becomes clear
Dividend is constrained by net results of a given year (in BGAAP) + distributable reserves
Distributable reserves (€ 199m end 2019)
built gradually as from 2013, primarily to neutralize the non-recurring impact of exceptional costs
at a glance - Group
1.13 | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | |
0.22 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | ||
0.20 | ||||||
0.62 | ||||||
0.93 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | |
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Pay-out ratio | ||||||
91% | 85% | 90% | 85% | 90% | 100% | 72% |
Final gross DPS (€) | Interim gross DPS (€) |
8 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
A diversified mail operator with a footprint in e-commerce logistics
at a glance - Group
€ 3,837.2m1 | € 310.8m |
revenues | 8.1% |
EBIT | |
€ 537.0m | € 181.2m |
14.0% | net profit |
EBITDA |
35,377
average
# FTE & interims
Mail & Retail
-
1,897m
49%
Parcels & Logistics Europe & Asia
-
813m
21%
Parcels & Logistics North America
-
1,098m
29%
Transactional mail
Advertising mail
Press
Proximity and convenience retail network
Value added services
Parcels Be-Ne
E-commerce logistics
Cross-border
E-commerce logistics
International mail
Revenues | % of total | |
€ 748m | 19% | |
€ 236m | 6% | |
€ 344m | 9% | |
€ 465m | 12% | |
€ 104m | 3% | |
€ 381m | 10% | |
€ 133m | 3% | |
€ 300m | 8% |
€ 1,018m | 26% |
€ 87m | 2% |
2019 figures (adjusted)
1 49.4% Mail & Retail, 21.2% Parcels & Logistics Europe & Asia, 28.6% Parcels & Logistics North America and 0.8% Corporate revenue
9 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Long-term vision & strategic aspirations
at a glance - Group
"Beyond mail, be an efficient global e-commerce logistics player anchored in Belgium"
1
Mail services to citizens and State remain core and will continue to generate profit with a more adapted distribution model
2
Drive profitable growth in Parcels BeNe and further develop e-commerce logistics in Europe
3
Optimize Radial to deliver in the promising North American e-commerce market
10 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Our experienced management team has responsibilities down to the bottom-line
at a glance - Group
Jean-Paul Van Avermaet | Luc Cloet | Kathleen Van Beveren | Henri de Romrée |
Group CEO | CEO Mail & Retail | CEO Parcels & Logistics Europe & Asia | CEO Parcels & Logistics North |
America |
Mark Michiels | Leen Geirnaerdt | Dirk Tirez | Nico Cools |
CHRO | CFO | CLO | CIO |
11 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Sustainability is at the heart of our activities
3-pillar CSR strategy linked to United Nations
at a glance - Group
People | Proximity | Planet |
we care about our | we are close to the | we strive to reduce our |
employees and engage | society | impact on the |
them | environment |
Shared Value Creation
- Continuity of our business
- Employee satisfaction and engagement
- Customer satisfaction
• | Employee health & | • | To our community | • | Green fleet | ||
safety | • | To our suppliers | • | Green buildings | |||
• | Employee training and | • | To our customers | • | Waste management | ||
talent development | through our services | ||||||
• | Ethics & diversity | ||||||
• | Social dialogue | ||||||
Selected awards and recognition
- IPC EMMS Scorecard 2019 (sector index): #3
- EcoVadis (clients index): Gold rating
- Ethibel Indexes: reconfirmed as a constituent of the Ethibel Sustainability Index (ESI) Excellence Europe since 19/03/2018
- Sustainalytics: score 17.7% (low risk)
- MSCI: Score A
- Vigeo Eiris: 91% (sector average: 71%)
- ISS: Governance Score: 5, Environment Score: 1, Social Score: 3
- Carbon Disclosure Project: Score B (peer average C)
Ambitious CO2 reduction targets
- Since 2007 bpost Group has cut its CO2 emissions by almost 40%
- Target of reducing CO2 emissions from activities by at least 20% by 2030
- By 2030, at least 50% of vehicles will be fully electric
12 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Mail & Retail
at a glance
Sub-segments
Transactional mail
Advertising mail
Press
Proximity and convenience retail network
Value added services
Total
13
Revenues 2019, €m
748
236
344
465
104
1,897
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
at a glance - M&R
Key facts & figures
~7.1m
letters handled daily
~20.1k
operational FTEs
Servicing 5m
letter boxes
5
industrial sorting centers
~2,300
points of presence in Belgium
Key value drivers for Mail & Retail
Key value drivers | From |
Speed of mail volume decline | -7.9% |
in 2019 |
Share of mail volume decline compensated | 18-45% | |
through price increase | over 2014-2017 | |
Renegotiation/retendering of future 6th | Three contracts | |
Management contract and press concessions | until end 2020; | |
compensation contractually set | ||
Evolution of operating model | Fixed D+1 | |
(mail collect and distribution) | based model | |
(everywhere, everyday) | ||
1 58% in 2019 | ||
14 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
at a glance - M&R
To
Between 9% - 11%
in 2020 (ex-COVID-19)
>50%1
Extension
Of the 2 press concessions until end 2022
Expected agreement
on 7th Management contract
Flexible, differentiated offering
(prior vs. non-prior.)
Domestic mail volume decline expected to accelerate from | at a glance - M&R |
-7.9% in 2019 up to ~-9% to -11% in 2020 (ex-COVID-19impact) |
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20191 1Q20
Underlying change | -4.2% | ||||||||||
in domestic mail volume | -4.4% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.9% | |||||
-9.9% | |||||||||||
Transactional mail | -3.7% | -5.0% | -5.3% | -5.9% | -8.1% | -5.7% | -9.2% | -8.8% | |||
1.5% | |||||||||||
Advertising mail | -9.1% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -3.0% | -7.2% | -4.7% | |||||
-16.5% | |||||||||||
Press | -3.0% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -3.7% | -3.8% | -5.2% | ||
-6.5% | |||||||||
1 As of start FY19 Transactional Mail excludes outbound and Press includes Ubiway press distribution
15 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Key drivers
- E-substitutionat large corporates and SMEs
- Intensifying competition in advertising media
- Shift to digital for newspapers & magazines
-
Service level elasticity
from the implementation of the Alternating Distribution Model
Regulatory aspects
Designated provider of the Universal Service Obligation until end 20231
- Collection, sorting, transport and distribution of postal items up to 2kg and single piece postal packages up to 10kg
- Collect and deliver 5x per week
- Cover full territory of Belgium for collection and delivery of items belonging to universal service
- Apply uniform tariffs and an identical service across the territory
4 key contracts with the Belgian State
- Management contract for the provision of the USO (2019-2023)
- 6th Management Contract (2016-2020):for the provision of certain SGEIs, i.e. maintenance of retail network, cash at counter, cash payment of pensions at home
- 2 press concessions (2016-2020 extended for 2 years until end 2022): (1) for distribution of periodicals and (2) for distribution of newspapers
at a glance - M&R
Postal law of 10 February 2018 provides stable & predictable mail pricing framework
- Single piece mail & USO parcels falling within "small user basket" are subject to a price cap
- Price cap2 = inflation - (volume evolution + cost reduction factor x efficiency gains sharing factor)
- Volume and operational discounts allowed for other USO products (bulk)
- Price increases done in practice on a yearly basis: +4.4% on average in 2019 on all domestic mail items; +5.1% on average for 2020
- Refer to slide 53 for more details
- Exact formula: Price cap = health index April n-1/health index April n-2 * (1 - [expected volume decline/(expected volume decline +1)] - 2.8%*33%) - 1
16 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
New Postal Law (Effective as of February 10, 2018)
at a glance - M&R
provides stable and predictable regulatory framework to increase prices in context of accelerating mail volume decline
Drivers of the price cap formula | ||||||
Description | Inflation | Volume decline | Efficiency gains | |||
Compensation for inflation | mail volume decline | efficiency gains target | ||||
Compensation for | Mechanism to share 1/3 of the | |||||
with consumers | ||||||
Correlation | Higher inflation results in | Larger mail volume decline results | Constant and fixed by law | |||
to price cap | larger allowed price increase | in larger allowed price increase | ||||
Calculation | Ratio of the health index as | [V/(V+1)] with V as the expected | Fixed by the law at 0.9% | |||
logic | n-1 and n-2 | User Basket | gains target) | |||
measured in April of the years | negative volume trend on the Small | (i.e., 1/3 of 2.8% efficiency | ||||
Illustrative example assuming 2% inflation and -6% average volume decline: | - | 0.9% ] |
Price cap1: 7.6% = 102% | x | [ 106.4% |
1 Detailed formula: Price cap = (1 + inflation) * (1 - [V/(V+1)] - 0.9%) - 1, giving for the above example the following calculation (1+2%) * (1 - [-6%/(-6%+1)] - 0.9%) - 1 = 7.6%
17 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Price increase and mix effects expected to compensate >50% of mail volume decline
at a glance - M&R
Volume and price/mix impact on revenue €m
Domestic mail volume | Domestic mail price/mix | % | Share of volume effect compensated by price/mix | |||
72% | 45% | 30% | 31% | 18% | >50% | |
67 | 68 | 71 | ||||
60 | ||||||
57 | ||||||
42 | ||||||
27 | 20 | 21 | ||||
13 | ||||||
2013 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 2018-191 | |
Price increase on small | Building on the New | |||||
user basket rejected by | Postal Law for price | |||||
1 2018 was at 70%, 2019 was 58% | regulator | regulated products |
Key drivers
- Accelerating domestic mail volume decline
- New price cap mechanism of Postal Law defining max price increase for small user basket, and serving as guideline for price increase on non-pricecapped products
-
Price increase partly
offset by shift to less expensive mail products
18 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Management has developed an extended set of cost control options
at a glance - M&R
Operating model
- Differentiated offering and Alternating Distribution Model
- Take measures to address absenteeism
Industrial Mail | Collect & | |
Centers | Transport | |
• Optimize mail | • Align number of red | |
sorting centers | boxes to mail | |
footprint | volume decline | |
• Pursue continuous | • Stop collect on | |
improvement | Saturday and | |
increase flexibility of | ||
pick-up, delivery | ||
and dispatch timing | ||
constraints | ||
• Transport | ||
optimization (fill-in | ||
rate and routes) | ||
Distribution | FTE Unit cost |
• Introduce new | • Further optimize FTE |
generation of | mix |
Georoute and time | |
potential | |
management |
- Simplify process for selected transactions
- Enhance customer experience and productivity through digital (e.g., consumer preferences)
19 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
A differentiated offering enables a new distribution model to accommodate changing customer needs
at a glance - M&R
Differentiated offering | Alternating Distribution Model | |
as of January 1st 2019 | as of mid-March 2020 | |
Optimizing drop density
Share of houses receiving mail on any given day, %
D+1 | |
Available to consumers | Adjusted "day certain" distribution |
who need D+1 delivery | frequency: in a given street, mail will be |
distributed on selective days of the week | |
D+1 delivery will remain available | |
as a separate product ("Prior") |
Model until mid-March 2020:
everywhere, everyday
~70
~55 <50
ADM:
D+3 combined
with D+1 ~70
Within D+3 | Parcels | ||||||
Service level agreement (SLA) | D+1 offering | No | |||||
"within 3 days" | |||||||
Newspapers | change | ||||||
Same day delivery |
1 Based on a bpost SA/NV study with 1,000 households & 500 businesses (< 200FTE) interviewed in February 2015
20 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
2004 | 2018 | 2022 | 2022 |
Acceptance for D+3-41
Individuals | 94% |
Professionals | ~92% |
Labor cost will benefit from decrease of mail related FTEs and optimized employee mix
at a glance - M&R
Operational FTE evolution1 | Age pyramid | |||||||
Average FTEs and interims, '000 | Headcount bpost SA/NV per age, 31/12/19 | |||||||
18.8 | 19.3 | 20.0 | 20.1 | 9,633 | 9,739 | |||
Allocated | 80-85% | 6,787 | ||||||
to mail | ||||||||
Allocated | ||||||||
to parcels | 15-20% | |||||||
2016 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 0-39 | 40-49 | 50+ |
Non pay-scale contractuals Pay-scale contractuals Civil servants
Natural attrition
Average natural attrition is expected to range from 1,200 to 1,300 FTEs/year
Operational FTE mix evolution1 | Average cost per contract type1 | ||||||||||
Indexed | |||||||||||
Other | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | |||||||
Contractual | 18% | 17% | 17% | 16% | Contractual | ~95 | |||||
Auxiliary | 34% | 39% | 42% | 47% | |||||||
postman | Auxiliary | ~74 | |||||||||
postman | |||||||||||
Civil servant | 39% | 35% | 31% | 28% | Civil servant | 100 | |||||
16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | ||||||||
1 bpost SA/NV scope, excluding retail network
21 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Parcels & Logistics Europe and Asia
at a glance
at a glance - PaLo Eurasia
Sub-segments
Parcels BeNe
E-commerce logistics
Cross-border
Revenues 2019 (€m)
381
133
300
- Last-mile B2C delivery in the Benelux
- Total of ~74m parcels in 2019
- Mostly fulfilment & transport activities in Europe spread over 11 locations
- Activities include Radial EU, Active Ants and DynaFix
- International mail & parcels
- Majority of cross-border volume is inbound mail and parcels from Europe and Asia
Key facts & figures Peak days of up to
480k parcels in December
Fulfilment footprint
covers 11 locations across 6 countries in Europe
3 main cross-border activity centers
Total
813
i.e. Brussels brucargo, Heathrow UK and Hong Kong
22 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Key value drivers for Parcels & Logistics Europe & Asia
at a glance - PaLo Eurasia
Sub-segments
Parcels BeNe
Key value drivers
Ability to capture profitable growth in a competitive environment
BeNe-wideoffering addressing customer requirements
Optimized last-mile operations based on parcels characteristics and in line with delivery requirements
From
Volume growth rate of 20-30% with price/mix effect up to -6% over 2016-2018
Focus on Belgium (sales force, contracts, DHL partnership)
Parcel hubs where enough density
To
Double-digit volume growth rate, address price/mix
BeNe-wide approach
Flexible parcels distribution footprint in close collaboration with Mail & Retail
E-commerce logistics
Cross-border
Ability to organically capture market growth of ~10% p.a. (vs. in-sourcing,pan-European players)
Develop international cross-border parcels, also across continents
Ability to maintain international mail volume
E-commerce logistics in PL, NL & BE and DynaFix
Natural business evolution
Increase scale & skills by leveraging capabilities of Radial US and Active Ants
Developing international parcel flows driven by growing e-commerce activity
23 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Four strategic initiatives for Parcels BeNe
Focus on 4 strategic initiatives | ||||
Integrated | Differentiate | Attract key foreign | ||
BeNe offering | pricing policy | e-commerce players | ||
• | Dedicated, specialized | • Strategic pricing initiatives | • | Partnerships with |
sales force | e-commerce players | |||
• | Integrated commercial | • | E2E service offering | |
offers | ("gateway to Europe") |
- Partnership with DHL Parcels
24 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
at a glance - PaLo Eurasia
Convenience
& Cost leadership
- Increased convenience through improved receiver journey and additional pick- up drop-offlockers (KPI: Net Promoter Score)
- Flexible distribution footprint in close collaboration with Mail & Retail
- Increase sorting capacity
- Fulfilment infrastructure
- Transport optimization
- Digital excellence
We have an established position in the Belgian B2C/C2C parcels market
at a glance - PaLo Eurasia
2019e parcel market1: 100% = € 1.6bn
B2C
B2B | |
C2C | |
CAGR 2018-20e1, % | |
~12% | |
0-4% | |
B2C / C2X | B2B |
- Source: Effigy
Unique selling proposition
Offer best last-mileand broadest delivery options, supported by acquisitions and partnerships:
- Home delivery 7/7 & evening delivery, including high-end deliveries (2-man)
- ~2,300 pick-up & drop-off points
- ~250 parcel lockers in Belgium
- Click & Collect
- Non-exclusivepartnerships with DPDHL for B2C parcel delivery into Belgium (from Germany/France & Benelux)
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
Partnership with DHL Parcels NL allows to cover the full | at a glance - PaLo Eurasia |
BeNe region and to capture important cross-border flows |
Launched in June 2018 | Purchasing behavior |
• NL is the most important import country to BE (~20% of import flows) | |
• BE consumers mainly buy from NL players such as Bol.com and Coolblue |
Large NL-basede-commerce players
• Looking for a BeNe wide offering with regards to last-mile
• Benchmarking prices on a BeNe level
Competitive offering
• Very competitive & dynamic region with many large players such as PostNL, DHL, DPD, FedEx
26 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
The parcels operating model will be continuously optimized
Optimize distribution cost | Evolve towards dedicated |
using drop density of mail | parcel infrastructure to match |
rounds | customer requirements |
at a glance - PaLo Eurasia
Increase sorting capacity
- Maximize parcels in mail rounds
- Cost advantage due to higher drop density leading to lower unit costs
- Nationwide Parcel distribution footprint to accommodate distribution of parcels that are not in mail rounds
- Benefits for customer proximity and special services e.g. late-inservices, "large scale" evening distribution or same day distribution
- Increase sorting capacity in the existing centers of Brussels, Ghent & Antwerp to cope with increasing volume (optimizing sorting footprint mail & parcels)
- Use technology (e.g. address recognition)
27 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Supported by acquisitions, bpost Group has initial assets | at a glance - PaLo Eurasia |
along the entire value chain of e-commerce logistics |
1
Order
- Order management
- Payment services, tax services and fraud prevention
4
Customer Care
- Phone, email, social media & chat support
- Advanced analytics
28
Realtime
technology
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
2
Fulfilment
- Order reception in warehouses in the proximity of clients
- Preparation for shipment
3
Delivery
- Hybrid transport network for high-endand urgent delivery
- Last-miledelivery
E-commerce logistics activities in Europe can be | at a glance - PaLo Eurasia |
developed thanks to an already strong European footprint |
The
UK Netherlands
Germany
Belgium Poland
Italy
Cold chain facility | Fulfilment sites | Personalized logistics |
29
11 | ~1,100 | |
fulfilment centers / | Employees | |
facilities | ||
6 | ~€ 133m | |
Countries | 2019 revenue | |
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
E-commerce logistics in Europe has 2 complementary | at a glance - PaLo Eurasia |
engines of growth i.e. Radial Europe and Active Ants |
1
Type of clients | E-tailers & click-and-mortar (omnichannel) | Pure e-tailers | |
Size of clients | Medium/large | Small/medium | |
Level of automation | Lower, depends on client | High (AutoStore + automated packaging) | |
Level of Customization | High, product and price tailored by client | Very low | |
Current locations | UK, Germany, Belgium, The Netherlands, Italy and Poland | The Netherlands | |
Leveraging knowledge and | Leveraging NL success story | ||
experience from Radial US | in other European countries | ||
1 Including Landmark Global and Belgium fulfilment | |||
30 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Parcels & Logistics North America
at a glance
at a glance - PaLo N. Am.
Sub-segments | Revenues 2019, €m |
E-commerce logistics1 | 1,008 |
International Mail2 | 89 | ||
Total | 1,098 | |
US e-commerce logistics provider fulfilling 72m parcels p.a. with proven client base, IT infrastructure and capabilities along the E2E value chain
International mail solutions and catalogue fulfilment through US companies
Capabilities to support mid-sized e-tailersto expand cross-border and last-mile distribution in Canada and Australia
Objective
- Growth engine for bpost Group, to be a leading e-commercelogistics player in US
- Grow with cross-border commerce
- International mail providers delivering profit through infrastructure optimization
- Radial North America, Landmark Global, Apple Express and FDM
- MSI, Imex, Mail Inc. = The Mail Group
31 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Acquisition of US-based Radial on 16 November 2017
Acquisition rationale
Our growth
- Integrated e-commerce logistics provides access to a larger and more attractive profit pool
- Radial as growth engine and key profit contributor
Presence in the US and Europe
- Strengthen US position building on presence with Landmark Global
- Scale bpost Group's e-commerce logistics capabilities in the Benelux and Europe
Strong growth of e-commerce
- e-commerceis growing rapidly with US being an attractive and advanced space (+15% p.a. growth of online retail over 2004-2022e)
- Transatlantic e-commerce is growing at >25% p.a. with 20% of European parcels coming from the US
Knowledge and experience
- Knowledge and experience of the e-commerce logistics chain increase exponentially with the acquisition of an experienced player
at a glance - PaLo N. Am.
Key acquisition data Radial Global
- Enterprise Value: $ 820m
- Sales 2017: $ 1,082m
- EBITDA 2017: $ 57m (5.3% margin)
- 100% acquisition of the shares
- Financed through a € 650m 8-year bond issue carrying a coupon of 1.25% (issued 4 July 2018)
Key indicators for Radial North America
- TCV of new business went from $ 217m in 2018 to $ 385m in 2019
- ~7,100 average # of FTEs & interims (2019)
- 24 fulfilment centers (mainly US)
32 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Radial North America offers multiple services across the entire e-commerce logistics value chain
at a glance - PaLo N. Am.
Revenues | Radial North | Description and key strengths | ||||||||
share % | America assets | |||||||||
Payment, Tax, | Fraud Zero software | Processing global payments, | • | 98.3% approval rate vs. 97.1% industry average | ||||||
Technology | and Fraud | maximizing successful authorization | • | 1.6% manual review rate vs. 25% industry average | ||||||
12,500 Dropship suppliers | and reconciling tax districts and | |||||||||
Technology | in-storepick-up | • | < 12 weeks to deployment vs. competition 4-6 months | |||||||
Prevention | 17% | global duties | ||||||||
Omnichannel | 8,700 Stores with fulfilment | Optimizing efficiency of order | • | Ability to handle complex orders | ||||||
management, ship-from-store and | ||||||||||
• | Scalability of technology | |||||||||
Warehousing & | 24 fulfilment sites | Adapting warehouse management | • | 80%+ orders shipped day 0 | ||||||
fulfilment | in North America | and parcels preparation to | • | ~100% US coverage | ||||||
e-commerce with pragmatic | ||||||||||
Operations | automation | • | Experience of scaling employees / workforce up to ~20k | |||||||
74% | ||||||||||
peak capacity | ||||||||||
Freight | 100% | Managing a large network of carriers | • | Rates 5-15%cheaper than in-sourcing for mid-sized players | ||||||
Management | Asset light | for a seamless customer experience | • | Clients reached in 2.4 days on average | ||||||
Customer Care | 9% | 3,400+ | Having a single view of customer's | • | Advanced data analytics | |||||
Seats across 4 sites | history and profile combined with | |||||||||
leading self-service tech | ||||||||||
33 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Radial North America market dynamics and competitive landscape
at a glance - PaLo N. Am.
Online revenue e-tailers, US
$ 680bn1 expected US online retail revenue in 2020
Addressable e-commerce logistics sector
~$ 680bn total | Radial's target | $ 45-57bn | ||
US online Retail | audience | addressable | ||
e-commerce | e-commerce | e-commerce | ||
revenue | logistics | |||
$ 225-230bn | ||||
$ 2,000m
$ 20m
-
Mid-marketsegment
($ 20-200m online revenue) - Enterprise segment ($ 200-600m)
- Some selected key accounts ($ 600m-$ 2bn)
Independent e-commerce logistics providers
Omnichannel | Fulfilment | Freight | Customer Care |
& PT&F |
1 Source: Forrester Data, Online Retail Forecast, 2020
34 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Positive commercial development at Radial and financial results in line with expectations
at a glance - PaLo N. Am.
Commercially heading in the right direction
- We continue to reap benefits from our customer-focused approach, strong new signings in 2019, along with continued improvement in NPS. Strong 2019 peak with a double-digit increase in shipped parcels vs. 2018.
- Starting in 2Q18 and continuing in FY19, we are seeing a positive contract renewal cycle for existing clients.
- New contracts signed had a TCV of $ 385m for FY19, which was above target and above the previous 3 years ($ 150m in 2016 and 2017, $ 217m in 2018).
- Positive TCV development continued through 1Q20.
FY19 results in line with expectations
- Good end of year 2019 peak management, with productivity gains partly offset by higher costs related to maintaining a sufficient labor pool within a tight US labor market.
FY18 & FY19 results impacted, as expected, by:
- Churn (mostly in Fulfilment & Transport) and repricing, with revenue growth from new and existing customers not compensating revenue loss from clients terminating with Radial.
- Webstore business phase-out complete, impacting FY18 EBITDA by $ -21.2m and FY19 EBITDA by $ -2.6m. Final client exits tailing off in 3Q19.
35 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
1Q20 Results
COVID-19 drove 1Q20 EBIT decline through significant | 1Q20 |
Advertising Mail drop and Group-wide additional costs |
€ million
95.8 | |||||
5.5 | |||||
-20.2 | |||||
-27.4 | |||||
75.6 | |||||
8.0 | 4.6 | ||||
-1.2 | 0.4 | ||||
90.4 | |||||
71.0 | |||||
Adjusted1 | |||||
Reported | |||||
EBIT | Mail & | PaLo | PaLo | Corporate | EBIT |
1Q19 | Retail | Eurasia | N. America | 1Q20 |
1 Adjusted previously called Normalized, change of terminology "Adjusted" in order to align the label of this APM to the ESMA guidelines, definition and approach remain unchanged. Adjusted excludes items that are non-recurring in nature and significant (> € 20m). All profits or losses on disposal of activities are adjusted whatever the amount they represent, as well as the amortization and impairment on the intangible assets recognized throughout the Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) of the acquisitions. Reversals of provisions whose addition had been excluded from income are also adjusted whatever the amount they represent.
37 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Key financials 1Q20
€ million | Reported | Adjusted | ||||||
1Q19 | 1Q20 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | % ↑ | ||||
Total operating income | 906.8 | 934.6 | 906.8 | 934.6 | 3.1% | |||
Operating expenses | 755.7 | 797.4 | 755.7 | 797.4 | 5.5% | |||
EBITDA | 151.1 | 137.2 | 151.1 | 137.2 | -9.2% | |||
Depreciation & Amortization | 60.7 | 66.1 | 55.3 | 61.5 | 11.3% | |||
EBIT | 90.4 | 1 | 71.0 | 95.8 | 1 | 75.6 | -21.0% | |
Margin (%) | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | ||||
Financial result | -7.5 | -4.3 | -7.5 | -4.3 | ||||
Profit before tax | 81.5 | 71.5 | 86.9 | 76.1 | -12.4% | |||
Income tax expense | 31.3 | 1 | 23.6 | 31.8 | 1 | 23.8 | ||
Net profit | 50.2 | 47.9 | 55.1 | 52.2 | -5.1% | |||
FCF | 186.1 | 2 | 194.2 | 195.4 | 2 | 246.2 | 26.0% | |
Net Debt at 31 March | 613.1 | 619.9 | 613.1 | 619.9 | 1.1% | |||
Capex | 15.7 | 20.5 | 15.7 | 20.5 | 31.0% | |||
Average # FTEs and interims | 33,966 | 34,695 | 33,966 | 34,695 | 2.1% |
38 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
1Q20
- Amortization of intangibles recognized during PPA is adjusted, leading to increase in EBIT (€ +4.6m) and income tax expense (€ +0.2m)
- Adjusted FCF excludes the cash Radial receives on behalf of its customers for performing billing services
Results by segment 1Q20 | 1Q20 |
€ million | ||||||
M&R | PaLo Eurasia | PaLo N. Am. | Corp | Eliminations | Group | |
External operating income | 457.8 | 210.5 | 259.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 934.6 |
Intersegment operating income | 42.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 90.4 | -137.1 | 0.0 |
Total operating income | 500.0 | 213.5 | 261.3 | 96.8 | (137.1) | 934.6 |
Operating expenses | 413.8 | 192.2 | 250.9 | 77.5 | -137.1 | 797.4 |
EBITDA | 86.1 | 21.3 | 10.4 | 19.3 | 137.2 | |
Depreciation & Amortization | 21.6 | 5.1 | 21.2 | 18.3 | 66.1 | |
Reported EBIT | 64.6 | 16.2 | -10.8 | 1.0 | 71.0 | |
Margin (%) | 12.9% | 7.6% | -4.1% | 1.1% | 7.6% | |
Adjusted EBIT | 65.2 | 16.9 | -7.4 | 1.0 | 75.6 | |
Margin (%) | 13.0% | 7.9% | -2.8% | 1.1% | 8.1% |
39 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Top-line decrease driven by COVID-19 impacts on Advertising | 1Q20 - M&R |
Mail and on retail and by deconsolidation of Alvadis |
M&R external | |
operating income, € million | Domestic Mail |
Transactional
Proximity and convenience
1Q19
- Transactional
- Advertising
- Press
Operating income decline at € -17.6m i.e. | ||||||
486.5 | ||||||
€ +1.0m working days impact, € -29.1m | ||||||
volume (-9.9% underlying volume decline, | ||||||
i.e. -7.1% YTD Feb-20,-15.6%Mar-20), | ||||||
and € +10.5m price/mix. | ||||||
-2.2 | ||||||
-13.1 | ||||||
1 | 2 | |||||
-2.3 |
3
-8.8% underlying volume decline of which:
-8.1% YTD Feb-20: no change in structural trends, i.e. continued e-substitution by big senders and SMEs, higher acceptance of e-documents at the receivers' side and digitization of C2B communication through smartphone apps.
-10.2%Mar-20: impact from COVID-19 on | |
smaller administrative mail volumes and | 1 |
registered letters. |
retail network
Decrease mainly driven by:
‐ the deconsolidation of Alvadis (€ -7.6m) as of September 2019
‐ COVID-19 impact on Ubiway retail revenues
‐ Decline in banking & finance revenues from low interest rate
environment4
Proximity and 4 convenience retail network
Value added
5 services
1Q20
-13.2
2.2
457.8
Advertising
-16.5% underlying volume decline:
-3.9% YTD Feb-20, better than FY19 at -4.7%, driven by dedicated marketing & sales efforts to re-boost advertising mail.
-39.4%Mar-20 driven by cancelled campaigns from COVID-19 ban on promotions and enforced closure of all
Press
-5.2% underlying volume decline driven by e-substitution and rationalization.
Value added services
Higher revenue from fines and document management.
-28.7
non-essential items stores.
2
3 | 5 |
40 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
M&R EBIT impacted by COVID-19 mail evolution and | 1Q20 - M&R |
additional opex to guarantee continuity of service |
€ million
Mail & Retail | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | % ↑ |
External operating income | 486.5 | 457.8 | -5.9% |
Transactional | 195.5 | 193.3 | -1.1% |
Advertising | 60.9 | 47.8 | -21.5% |
Press | 88.4 | 86.1 | -2.6% |
Proximity and convenience retail network | 116.3 | 103.1 | -11.4% |
Value added services | 25.3 | 27.5 | 8.5% |
Intersegment operating income | 41.1 | 42.2 | 2.9% |
Total operating income | 527.5 | 500.0 | -5.2% |
Operating expenses | 414.1 | 413.8 | -0.1% |
EBITDA | 113.4 | 86.1 | -24.0% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 21.4 | 21.6 | 0.9% |
Reported EBIT | 92.1 | 64.6 | -29.8% |
Margin (%) | 17.4% | 12.9% | |
Adjusted EBIT | 92.6 | 65.2 | -29.6% |
Margin (%) | 17.6% | 13.0% | |
Average # FTEs and interims | 21,882 | 22,175 | 1.3% |
Additional KPIs | |||
Underlying Mail volume decline | -9.2% | -9.9% | |
Transactional | -9.8% | -8.8% | |
Advertising | -7.6% | -16.5% | |
Press | -8.7% | -5.2% |
Key takeaways 1Q20
- Total operating income decline of € -27.5m primarily driven by domestic mail volume decline and the deconsolidation of Alvadis. Mainly Advertising Mail was significantly impacted by a ban on promotions during the COVID-19 lockdown that started March 18, 2020.
- Despite COVID-19, operating expenses (incl. adjusted D&A) remained nearly stable (€ +0.1m). Higher payroll costs from a.o. COVID-19 premium and higher absenteeism were fully compensated by the favorable evolution of the FTE mix, the decrease of material costs from Ubiway Retail (incl. Alvadis deconsolidation impact) and higher recoverable VAT.
- COVID-19impacted EBIT by an estimated € -14.4m. This is mainly explained by the top-line development on domestic mail as well as additional costs related to a premium for operational staff in duty applicable since March 1st, higher absenteeism and increased health & safety measures.
- M&R adjusted EBIT declined by € -27.4m to € 65.2m.
41 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Parcels BeNe & E-commerce logistics growth partly offset by COVID-19 impact on Cross-border
1Q20 - PaLo Eurasia
PaLo Eurasia external | ||||||
operating income, € million | Parcels BeNe | |||||
1Q19 | Parcels BeNe volume growth of | |||||
191.7 | +20.5%, higher than YTD Feb-20 | |||||
17.9% growth, driven by increased | ||||||
online sales since the March 18, | ||||||
1 | Parcels BeNe | 17.3 | 2020 lockdown (March 2020 | |||
volumes up 26.0%). | ||||||
Parcels BeNe volumes include | ||||||
continuous positive volume | ||||||
2 | E-commerce | 8.5 | development at DynaLogic with a | |||
logistics | strong quarter vs 1Q19. | |||||
Negative price/mix fully mix-driven. | ||||||
Cross-border | ||||||
3 | -7.0 | |||||
1Q20 210.5
+18.7 | 1 |
E-commerce logistics
Revenue growth mainly driven by Active Ants organic business development combined with the integration of MCS Fulfilment as from October 1, 2019.
Growth at Radial Europe from new customers gained in 2019.
2
Cross-border
Cross-border revenues impacted by COVID-19 (€ -5.7m). Revenue loss driven by international parcels volume decline and mail volume declines on in- and outbound, with the main impact in March 2020.
Terminal dues settlements showed a negative YoY evolution of € -1.0m.
3
42 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Lower EBIT through COVID-19, 1Q19 additional VAT | 1Q20 - PaLo Eurasia |
recovery and YoY unfavourable evolution of terminal dues |
€ million
Parcels & Logistics Europe and Asia | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | % ↑ |
External operating income | 191.7 | 210.5 | 9.8% |
Parcels BeNe | 87.4 | 104.7 | 19.8% |
E-commerce logistics | 30.8 | 39.3 | 27.4% |
Cross-border | 73.5 | 66.5 | -9.6% |
Intersegment operating income | 5.1 | 3.0 | -40.7% |
Total operating income | 196.8 | 213.5 | 8.5% |
Operating expenses | 174.8 | 192.2 | 10.0% |
EBITDA | 22.0 | 21.3 | -3.4% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 5.7 | 5.1 | -10.4% |
Reported EBIT | 16.3 | 16.2 | -0.9% |
Margin (%) | 8.3% | 7.6% | |
Adjusted EBIT | 18.0 | 16.9 | -6.4% |
Margin (%) | 9.2% | 7.9% | |
Average # FTEs and interims | 3,096 | 3,435 | 10.9% |
Additional KPIs | |||
Parcels volume growth | 16.9% | 20.5% |
Key takeaways 1Q20
- Total operating income € +16.7m (+8.5%) primarily driven by Parcels BeNe (€ +17.3m, +19.8%) and E-commerce logistics partly offset by Cross-border largely impacted by COVID-19 (€ -5.7m) and by the unfavourable evolution of terminal due settlements (€ -1.0m).
- Excluding additional VAT recovery in 1Q19 (€ -2.4m YoY) and the unfavourable evolution of terminal due settlements (€ -0.5m YoY), the operating expenses (incl. adjusted D&A) increased by € -14.9m (+8.1%), mainly from higher payroll, interim and transport costs driven by Parcels BeNe & E-commerce logistics volume growth, COVID-19 premium and increase in absenteeism, and negative channel mix (higher use of subcontractors).
- COVID-19had an estimated EBIT impact of € -1.8m, mainly from the partial suspension of Cross-border activities, slightly higher Parcels BeNe revenues offset by the aforementioned additional opex, and increased health & safety measures.
- Adjusted EBIT decreased by € -1.2m to € 16.9m. Excluding the impacts of the 1Q19 additional VAT recovery, YoY terminal dues settlements (€ -1.4m) and COVID-19, adjusted EBIT would be up € +4.5m (+31%) operationally.
43 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Parcels & Logistics North America driven by 2019 new business and growth at existing clients
1Q20 - PaLo N. Am.
PaLo North America external | |||||||||
operating income, € million | E-commerce logistics | ||||||||
YoY increase of +16.4%, or +13.2% | |||||||||
1Q19 | 227.2 | at constant exchange rate. | |||||||
Revenue increase mainly driven by | |||||||||
Radial North America recording | |||||||||
growth of existing customers as well | |||||||||
1 | E-commerce | as new clients launched in 2019 and | |||||||
33.5 | positive FX development partly | ||||||||
logistics | |||||||||
International | offset by client churn. | ||||||||
2 | -0.7 | ||||||||
1Q20 | |||||||||
259.9 | |||||||||
1 | |||||||||
1 Combination IMEX, Mail Inc & MSI | +32.8 | ||||||||
International mail
Declining revenues at The Mail Group1 (-3.2%) despite positive FX evolution (-6.1% at constant exchange rate).
No material COVID-19 impact in March 2020 yet.
2
44 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Positive EBIT evolution of Radial largely offset by continuing margin pressure in International mail
1Q20 - PaLo N. Am.
€ million
Parcels & Logistics North America | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | % ↑ |
External operating income | 227.2 | 259.9 | 14.4% |
E-commerce logistics | 204.5 | 238.0 | 16.4% |
International mail | 22.7 | 21.9 | -3.2% |
Intersegment operating income | 1.4 | 1.4 | -0.4% |
Total operating income | 228.5 | 261.3 | 14.3% |
Operating expenses | 222.7 | 250.9 | 12.7% |
EBITDA | 5.9 | 10.4 | 77.6% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 16.9 | 21.2 | 25.5% |
Reported EBIT | -11.0 | -10.8 | -2.3% |
Margin (%) | -4.8% | -4.1% | |
Adjusted EBIT | -7.8 | -7.4 | -4.5% |
Margin (%) | -3.4% | -2.8% | |
Average # FTEs and interims | 7,349 | 7,445 | 1.3% |
Additional KPIs, adjusted | 187.2 | 215.1 | |
Radial North America revenue, $m | 14.9% | ||
Radial North America EBITDA, $m | -1.9 | 4.1 | |
Radial North America EBIT, $m | -15.2 | -12.9 |
Key takeaways 1Q20
- Total operating income increase of € +32.8m or +14.3% (+11.2% at constant exchange rate) mainly driven by growth at Radial from existing customers and new customers launched in 2019.
- Operating expenses (incl. adjusted D&A) increased by € -32.4m (€ -25.8m excl. FX) driven by higher variable costs from volume growth, a slightly negative client mix effect, higher payroll costs and increased D&A from the 3 new fulfilment centers last year. International mail business impacted by YoY increase in transport costs.
- COVID-19impacted EBIT by an estimated € -0.3m, mainly related to additional health and safety measures.
- Adjusted EBIT up € +0.4m driven by positive evolution in E-commerce logistics, in particular at Radial. This was largely offset by continuing margin pressure in International mail from higher competition, lower volumes and increased transport costs.
45 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Corporate EBIT increase driven by higher building sales and lower opex
1Q20 - Corporate
€ million
Corporate | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | % ↑ |
External operating income | 1.5 | 6.4 | |
Intersegment operating income | 84.7 | 90.4 | 6.7% |
Total operating income | 86.2 | 96.8 | 12.3% |
Operating expenses | 76.4 | 77.5 | 1.4% |
EBITDA | 9.8 | 19.3 | 97.6% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 16.7 | 18.3 | 9.0% |
Reported EBIT | -7.0 | 1.0 | |
Margin (%) | -8.1% | 1.1% | |
Adjusted EBIT | -7.0 | 1.0 | |
Margin (%) | -8.1% | 1.1% | |
Average # FTEs and interims | 1,639 | 1,640 | 0.1% |
Key takeaways 1Q20
- External revenues up € +4.9m driven by higher building sales (€ +5.2m), partly delays from 2019 which materialized in 1Q20. This was partly offset by lower rental income.
- Operating expenses (incl. D&A) increased by € -2.6m driven by higher reinvoicing of services to the operational Business Units (€ +5.7m intersegment operating income). Especially for IT- related projects, an increase in demand was noticed. Net of the intersegment operating income, the opex (incl. D&A) was down € +3.1m.
- COVID-19impacted EBIT by an estimated € -0.2m, mainly related to additional costs for health and safety measures.
- As a result, adjusted EBIT increased by € +8.0m.
46 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Positive evolution of FCF1 mainly driven by higher cash flow | 1Q20 |
from investing activities through higher building sales |
Reported - € million | |||||||
+ | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | Delta | ||||
Cash flow from operating activities | 202.2 | 203.6 | 1.4 | ||||
+ | Cash flow from investing activities | -16.1 | -9.4 | 6.7 | |||
= | Free cash flow | 186.1 | 194.2 | 8.1 | |||
+ | Financing activities | -44.2 | -26.6 | 17.5 | |||
= | Net cash movement | 141.9 | 167.6 | 25.7 | |||
Capex | (15.7) | (20.5) | (4.9) | ||||
CF from operating activities | CF from investing activities | CF from financing activities |
More cash payments related to "due to" Radial's clients: € -42.6m, mainly phasing | Proceeds from buildings sales: € +11.1m | Commercial papers issuance: € +15.6m |
Tax assessments on previous years: € +21.3m YoY variance | Higher capital expenditures: € -4.9m | |
(€ +7.5m positive settlement in 1Q20 vs. € -13.8m in 1Q19) |
Excluding the above, CF from operating activities: € +22.8m, of which:
‐ improvement in working capital evolution: € +35.2m, primarily driven by improvement in payables
‐ partly offset by lower operating results
1 Free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities
47 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Balance Sheet
€ million | ||
Assets | Dec 31, 2019 | Mar 31, 2020 |
PPE | 1,133.6 | 1,120.2 |
Intangible assets | 898.3 | 904.9 |
Investments in associates and joint ventures | 239.5 | 234.2 |
Other assets | 41.8 | 38.8 |
Trade & other receivables | 759.0 | 583.6 |
Inventories | 34.7 | 36.8 |
Cash & cash equivalents | 670.2 | 844.4 |
Total Assets | 3,777.1 | 3,762.9 |
Main balance sheet movements
Trade & other receivables decreased due to the settlement of the SGEI receivable and the peak sales of year-end 2019.
Cash and cash equivalents increased mainly due to the settlement of the SGEI compensation.
Trade & other payables decreased due to phasing year-end peak 2019. The decrease was partially offset by the increase of other payables mainly due to the advance payment of the SGEI compensation.
1Q20
€ million | |||
Equity and Liabilities | Dec 31, 2019 | Mar 31, 2020 | |
Total equity | 682.6 | 731.9 | |
Interest-bearing loans & borrowings (incl. bank overdrafts) | 1,449.9 | 1,464.2 | |
Employee benefits | 320.6 | 319.6 | |
Trade & other payables | 1,278.5 | 1,174.7 | |
Provisions | 29.8 | 30.7 | |
Derivative instruments | 1.3 | 0.5 | |
Other liabilities | 14.3 | 41.3 | |
Total Equity and Liabilities | 3,777.1 | 3,762.9 |
48 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Financing Structure & Liquidity
€ million | |||
Available Liquidity | Dec 31, 2019 | Mar 31, 2020 | |
Cash & cash equivalents | 670.2 | 844.4 | |
Cash in network | 163.6 | 156.0 | |
Transit accounts | 105.8 | 45.8 | |
Cash payment transactions under execution | -26.7 | -10.8 | |
Bank current accounts | 377.4 | 488.4 | |
Short-term deposits | 50.0 | 165.0 | |
Undrawn revolving credit facilities | 375.0 | 375.0 | |
Syndicated facility - 10/2024 | 300.0 | 300.0 | |
Bilateral facility - 06/2024 | 75.0 | 75.0 | |
Total Available Liquidity | 1,045.2 | 1,219.4 |
1Q20
€ million | ||||
External Funding | Dec 31, 2019 | Mar 31, 2020 | ||
Long-ter m | 650.0 | 650.0 | ||
Long-term bond1 (1.25% - 07/2026) | ||||
Bank loans | 183.2 | 187.1 | ||
Amortizing Loan (€ 100m) EIB - 12/2022 | 18.2 | 18.2 | ||
Term Loan ($ 185m) Bank of America - 07/2022 | 165.0 | 168.9 | ||
Shor t-ter m | ||||
Bank loans: Amortizing Loan (€ 100m) EIB - 12/2022 | 9.1 | 9.1 | ||
Commercial Papers | 164.5 | 165.2 | ||
Total External Funding | 1,006.8 | 1,011.3 | ||
Liquidity: Cash & Committed credit lines
Total available liquidity at March 31, 2020 consisted out of € 844.4m cash & cash equivalents of which € 653.4m is readily available on bank current accounts and as short-term deposits.
In addition, bpost Group has 2 undrawn revolving credit facilities for a total amount of € 375.0m.
External Funding & Debt Amortization (excl. IFRS16 lease liabilities)
Out of € 1,011.3m external funding on balance sheet at March 31, 2020:
‐ € 165.2m needs to be repaid or will be rolled over between 2Q20 and 4Q20 (i.e. commercial paper with maturity ranging between 1 to 9 months)
‐ € 9.1m during 4Q20 (i.e. the current portion of the EIB loan).
1 € 650m long-term bond with a carrying amount of € 642.8m, the difference being the re-offer price and issuance fees.
49 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Additional info
Key financials FY19
€ million | Reported | 1 | ||||||
Adjusted | ||||||||
FY18 | FY19 | FY18 | FY19 | % ↑ | FY19 IFRS16 | |||
Total operating income | 3,850.2 | 3,837.8 | 3,850.2 | 3,837.2 | -0.3% | |||
Operating expenses | 3,279.1 | 3,300.2 | 3,279.1 | 3,300.2 | 0.6% | +107.6 | ||
EBITDA | 571.1 | 537.6 | 571.1 | 537.0 | -6.0% | +107.6 | ||
Depreciation & Amortization | 177.7 | 247.7 | 146.8 | 226.2 | -105.3 | |||
EBIT | 393.4 | 1 | 289.9 | 424.3 | 1 | 310.8 | -26.7% | +2.3 |
Margin (%) | 10.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | ||||
Financial result | -23.8 | -61.5 | -23.8 | -61.5 | -9.7 | |||
Profit before tax | 381.0 | 244.3 | 411.9 | 265.2 | -35.6% | |||
Income tax expense | 117.4 | 1 | 89.6 | 121.4 | 1 | 92.1 | ||
Net profit | 263.6 | 154.7 | 290.4 | 173.1 | -40.4% | |||
FCF | 241.2 | 2 | 302.0 | 231.5 | 2 | 288.0 | 24.4% | +112.3 |
bpost S.A./N.V. net profit (BGAAP) | 262.3 | 3 | 172.6 | 262.3 | 172.6 | -34.2% | ||
Net Debt at 31 December | 344.8 | 779.9 | 344.8 | 779.9 | +432.3 | |||
Capex | 114.9 | 162.3 | 114.9 | 162.3 | 41.2% | |||
Average # FTEs and interims | 36,109 | 35,377 | 36,109 | 35,377 |
1 Unaudited figures
51 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
FY19
- Amortization of intangibles recognized during PPA is adjusted, leading to increase in EBIT (€ +21.5m) and income tax expense (€ +2.4m)
- Adjusted FCF excludes the cash Radial receives on behalf of its customers for performing billing services
-
bpost net profit BGAAP excludes Centre Monnaie's profit on disposal:
Since the sales price will be reinvested, the profit on disposal and related taxation will be spread throughout the depreciation of these reinvestments This lowers the tax costs on the profit on disposal as the statutory tax rate decreased as from 2020 to 25%
Results by segment FY19 | FY19 |
€ million | ||||||
M&R | PaLo Eurasia | PaLo N. Am. | Corp | Eliminations | Group | |
External operating income | 1,897.1 | 813.2 | 1,097.5 | 30.1 | 0.0 | 3,837.8 |
Intersegment operating income | 174.7 | 17.8 | 6.8 | 372.0 | -571.2 | |
Total operating income | 2,071.7 | 830.9 | 1,104.2 | 402.1 | (571.2) | 3,837.8 |
Operating expenses | 1,734.2 | 747.7 | 1,048.7 | 340.7 | -571.2 | 3,300.2 |
EBITDA | 337.5 | 83.2 | 55.5 | 61.4 | 537.6 | |
Depreciation & Amortization | 83.7 | 21.7 | 71.6 | 70.8 | 247.7 | |
Reported EBIT | 253.8 | 61.5 | -16.1 | -9.3 | 289.9 | |
Margin (%) | 12.3% | 7.4% | -1.5% | -2.3% | 7.6% | |
Adjusted EBIT | 257.4 | 65.8 | -3.0 | -9.3 | 310.8 | |
Margin (%) | 12.4% | 7.9% | -0.3% | -2.3% | 8.1% |
52 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
bpost Group's long-term relationship with the Belgian State
Belgian State
State as a long-term shareholder
- Belgian State has 51% shares
-
bpost Group's board is composed of
5 board members and CEO appointed by the Belgian State and 6 independent directors - Belgian State supports a regular dividend policy
Shareholder | # shares |
Belgian State | 102,075,649 |
Free float | 97,925,295 |
- SGEI stands for Services of General Economic Interest cfr. slide 16 and 54
- All amounts need to be adjusted for inflation on a cumulated yearly basis
bpost Group provides SGEIs1 on behalf of the State
2016-2020
-
2 press distribution contracts (newspapers & periodicals)
- prolonged for 2 years until the end of 2022 - Sixth management contract for other SGEIs
-
Contractual amounts (excl. inflation2, volume impact & sharing of efficiency gains) of € 261.0m in 2016 (actual amount: € 264.9m), € 260.8m in 2017 (actual amount: € 270.0m), € 257.6m in 2018 (actual amount: € 271.4m), € 252.6m in 2019 (actual amount: € 271.0m) and
€ 245.6m in 2020
Press
Other SGEIs
State as important customer
- State is a key commercial client to bpost Group
- Several other agreements in place with the State, such as European license plates (won by bpost Group through tender)
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Sixth management contract and press concessions will be renegotiated before 2022
Scope | Universal Service | 6th Management Contract | ||||
Obligation (USO) | Services not typically associated with mail operators | |||||
• Collect, sort, transport & distribute letter mail up to | (SGEI), e.g., | |||||
• | Retail network | |||||
2kg, parcels up to 10kg and parcels up to 20kg | (1,300 postal service points of which | |||||
from other EU member states | at least 650 post offices) | |||||
• 1 access point per municipality | • | Cash at Counter | ||||
• | Collect and deliver 5x/week | • | Election mail (distribution) | |||
• | Full territory of Belgium | • | Cash payment of pensions at home | |||
• | USO pricing constraints | |||||
• | Provide adequate information on USO products | |||||
and services | ||||||
• Quality control obligation (95% of prior | ||||||
mail/parcels D+1, 97% D+2) | ||||||
USO & SGEI
Press concessions
- Also part of SGEIs
- Newspaper early delivery 6x/week
- Periodical delivery 5x/week
- Quality control obligation of maximum 7 complaints per 10,000 deliveries
- FTEs
- ~1,700 FTEs for newspaper deliveries which are dedicated rounds
- Delivery of periodicals is integrated in the regular mail rounds
Timing | • | Complementary management contract granted by | |
the State | |||
• | Runs until end of 2023, renewable by consecutive | ||
terms of 5 years | |||
State compensation
possible in case of USO being financial burden
54
• | Runs until end of 2020 | • | Runs until end of 2022 | |
• | Notified and validated by European Commission | • | Notified and validated by European Commission | |
under State Aid rules | under State Aid rules | |||
€ 271m state compensation in 2019
Amount including inflation, volume variance and sharing of efficiency gains
1Q20 Roadshow presentation
A relatively resilient mail market vs. other European operators
Addressed mail volume per capita 2019
operator level*
European mail market
2008-19 CAGR for addressed mail volumes
as reported by major incumbent European postal operators, percent
1 | DE 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CH | 210 | -2.2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | DE | 189 | -3.5% | CH 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | AU | 175 | -3.5% | AU 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | UK | 155 | (1) | -4.4% | BE | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | FR | 136 | -5.0% | UK 10 | (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
8 | BE | 136 | -5.4% | SW 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | SW | 133 | -5.7% | FR | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
4 | EU | 132 | -6.0% | EU | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NL | 102 | -8.6% | NL 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | IT | 45 | -9.1% | IT | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
6 | DK | 42 | -12.9% | DK 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Note: definition of addressed mail may differ by operator
Source: Company information; Annual reports; Investor presentations; IPC; Eurostat
1 | Includes addressed mail | 5 | Includes mail communication and dialogue marketing |
2 | Includes addressed mail | 6 | Includes addressed mail |
3 | Includes addressed mail | 7 | Includes addressed mail (publishers services excl.) |
4 | Includes addressed mail | 8 | Includes addressed mail excluding press |
55 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
9 | Includes all domestic mail | |
10 Includes inland addressed mail | ||
11 Includes letter mail and addressed direct mail / media post | (1) 2018 data | |
* | Excludes domestic competitors | (2) 2008-18 data |
Key contacts
Saskia Dheedene | Stéphanie Voisin |
Head of Investor Relations | Manager Investor Relations |
Email: saskia.dheedene@bpost.be | Email: stephanie.voisin@bpost.be |
Direct: +32 (0) 2 276 76 43 | Direct: +32 (0) 2 276 21 97 |
Mobile: +32 (0) 477 92 23 43 | Mobile: +32 (0) 478 48 58 71 |
Address: bpost Group, Centre Monnaie, 1000 Brussels, Belgium | Address: bpost Group, Centre Monnaie, 1000 Brussels, Belgium |
56 | 1Q20 Roadshow presentation |
Questions
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Disclaimer
Bpost SA published this content on 04 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 25 May 2020 10:37:06 UTC